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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 4, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

New York Islanders 3, Detroit Red Wings 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 68% of the time.

DET winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:15Lee: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, Erne, Oesterle, Rasmussen, Seider · NYI Bailey, Lee, Mayfield, Pelech, Barzal

  3. P1 1:43Shot by Suter, saved by Sorokin5v4
  4. P1 1:54Shot by Seider, saved by Sorokin5v4
  5. P1 2:31Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin5v4
  6. P1 2:45Goal by Clutterbuck (Pageau, Pelech)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: DET Leddy, Erne, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina · NYI Greene, Clutterbuck, Pageau, Pelech

  7. P1 2:53Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Nedeljkovic5v4
  8. P1 4:16Shot by Gagner, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 5:18Goal by Hronek (Erne, Rasmussen)+11 pts WP

    On ice: DET Leddy, Erne, Smith, Hronek, Rasmussen · NYI Greene, Palmieri, Pageau, Mayfield, Bellows

  10. P1 5:47Shot by Erne, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 6:32Shot by Hronek, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 7:27Shot by Smith, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 7:37Goal by Gagner (Smith, Rowney)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Staal, Gagner, Rowney, Smith, Lindstrom · NYI Greene, Beauvillier, Czarnik, Wahlstrom, Dobson

  14. P1 10:19Wahlstrom: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: DET Gagner, Leddy, Rowney, Erne, Hronek · NYI Chara, Beauvillier, Czarnik, Aho, Wahlstrom

  15. P1 10:19Wahlstrom: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Gagner, Leddy, Rowney, Erne, Hronek · NYI Chara, Beauvillier, Czarnik, Aho, Wahlstrom

  16. P1 10:19Wahlstrom: Misconduct (10 min)5v3

    On ice: DET Gagner, Leddy, Rowney, Erne, Hronek · NYI Chara, Beauvillier, Czarnik, Aho, Wahlstrom

  17. P1 10:19Erne: Fighting (5 min)5v3

    On ice: DET Gagner, Leddy, Rowney, Erne, Hronek · NYI Chara, Beauvillier, Czarnik, Aho, Wahlstrom

  18. P1 11:00Shot by Raymond, saved by Sorokin5v4
  19. P1 11:02Mayfield: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Larkin, Fabbri, Suter, Seider, Raymond · NYI Chara, Clutterbuck, Bailey, Mayfield

  20. P1 12:07Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin5v3
  21. P1 14:56Shot by Smith, saved by Sorokin
  22. P1 15:58Shot by Barzal, saved by Nedeljkovic
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:09Shot by Pelech, saved by Nedeljkovic
  26. P2 0:15Shot by Pelech, saved by Nedeljkovic
  27. P2 2:31Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Sorokin
  28. P2 5:26Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Nedeljkovic
  29. P2 5:32Shot by Dobson, saved by Nedeljkovic
  30. P2 6:23Shot by Chara, saved by Nedeljkovic
  31. P2 9:00Shot by Dobson, saved by Nedeljkovic
  32. P2 10:09Shot by Lee, saved by Nedeljkovic
  33. P2 10:11Gagner: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Gagner, Rowney, Smith, Hronek · NYI Greene, Bailey, Lee, Mayfield, Czarnik

  34. P2 10:49Goal by Wahlstrom (Dobson, Barzal)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Staal, Rowney, Hronek, Suter · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Barzal, Wahlstrom, Dobson

  35. P2 11:50Shot by Erne, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 11:55Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 13:07Shot by Chara, saved by Nedeljkovic
  38. P2 13:19Goal by Smith, unassisted+24 pts WP

    On ice: DET Staal, Gagner, Rowney, Smith, Seider · NYI Parise, Greene, Clutterbuck, Mayfield, Bellows

  39. P2 13:54Shot by Erne, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 14:26Shot by Mayfield, saved by Nedeljkovic
  41. P2 14:29Shot by Lee, saved by Nedeljkovic
  42. P2 15:00Shot by Oesterle, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:50Shot by Veleno, saved by Sorokin
  46. P3 2:12Shot by Fabbri, saved by Sorokin
  47. P3 3:13Shot by Gagner, saved by Sorokin
  48. P3 3:52Shot by Bellows, saved by Nedeljkovic
  49. P3 4:09Smith: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Leddy, Erne, Smith, Rasmussen, Seider · NYI Greene, Pageau, Mayfield, Bellows, Wahlstrom

  50. P3 7:58Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Sorokin
  51. P3 7:59Shot by Barzal, saved by Nedeljkovic
  52. P3 8:14Shot by Suter, saved by Sorokin
  53. P3 8:26Shot by Zadina, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 8:40Shot by Suter, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 8:49Shot by Mayfield, saved by Nedeljkovic
  56. P3 8:57Shot by Mayfield, saved by Nedeljkovic
  57. P3 10:17Shot by Pelech, saved by Nedeljkovic
  58. P3 11:01Shot by Barzal, saved by Nedeljkovic
  59. P3 11:29Rasmussen: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Oesterle, Hronek, Suter, Veleno, Zadina · NYI Greene, Palmieri, Barzal, Beauvillier, Czarnik, Dobson

  60. P3 12:33Goal by Wahlstrom (Barzal, Parise)4v5+31 pts WP

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, Rowney, Oesterle, Hronek · NYI Parise, Barzal, Beauvillier, Wahlstrom, Dobson

  61. P3 13:57Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Nedeljkovic
  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. OT 0:00Period start
  64. OT 0:46Shot by Seider, saved by Sorokin3v3
  65. OT 0:51Shot by Leddy, saved by Sorokin3v3
  66. OT 1:09Shot by Raymond, saved by Sorokin3v3
  67. OT 2:17Shot by Aho, saved by Nedeljkovic3v3
  68. OT 3:16Shot by Suter, saved by Sorokin3v3
  69. OT 3:33Goal by Seider (Suter, Zadina)3v3+47 pts WP

    On ice: DET Suter, Zadina, Seider · NYI Bailey, Pelech, Beauvillier

  70. OT 3:33Period end4v4
  71. OT 3:33Final