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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 4, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

New York Islanders 3, Detroit Red Wings 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 68% of the time.

DET winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bailey–Lee–BarzalPalmieri–Pageau–BellowsParise–Clutterbuck–MartinPalmieri–Pageau–BeauvillierBailey–Palmieri–CzarnikParise–Clutterbuck–CzarnikBarzal–Beauvillier–WahlstromBeauvillier–Czarnik–WahlstromPageau–Bellows–WahlstromClutterbuck–Martin–PageauCzarnik–Bellows–WahlstromChara–AhoPelech–DobsonGreene–MayfieldMayfield–PelechGreene–DobsonChara–DobsonGreene–AhoMayfield–Aho
Larkin–Fabbri–Raymond3:120.07–0.030:570.00–0.001:160.00–0.000:590.10–0.001:040.00–0.032:580.00–0.123:030.10–0.052:590.12–0.022:080.03–0.000:470.00–0.001:420.00–0.15
Namestnikov–Erne–Rasmussen4:090.26–0.081:490.00–0.040:540.00–0.001:200.03–0.003:230.07–0.012:230.24–0.121:000.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Suter–Veleno–Zadina0:410.00–0.080:370.00–0.001:080.00–0.041:300.04–0.000:440.11–0.020:370.00–0.001:510.00–0.042:490.00–0.182:310.15–0.020:560.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Gagner–Rowney–Smith0:390.00–0.000:360.16–0.000:560.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:310.04–0.080:580.00–0.000:460.17–0.00
Gagner–Namestnikov–Rowney0:420.06–0.000:450.06–0.000:410.01–0.00
Erne–Smith–Rasmussen0:370.13–0.000:350.00–0.090:410.10–0.000:310.03–0.09
Leddy–Hronek3:320.04–0.181:490.03–0.040:340.00–0.001:470.00–0.002:250.00–0.112:350.06–0.141:170.01–0.002:190.04–0.001:280.00–0.00
Oesterle–Seider2:410.00–0.001:160.23–0.001:220.02–0.000:350.00–0.001:040.00–0.032:170.23–0.003:040.00–0.131:370.02–0.002:330.00–0.000:440.00–0.04
Staal–Lindstrom1:470.00–0.041:160.00–0.000:360.16–0.002:590.03–0.041:230.00–0.070:550.00–0.001:200.17–0.00
Staal–Hronek1:100.00–0.000:530.10–0.001:300.10–0.000:340.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Leddy–Seider0:510.23–0.001:210.00–0.001:170.00–0.130:410.07–0.002:110.28–0.00
Staal–Seider0:330.00–0.090:510.04–0.090:490.02–0.00
Oesterle–Hronek1:090.00–0.000:320.00–0.010:410.00–0.010:440.00–0.00
Leddy–Oesterle0:550.06–0.000:470.11–0.021:460.17–0.31
Hronek–Seider0:300.00–0.12
Staal–Oesterle0:370.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndZadina FSuter FVeleno FRasmussen FErne FNamestnikov FFabbri FRaymond FLarkin FRowney FGagner FSmith FLeddy DHronek DSeider DOesterle DStaal DLindstrom DNedeljkovic GBellows FPalmieri FPageau FBailey FBarzal FLee FClutterbuck FParise FBeauvillier FWahlstrom FCzarnik FMartin FGreene DDobson DPelech DMayfield DChara DAho DSorokin G
DETNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Moritz SeiderDET2627:191:032:2126
Noah DobsonNYI2724:180:542:2443
Filip HronekDET2924:160:502:0742
Mathew BarzalNYI2524:160:582:3032
Adam PelechNYI2822:390:491:2727
Robby FabbriDET2021:581:062:2162
Nick LeddyDET2721:480:481:3161
Dylan LarkinDET2021:291:042:2162
Lucas RaymondDET1921:001:062:2172
Pius SuterDET2620:450:482:0043
Josh BaileyNYI2720:320:461:5811
Andy GreeneNYI2519:570:482:0732
Scott MayfieldNYI2419:470:492:0534
Jordan OesterleDET2118:530:542:0413
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2618:470:431:2756
Anders LeeNYI2418:390:471:1642
Marc StaalDET2118:380:531:4216
Sebastian AhoNYI2016:420:501:4630
Zdeno CharaNYI2016:390:501:2411
Kyle PalmieriNYI2116:300:471:5161
Michael RasmussenDET2416:240:411:1226
Vladislav NamestnikovDET2316:180:431:1306
Anthony BeauvillierNYI2015:290:461:3941
Austin CzarnikNYI1813:560:461:5151
Filip ZadinaDET1813:400:461:3621
Zach PariseNYI1813:360:451:3534
Adam ErneDET1913:190:421:1325
Kieffer BellowsNYI1613:090:491:3431
Cal ClutterbuckNYI2212:210:341:0817
Sam GagnerDET1611:560:451:0513
Carter RowneyDET1511:430:471:4111
Joseph VelenoDET1510:520:431:2721
Oliver WahlstromNYI1210:330:531:3340
Gustav LindstromDET88:421:051:5012
Givani SmithDET137:570:371:0522
Matt MartinNYI107:070:431:0211