Sat, Dec 4, 2021·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Minnesota Wild 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.
39%
9%
44%
MIN winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 26:55 | 0.25 | 64.0% | +42.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 8 | 24:04 | 0.81 | 61.3% | +36.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 22:55 | 0.62 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:09 | 0.00 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:03 | 0.00 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:33 | 0.16 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 7 | 20:37 | 0.62 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.11 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.03 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:31 | 0.05 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.13 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 15:51 | 0.24 | 35.3% | +42.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:22 | 0.00 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:36 | 0.02 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:12 | 0.14 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:39 | 0.02 | 55.6% | +6.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:33 | 0.00 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:53 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 40 | 37 | 3 | .925 | 3.06 | +0.1 | 64:51 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 28:31 | 0.21 | 62.6% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 25:54 | 0.16 | 64.2% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 22:13 | 0.25 | 70.7% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:42 | 0.18 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 21:07 | 0.53 | 35.7% | +13.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 20:50 | 0.26 | 38.6% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:23 | 0.00 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:38 | 0.01 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:15 | 0.20 | 77.7% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:35 | 0.07 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:42 | 0.53 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:35 | 0.40 | 70.6% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:57 | 0.00 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.01 | 13.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:35 | 0.00 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:35 | 0.08 | 12.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:46 | 0.13 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:54 | 0.04 | 66.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 42 | 39 | 3 | .929 | 3.22 | +0.2 | 64:58 |