Thu, Dec 9, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 62% of the time.
55%
30%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:47 | 0.01 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 21:22 | 1.24 | 49.6% | +37.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:13 | 0.00 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 3 | 19:59 | 0.35 | 34.6% | +50.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:57 | 0.00 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.01 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:37 | 0.52 | 36.3% | +35.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18:19 | 0.62 | 21.4% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:23 | 0.08 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.05 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.02 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.15 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:19 | 0.00 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.15 | 12.9% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.09 | 16.6% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:24 | 0.04 | 99.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:19 | 0.14 | 98.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:26 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 4.30 | +1.3 | 59:59 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 25:10 | 0.26 | 56.4% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 24:29 | 0.23 | 73.2% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 23:03 | 0.15 | 66.3% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:21 | 0.07 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 20:15 | 0.35 | 53.9% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:55 | 0.54 | 80.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:40 | 0.13 | 87.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 3 | 18:28 | 0.55 | 64.4% | +35.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:27 | 0.01 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:10 | 0.84 | 73.5% | +35.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 13:57 | 0.29 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:55 | 0.33 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.16 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.08 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:08 | 0.22 | 86.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:10 | 0.00 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:17 | 0.11 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:12 | 0.00 | 42.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 2.70 | −1.3 | 58:36 |