Thu, Dec 9, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 62% of the time.
55%
30%
TOR winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Stamkos–Palat–Raddysh | Killorn–Joseph–Colton | Perry–Maroon–Bellemare | Nash–Katchouk–Fortier | Nash–Stamkos–Palat | Hedman–Rutta | McDonagh–Bogosian | Sergachev–Foote | McDonagh–Rutta | Hedman–Foote | Bogosian–Sergachev | McDonagh–Sergachev | Bogosian–Hedman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simmonds–Bunting–Matthews | 2:330.38–0.15 | 2:480.23–0.04 | 3:040.31–0.01 | 1:340.00–0.01 | 3:340.32–0.00 | 5:020.72–0.18 | 0:580.07–0.04 | ||||||
| Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander | 2:240.14–0.35 | 1:240.12–0.00 | 1:280.30–0.15 | 1:200.00–0.14 | 0:540.12–0.00 | 3:180.26–0.30 | 2:470.00–0.15 | 0:320.18–0.00 | |||||
| Ritchie–Kase–Kampf | 2:040.01–0.06 | 3:000.14–0.10 | 1:090.20–0.00 | 1:500.11–0.07 | 3:560.22–0.09 | ||||||||
| Clifford–Engvall–Steeves | 1:010.00–0.00 | 2:370.00–0.00 | 2:200.00–0.14 | 1:310.11–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Nylander–Bunting–Matthews | 1:070.00–0.00 | 0:370.12–0.07 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:310.01–0.00 | 0:390.03–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Tavares–Ritchie–Kase | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.02 | 1:060.25–0.16 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:490.48–0.00 | ||||||||
| Ritchie–Kase–Matthews | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.07 | ||||||||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Matthews | 0:490.05–0.00 | 0:370.05–0.00 | 1:000.12–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Simmonds–Kerfoot–Kampf | 0:360.00–0.04 | 0:360.00–0.04 | |||||||||||
| Engvall–Kase–Kampf | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Brodie–Rielly | 5:150.60–0.35 | 4:370.28–0.14 | 3:360.22–0.01 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 6:440.26–0.36 | 5:090.89–0.17 | 3:460.00–0.03 | 0:310.07–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||
| Muzzin–Liljegren | 2:130.11–0.00 | 1:570.14–0.12 | 2:060.28–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.07 | 2:520.14–0.05 | 3:250.11–0.07 | 2:390.50–0.00 | 0:320.18–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:340.04–0.00 | 0:310.08–0.07 | |
| Muzzin–Holl | 3:170.00–0.41 | 1:290.00–0.04 | 1:590.09–0.15 | 0:460.00–0.14 | 2:300.00–0.14 | 2:530.00–0.34 | 3:400.09–0.30 | ||||||
| Holl–Rubins | 1:290.26–0.07 | 0:540.16–0.00 | 2:050.00–0.01 | 1:310.30–0.07 | 2:000.12–0.01 | 0:540.21–0.00 | 0:300.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Rubins–Liljegren | 1:080.00–0.00 | 1:460.11–0.00 | 1:530.00–0.00 | 1:460.11–0.00 | 1:250.14–0.00 | 2:160.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake MuzzinTOR | 26 | 25:10 | 0:58 | 1:44 | 3 | 4 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 26 | 24:29 | 0:57 | 1:47 | 6 | 1 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 28 | 23:47 | 0:51 | 1:25 | 2 | 4 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 26 | 23:03 | 0:53 | 1:20 | 5 | 3 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 29 | 21:22 | 0:44 | 1:42 | 7 | 7 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 28 | 21:13 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 3 | 8 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 27 | 20:21 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 3 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 27 | 20:15 | 0:45 | 1:41 | 8 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 30 | 19:59 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 7 | 6 |
 Jan RuttaTBL | 29 | 19:57 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 2 | 5 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 25 | 19:23 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 1 | 1 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 21 | 18:55 | 0:54 | 1:47 | 2 | 2 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 23 | 18:40 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 5 | 2 |
 Taylor RaddyshTBL | 27 | 18:37 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 6 | 4 |
 John TavaresTOR | 25 | 18:28 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 9 | 2 |
 Justin HollTOR | 25 | 18:27 | 0:44 | 1:38 | 2 | 4 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 25 | 18:19 | 0:44 | 2:04 | 2 | 3 |
 Ondrej KaseTOR | 25 | 18:10 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 3 | 6 |
 Zach BogosianTBL | 24 | 17:23 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 2 | 8 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 25 | 16:45 | 0:40 | 1:05 | 1 | 5 |
 Cal FooteTBL | 19 | 14:58 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 1 | 2 |
 Mathieu JosephTBL | 22 | 14:21 | 0:39 | 1:24 | 1 | 3 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 21 | 14:19 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 2 | 3 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 21 | 13:57 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 4 | 4 |
 Wayne SimmondsTOR | 20 | 13:55 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 2 | 2 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL | 21 | 13:53 | 0:40 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 David KampfTOR | 19 | 13:39 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 0 | 6 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 21 | 13:35 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 1 | 4 |
 Nick RitchieTOR | 21 | 12:55 | 0:37 | 1:57 | 3 | 3 |
 Kristians RubinsTOR | 21 | 12:08 | 0:35 | 1:08 | 3 | 3 |
 Riley NashTBL | 17 | 11:24 | 0:40 | 1:03 | 1 | 5 |
 Boris KatchoukTBL | 14 | 10:19 | 0:44 | 1:02 | 1 | 2 |
 Gabriel FortierTBL | 14 | 9:26 | 0:40 | 1:05 | 2 | 2 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 16 | 9:10 | 0:34 | 1:02 | 1 | 2 |
 Alex SteevesTOR | 11 | 7:17 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 1 | 1 |
 Kyle CliffordTOR | 10 | 7:12 | 0:43 | 0:59 | 1 | 1 |