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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 14, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

New York Islanders 1, Detroit Red Wings 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 52% of the time.

DET winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Shot by Cizikas, saved by Nedeljkovic
  3. P1 0:20Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Nedeljkovic
  4. P1 1:41Shot by Oesterle, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 1:50Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 4:04Shot by Pageau, saved by Nedeljkovic
  7. P1 4:07Shot by Palmieri, saved by Nedeljkovic
  8. P1 5:26Shot by Oesterle, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 6:18Shot by Bellows, saved by Nedeljkovic
  10. P1 6:49Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 6:57Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 8:12Shot by Seider, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 8:18Shot by Pageau, saved by Nedeljkovic
  14. P1 9:07Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Nedeljkovic
  15. P1 9:58Shot by Lee, saved by Nedeljkovic
  16. P1 10:02Shot by Lee, saved by Nedeljkovic
  17. P1 11:49Shot by Zadina, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 11:50Shot by Zadina, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 12:33Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Sorokin
  20. P1 13:51Shot by Smith, saved by Sorokin
  21. P1 14:12Shot by Raymond, saved by Sorokin
  22. P1 14:16Mayfield: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Leddy, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek, Raymond · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech

  23. P1 14:37Shot by Greene, saved by Nedeljkovic5v4
  24. P1 17:22Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Sorokin
  25. P1 17:46Shot by Erne, saved by Sorokin
  26. P1 19:49Shot by Seider, saved by Sorokin
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:17Shot by Suter, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 1:33Shot by Pageau, saved by Nedeljkovic
  31. P2 2:10Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Nedeljkovic
  32. P2 3:13Shot by Bailey, saved by Nedeljkovic
  33. P2 4:18Shot by Cizikas, saved by Nedeljkovic
  34. P2 4:23Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Nedeljkovic
  35. P2 4:39Oesterle: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Erne, Oesterle, Rasmussen, Lindstrom, Zadina · NYI Chara, Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Dobson

  36. P2 5:11Shot by Suter, saved by Sorokin4v5
  37. P2 9:00Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 9:24Shot by Seider, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 9:30Shot by Zadina, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 9:38Palmieri: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Erne, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina, Seider · NYI Chara, Palmieri, Lee, Pageau, Dobson

  41. P2 9:51Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin5v4
  42. P2 10:32Goal by Larkin (Seider, Raymond)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Seider, Raymond · NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Mayfield, Pelech

  43. P2 12:18Shot by Zadina, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 12:23Shot by Zadina, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 13:02Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Sorokin
  46. P2 13:04Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 13:47Shot by Parise, saved by Nedeljkovic
  48. P2 13:49Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Nedeljkovic
  49. P2 14:33Shot by Palmieri, saved by Nedeljkovic
  50. P2 14:56Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin
  51. P2 16:38Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Sorokin
  52. P2 16:57Pageau: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · NYI Parise, Greene, Pageau, Wahlstrom, Dobson

  53. P2 17:08Shot by Raymond, saved by Sorokin5v4
  54. P2 17:11Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Sorokin5v4
  55. P2 17:26Shot by Seider, saved by Sorokin5v4
  56. P2 18:40Shot by Zadina, saved by Sorokin5v4
  57. P2 18:58Shot by Zadina, saved by Sorokin
  58. P2 19:37Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Nedeljkovic
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:08Shot by Cizikas, saved by Nedeljkovic
  62. P3 0:55Shot by Dobson, saved by Nedeljkovic
  63. P3 2:23Shot by Palmieri, saved by Nedeljkovic
  64. P3 3:18Shot by Gagner, saved by Sorokin
  65. P3 3:46Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Nedeljkovic
  66. P3 4:27Shot by Parise, saved by Nedeljkovic
  67. P3 4:45Shot by Seider, saved by Sorokin
  68. P3 5:28Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Sorokin
  69. P3 8:39Shot by Bellows, saved by Nedeljkovic
  70. P3 9:02Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Nedeljkovic
  71. P3 9:20Shot by Raymond, saved by Sorokin
  72. P3 10:10Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Nedeljkovic
  73. P3 11:52Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin
  74. P3 12:38Shot by Lee, saved by Nedeljkovic
  75. P3 12:55Goal by Rasmussen (Erne)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET DeKeyser, Erne, Rasmussen, Zadina, Seider · NYI Chara, Palmieri, Lee, Pageau, Dobson

  76. P3 14:01Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Nedeljkovic
  77. P3 14:56Shot by Raymond, saved by Sorokin
  78. P3 17:15Shot by Dobson, saved by Nedeljkovic5v6
  79. P3 17:18Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Nedeljkovic5v6
  80. P3 17:27Goal by Lee (Dobson, Nelson)5v6+7 pts WP

    On ice: DET Leddy, Erne, Hronek, Suter, Zadina · NYI Bailey, Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Wahlstrom, Dobson

  81. P3 18:55Shot by Dobson, saved by Nedeljkovic5v6
  82. P3 19:13Shot by Lee, saved by Nedeljkovic5v6
  83. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  84. P3 0:00Final