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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 10, 2022·Ball Arena, Denver

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Colorado Avalanche 3

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 68% of the time.

COL winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:07Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 1:27Shot by Johnson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 1:50Shot by Newhook, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 2:22Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 2:28Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 2:43Goal by Landeskog (Rantanen, Toews)+22 pts WP

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · TBL McDonagh, Joseph, Raddysh, Sergachev, Colton

  8. P1 3:12Shot by Jost, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 3:19Shot by Helm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 4:08Shot by Makar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 4:13Shot by Newhook, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 4:17Palat: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kadri, Landeskog, Rantanen, Girard, Makar · TBL Palat, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Foote

  13. P1 5:23Shot by Kadri, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  14. P1 5:30Shot by Compher, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  15. P1 6:04Newhook: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Burakovsky, Compher, Nichushkin, Toews, Newhook · TBL Hedman, Bellemare, Joseph, Rutta

  16. P1 6:16Goal by Toews (Kadri, Johnson)4v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Kadri, Toews, O'Connor · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Rutta

  17. P1 6:39Shot by Point, saved by Kuemper4v5
  18. P1 6:40Shot by Killorn, saved by Kuemper4v5
  19. P1 7:15Shot by Johnson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  20. P1 7:58Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  21. P1 9:08Shot by Makar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 9:16Shot by Toews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 9:29Shot by Cirelli, saved by Kuemper
  24. P1 9:34Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kuemper
  25. P1 9:42Shot by Point, saved by Kuemper
  26. P1 10:08Shot by Cirelli, saved by Kuemper
  27. P1 10:45Goal by Kucherov (Point, Rutta)+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Murray, Compher, Sikura, O'Connor · TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Rutta

  28. P1 11:36Shot by Jost, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P1 12:01Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P1 12:33Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P1 12:43Killorn: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Kadri, Burakovsky, Girard, Newhook · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli, Rutta

  32. P1 14:30Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  33. P1 14:59Shot by Stamkos, saved by Kuemper
  34. P1 15:42Shot by Newhook, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P1 15:46Shot by Johnson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P1 16:38Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P1 18:40Shot by Killorn, saved by Kuemper
  38. P1 19:36Shot by Stamkos, saved by Kuemper
  39. P1 0:00Period end
  40. P2 0:00Period start
  41. P2 0:22Rutta: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Rutta

  42. P2 0:40Kadri: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Kadri, Landeskog, Rantanen, Girard, Makar · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Hedman, Bellemare

  43. P2 1:47Shot by Point, saved by Kuemper4v4
  44. P2 1:56Goal by Nichushkin (Burakovsky)4v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burakovsky, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Point, Foote

  45. P2 2:13Shot by Palat, saved by Kuemper4v4
  46. P2 3:02Shot by Murray, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 5:45Shot by Jost, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 6:25Shot by Johnson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 6:36Kadri: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kadri, Burakovsky, Toews, Makar, Newhook · TBL Hedman, Cirelli, Raddysh, Colton, Rutta

  50. P2 7:00Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kuemper4v5
  51. P2 7:48Shot by Killorn, saved by Kuemper4v5
  52. P2 7:57Shot by Point, saved by Kuemper4v5
  53. P2 7:59Shot by Cirelli, saved by Kuemper4v5
  54. P2 8:26Shot by Makar, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  55. P2 9:14Shot by Sergachev, saved by Kuemper
  56. P2 9:22Shot by Sergachev, saved by Kuemper
  57. P2 12:36Shot by Kadri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P2 12:59Shot by Kadri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P2 13:09Shot by Toews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P2 13:26Shot by Toews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P2 13:41Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P2 15:04Shot by Sergachev, saved by Kuemper
  63. P2 15:32Shot by Rutta, saved by Kuemper
  64. P2 15:54Goal by Point (Sergachev, Palat)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Kadri, Murray, Burakovsky, Newhook · TBL Palat, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Rutta

  65. P2 16:46Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P2 18:09Shot by Kadri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P2 18:36Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kuemper
  68. P2 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Period start
  70. P3 0:25Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 0:45Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 0:56Shot by Johnson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  73. P3 1:09Shot by Joseph, saved by Kuemper
  74. P3 1:56Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kuemper
  75. P3 2:02Shot by McDonagh, saved by Kuemper
  76. P3 5:16Shot by Toews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  77. P3 5:25Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Vasilevskiy
  78. P3 5:49Shot by Girard, saved by Vasilevskiy
  79. P3 5:58Shot by Toews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  80. P3 6:15Shot by Cirelli, saved by Kuemper
  81. P3 8:49Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  82. P3 9:18Johnson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Helm, Compher, Jost, Girard · TBL McDonagh, Cirelli, Raddysh, Sergachev, Colton

  83. P3 9:18Cirelli: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Johnson, Helm, Compher, Jost, Girard · TBL McDonagh, Cirelli, Raddysh, Sergachev, Colton

  84. P3 9:31Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  85. P3 10:59Shot by O'Connor, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  86. P3 11:51Shot by Sergachev, saved by Kuemper
  87. P3 12:05Shot by Killorn, saved by Kuemper
  88. P3 13:35Shot by Sergachev, saved by Kuemper
  89. P3 15:48Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  90. P3 16:44Shot by Joseph, saved by Kuemper
  91. P3 17:03Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kuemper5v6
  92. P3 17:08Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kuemper5v6
  93. P3 18:02Shot by Killorn, saved by Kuemper5v6
  94. P3 18:46Shot by Cirelli, saved by Kuemper5v6
  95. P3 18:53Shot by Cirelli, saved by Kuemper5v6
  96. P3 19:16Shot by Sergachev, saved by Kuemper5v6
  97. P3 19:43Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kuemper5v6
  98. P3 19:55Shot by Hedman, saved by Kuemper5v6
  99. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  100. P3 0:00Final