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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 28, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Montréal Canadiens 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.

TBL winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Savard, saved by Lagace
  3. P1 2:31Shot by Fortier, saved by Montembeault
  4. P1 3:19Shot by Drouin, saved by Lagace
  5. P1 3:55Shot by Kulak, saved by Lagace
  6. P1 8:24Fortier: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Bogosian, Point, Katchouk, Fortier · MTL Savard, Gallagher, Suzuki, Romanov, Harvey-Pinard

  7. P1 9:33Shot by Hedman, saved by Montembeault4v5
  8. P1 10:08Shot by Poehling, saved by Lagace4v5
  9. P1 10:45Shot by Pezzetta, saved by Lagace
  10. P1 10:46Goal by Vejdemo (Pezzetta, Paquette)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Joseph, Foote · MTL Savard, Paquette, Vejdemo, Pezzetta, Romanov

  11. P1 10:58Shot by Colton, saved by Montembeault
  12. P1 11:24Shot by Savard, saved by Lagace
  13. P1 11:31Shot by Kulak, saved by Lagace
  14. P1 11:38Goal by Point (Joseph, Hedman)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Point, Joseph, Rutta · MTL Kulak, Clague, Poehling, Harvey-Pinard, Caufield

  15. P1 12:10Shot by Stamkos, saved by Montembeault
  16. P1 12:17Shot by Rutta, saved by Montembeault
  17. P1 14:10Goal by Point (Killorn)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Point, Joseph, Rutta · MTL Gallagher, Kulak, Clague, Suzuki, Harvey-Pinard

  18. P1 14:28Shot by Caufield, saved by Lagace
  19. P1 14:41Shot by Stamkos, saved by Montembeault
  20. P1 15:54Shot by Point, saved by Montembeault
  21. P1 19:16Shot by Killorn, saved by Montembeault
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 2:05Goal by Harvey-Pinard (Niku, Schueneman)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Day, Colton, Foote · MTL Niku, Poehling, Harvey-Pinard, Schueneman, Caufield

  25. P2 2:26Shot by Katchouk, saved by Montembeault
  26. P2 2:55Shot by Romanov, saved by Lagace
  27. P2 3:53Gallagher: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Point, Joseph, Rutta · MTL Gallagher, Kulak, Drouin, Clague, Suzuki

  28. P2 5:59Shot by Maroon, saved by Montembeault
  29. P2 6:09Shot by Gallagher, saved by Lagace
  30. P2 6:09Gallagher: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Nash, Bogosian, Hedman, Katchouk, Fortier · MTL Gallagher, Drouin, Niku, Poehling, Schueneman

  31. P2 7:09Shot by Stamkos, saved by Montembeault5v4
  32. P2 7:45Shot by Colton, saved by Montembeault5v4
  33. P2 8:07Shot by Stamkos, saved by Montembeault5v4
  34. P2 8:11Goal by Colton (Stamkos, Perry)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Stamkos, Colton · MTL Savard, Gallagher, Paquette, Evans, Romanov

  35. P2 8:50Shot by Poehling, saved by Lagace5v6
  36. P2 8:54Nash: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Nash, Hedman, Katchouk, Rutta, Fortier · MTL Kulak, Drouin, Clague, Poehling, Harvey-Pinard, Caufield

  37. P2 9:53Shot by Caufield, saved by Lagace4v5
  38. P2 10:19Shot by Killorn, saved by Montembeault4v5
  39. P2 11:16Shot by Pezzetta, saved by Lagace
  40. P2 11:52Shot by Schueneman, saved by Lagace
  41. P2 11:54Shot by Caufield, saved by Lagace
  42. P2 12:03Katchouk: Throwing equipment (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Nash, Katchouk, Day, Foote, Fortier · MTL Kulak, Clague, Poehling, Harvey-Pinard, Caufield

  43. P2 12:15Shot by Suzuki, saved by Lagace4v5
  44. P2 12:26Shot by Killorn, saved by Montembeault4v5
  45. P2 14:15Shot by Katchouk, saved by Montembeault
  46. P2 15:18Pezzetta: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Palat, Point, Day, Foote · MTL Kulak, Paquette, Vejdemo, Clague, Pezzetta

  47. P2 16:30Shot by Savard, saved by Lagace5v4
  48. P2 17:30Shot by Colton, saved by Montembeault5v4
  49. P2 17:46Shot by Perry, saved by Montembeault5v4
  50. P2 17:48Shot by McDonagh, saved by Montembeault5v4
  51. P2 17:54Shot by Palat, saved by Montembeault5v4
  52. P2 18:34Shot by Palat, saved by Montembeault5v4
  53. P2 18:44Shot by Point, saved by Montembeault5v4
  54. P2 18:45Shot by Hedman, saved by Montembeault5v4
  55. P2 18:54Shot by Stamkos, saved by Montembeault5v4
  56. P2 19:49Fortier: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Nash, Bogosian, Katchouk, Foote, Fortier · MTL Savard, Gallagher, Pezzetta, Suzuki, Romanov

  57. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 2:45Shot by Suzuki, saved by Lagace
  60. P3 3:42Shot by Perry, saved by Montembeault
  61. P3 4:06Shot by Poehling, saved by Lagace
  62. P3 4:13Shot by Evans, saved by Lagace
  63. P3 4:35Shot by Evans, saved by Lagace
  64. P3 5:18Shot by Suzuki, saved by Lagace
  65. P3 5:30Shot by Kulak, saved by Lagace
  66. P3 6:11Goal by Clague (Caufield, Poehling)+28 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Colton, Rutta · MTL Kulak, Clague, Poehling, Harvey-Pinard, Caufield

  67. P3 7:04Shot by Romanov, saved by Lagace
  68. P3 10:43Shot by Point, saved by Montembeault
  69. P3 11:57Shot by Colton, saved by Montembeault
  70. P3 13:09Goal by Savard, unassisted+38 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Nash, Hedman, Katchouk, Foote, Fortier · MTL Savard, Belzile, Evans, Romanov, Ylonen

  71. P3 13:36Shot by Gallagher, saved by Lagace
  72. P3 13:57Shot by Point, saved by Montembeault
  73. P3 14:13Shot by Hedman, saved by Montembeault
  74. P3 16:14Shot by Drouin, saved by Lagace
  75. P3 17:00Shot by Evans, saved by Lagace
  76. P3 18:36Shot by Palat, saved by Montembeault6v5
  77. P3 19:11Shot by Stamkos, saved by Montembeault6v5
  78. P3 19:40Goal by Perry (Killorn, Point)6v5+50 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point · MTL Savard, Belzile, Evans, Suzuki, Romanov

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. OT 0:00Period start
  81. OT 0:22Shot by Hedman, saved by Montembeault3v3
  82. OT 0:36Goal by Palat (Hedman)3v3+47 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat · MTL Kulak, Drouin, Evans

  83. OT 0:36Period end4v4
  84. OT 0:36Final