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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 17, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 75% of the time.

TOR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Goal by Matthews (Brodie, Marner)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel

  3. P1 0:53Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Jarry
  4. P1 0:58Shot by Marino, saved by Campbell
  5. P1 1:19Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 1:40Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Jarry
  7. P1 2:10Shot by Spezza, saved by Jarry
  8. P1 2:37Shot by McGinn, saved by Campbell
  9. P1 3:38Shot by Carter, saved by Campbell
  10. P1 4:15Shot by Matheson, saved by Campbell
  11. P1 4:21Shot by Crosby, saved by Campbell
  12. P1 5:09Shot by Pettersson, saved by Campbell
  13. P1 5:26Shot by Carter, saved by Campbell
  14. P1 7:52Shot by Sandin, saved by Jarry
  15. P1 8:04Rodrigues: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Sandin · PIT McGinn, Kapanen, Pettersson, Marino, Rodrigues

  16. P1 9:53Shot by Sandin, saved by Jarry5v4
  17. P1 10:42Shot by Pettersson, saved by Campbell
  18. P1 11:42Shot by Brodie, saved by Jarry
  19. P1 12:03Shot by Rielly, saved by Jarry
  20. P1 12:18Shot by Guentzel, saved by Campbell
  21. P1 12:29Shot by Letang, saved by Campbell
  22. P1 13:19Shot by Bunting, saved by Jarry
  23. P1 14:44Shot by Engvall, saved by Jarry
  24. P1 14:49Shot by Kampf, saved by Jarry
  25. P1 14:58Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Jarry
  26. P1 16:04Rielly: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · PIT Crosby, Rust, Matheson, Ruhwedel, Guentzel, Kapanen

  27. P1 16:49Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Jarry4v5
  28. P1 17:50Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Campbell4v5
  29. P1 18:56Shot by Matheson, saved by Campbell
  30. P1 19:17Shot by Nylander, saved by Jarry
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 1:06Shot by Crosby, saved by Campbell
  34. P2 1:39Shot by Marino, saved by Campbell
  35. P2 2:04Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Campbell
  36. P2 3:11Shot by Spezza, saved by Jarry
  37. P2 5:02Rodrigues: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Kase, Kampf, Mikheyev · PIT McGinn, Kapanen, Pettersson, Marino, Rodrigues

  38. P2 5:31Goal by Rielly (Campbell)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · PIT Boyle, Dumoulin, Marino, Aston-Reese

  39. P2 6:23Shot by Rust, saved by Campbell
  40. P2 6:44Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Campbell
  41. P2 7:03Dermott: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott · PIT Carter, Malkin, Letang, Dumoulin, Heinen

  42. P2 7:40Shot by Crosby, saved by Campbell4v5
  43. P2 8:24Shot by Rust, saved by Campbell4v5
  44. P2 9:54Marner: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bunting, Dermott, Marner, Matthews · PIT Boyle, Dumoulin, Ruhwedel, Simon, Aston-Reese

  45. P2 13:01Shot by Kapanen, saved by Campbell
  46. P2 14:55Shot by Matthews, saved by Jarry
  47. P2 15:13Shot by Malkin, saved by Campbell
  48. P2 15:18Shot by Heinen, saved by Campbell
  49. P2 16:24Shot by Matthews, saved by Jarry
  50. P2 17:19Kerfoot: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Sandin · PIT Carter, Malkin, Letang, Dumoulin, Heinen

  51. P2 17:58Shot by Malkin, saved by Campbell4v5
  52. P2 18:21Shot by Crosby, saved by Campbell4v5
  53. P2 18:23Shot by Guentzel, saved by Campbell4v5
  54. P2 18:36Goal by Kampf (Rielly)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Kampf · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel

  55. P2 18:59Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Campbell4v5
  56. P2 19:17Shot by Kase, saved by Jarry4v5
  57. P2 19:29Shot by McGinn, saved by Campbell
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:48Shot by Sandin, saved by Jarry
  61. P3 0:58Shot by Carter, saved by Campbell
  62. P3 1:27Shot by Rust, saved by Campbell
  63. P3 1:54Shot by Letang, saved by Campbell
  64. P3 3:07Shot by Carter, saved by Campbell
  65. P3 3:31Shot by Malkin, saved by Campbell
  66. P3 3:32Shot by Carter, saved by Campbell
  67. P3 3:33Goal by Malkin (Carter)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Sandin · PIT Carter, Malkin, Letang, Dumoulin, Heinen

  68. P3 4:37Shot by Kase, saved by Jarry
  69. P3 4:55Shot by Rielly, saved by Jarry
  70. P3 6:06Goal by Bunting (Matthews, Marner)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Holl, Bunting, Dermott, Marner, Matthews · PIT Letang, Dumoulin, McGinn, Kapanen, Rodrigues

  71. P3 6:33Shot by Crosby, saved by Campbell
  72. P3 6:45Shot by Pettersson, saved by Campbell
  73. P3 7:23Shot by Heinen, saved by Campbell
  74. P3 8:06Shot by Simon, saved by Campbell
  75. P3 9:08Shot by Malkin, saved by Campbell5v6
  76. P3 9:08Rielly: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Engvall, Kase, Kampf · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Matheson, Guentzel

  77. P3 10:23Shot by Heinen, saved by Campbell4v5
  78. P3 12:46Shot by Heinen, saved by Campbell
  79. P3 13:19Shot by Kampf, saved by Jarry
  80. P3 13:37Shot by Marner, saved by Jarry
  81. P3 13:40Shot by Dermott, saved by Jarry
  82. P3 15:28Shot by Malkin, saved by Campbell
  83. P3 17:27Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Campbell
  84. P3 17:48Shot by Simon, saved by Campbell
  85. P3 18:02Shot by Simon, saved by Campbell
  86. P3 18:09Shot by Marino, saved by Campbell
  87. P3 18:22Shot by Nylander, saved by Jarry
  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. P3 0:00Final