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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 17, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 75% of the time.

TOR winsPIT wins

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Kris LetangD · #58000−2224:100.0762.0%0.0
Jake GuentzelC · #59000−2222:250.5256.4%0.0
Bryan RustRW · #17000−2322:030.6856.4%0.0
Sidney CrosbyC · #87000−2521:280.3656.6%0.0
Mike MathesonD · #50000218:360.0761.0%0.0
Chad RuhwedelD · #20000118:120.0166.4%0.0
John MarinoD · #60000318:100.0848.5%0.0
Evgeni MalkinC · #711010617:450.4885.1%+5.0
Brian DumoulinD · #8000−1117:370.0461.4%0.0
Jeff CarterC · #77011+1516:050.4985.1%+5.0
Danton HeinenLW · #43000+1415:200.4381.3%0.0
Evan RodriguesC · #9000−1314:470.1438.8%0.0
Kasperi KapanenRW · #42000−1114:360.1138.8%0.0
Marcus PetterssonD · #280000313:380.0542.2%0.0
Brian BoyleC · #110000012:020.0040.0%0.0
Brock McGinnLW · #23000−1211:500.1539.4%0.0
Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #120000010:330.0044.1%0.0
Dominik SimonC · #49000039:160.2540.3%0.0
Tristan Jarry#35L29254.8622.25−1.758:58

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

TJ BrodieD · #78011+2122:540.0541.3%+21.6
Morgan RiellyD · #44112+2322:120.2441.6%+17.6
Jake MuzzinD · #8000−1020:410.0024.7%0.0
Justin HollD · #3000+1019:540.0352.8%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16022+2119:510.0447.3%+26.1
David KampfC · #64101+1317:120.4149.2%+6.0
Travis DermottD · #23000+1116:180.0252.5%0.0
John TavaresC · #910000016:130.0737.9%0.0
Michael BuntingLW · #58101+1215:520.2941.5%+4.5
Rasmus SandinD · #38000−1315:470.0326.7%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34112+1315:420.2839.8%+26.1
Alexander KerfootC · #150000315:410.2531.6%0.0
Ondrej KaseRW · #250000214:490.0545.6%0.0
William NylanderRW · #880000214:250.1537.1%0.0
Ilya MikheyevRW · #650000214:050.1751.9%0.0
Pierre EngvallLW · #470000111:350.0433.9%0.0
Jason SpezzaC · #19000029:200.1343.4%0.0
Wayne SimmondsRW · #24000007:270.0024.0%0.0
Jack Campbell#36W46451.9783.94+2.960:00