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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 29, 2021·Capital One Arena, Washington

Nashville Predators 3, Washington Capitals 5

Away

Nashville Predators

3

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 81% of the time.

WSH winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:37Shot by Carlson, saved by Saros
  3. P1 1:52Shot by Trenin, saved by Samsonov
  4. P1 2:01Shot by Ekholm, saved by Samsonov
  5. P1 3:15Goal by Eller (Carlson, Ovechkin)+22 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Eller, Carlson, Orlov, Wilson · NSH Ekholm, Cousins, Carrier, Olivier, Tomasino

  6. P1 5:24Shot by Backstrom, saved by Saros
  7. P1 7:43Shot by Dowd, saved by Saros
  8. P1 7:44McCarron: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Dowd, Irwin, Hathaway, Alexeyev · NSH Borowiecki, Benning, McCarron, Trenin, Jeannot

  9. P1 8:16Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Saros5v4
  10. P1 10:18Shot by McCarron, saved by Samsonov
  11. P1 10:39Shot by Hathaway, saved by Saros
  12. P1 11:29Shot by Benning, saved by Samsonov
  13. P1 12:53Shot by Tomasino, saved by Samsonov
  14. P1 13:11Goal by Carlson (Backstrom, Orlov)+12 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Carlson, Orlov, McMichael, Protas · NSH Cousins, Harpur, Fabbro, Olivier, Tomasino

  15. P1 13:38Shot by Sheary, saved by Saros
  16. P1 14:39Shot by Orlov, saved by Saros
  17. P1 16:03Johansen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Sheary, van Riemsdyk, Kempny, Protas · NSH Borowiecki, Johansen, Benning, Kunin, Tolvanen

  18. P1 17:42Shot by Carlson, saved by Saros5v4
  19. P1 18:21Shot by Johansen, saved by Samsonov
  20. P1 18:52Goal by Dowd (Hagelin, Kempny)+7 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Hathaway, Kempny · NSH Duchene, Granlund, Harpur, Fabbro, Tolvanen

  21. P1 19:21Benning: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Dowd, Irwin, Hathaway, Alexeyev · NSH Borowiecki, Granlund, Benning, Kunin, Tolvanen

  22. P1 19:21Hathaway: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Dowd, Irwin, Hathaway, Alexeyev · NSH Borowiecki, Granlund, Benning, Kunin, Tolvanen

  23. P1 19:21Alexeyev: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Dowd, Irwin, Hathaway, Alexeyev · NSH Borowiecki, Granlund, Benning, Kunin, Tolvanen

  24. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:22Shot by Jeannot, saved by Samsonov
  27. P2 1:23Goal by Trenin (Jeannot, Fabbro)+7 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Hathaway · NSH Ekholm, McCarron, Trenin, Fabbro, Jeannot

  28. P2 1:30Shot by McCarron, saved by Samsonov
  29. P2 2:06Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Samsonov
  30. P2 2:30Shot by Irwin, saved by Saros
  31. P2 4:27Borowiecki: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson · NSH Borowiecki, Johansen, Benning, Kunin, Tolvanen

  32. P2 4:27Borowiecki: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson · NSH Borowiecki, Johansen, Benning, Kunin, Tolvanen

  33. P2 4:27Borowiecki: Misconduct (10 min)5v3

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson · NSH Borowiecki, Johansen, Benning, Kunin, Tolvanen

  34. P2 4:27Wilson: Fighting (5 min)5v3

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson · NSH Borowiecki, Johansen, Benning, Kunin, Tolvanen

  35. P2 5:26Shot by Oshie, saved by Saros5v4
  36. P2 5:36Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Saros5v4
  37. P2 6:24Shot by Sheary, saved by Saros5v4
  38. P2 6:38Shot by Hathaway, saved by Saros
  39. P2 7:03Goal by Kunin (Tolvanen, Harpur)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Kempny, Protas · NSH Johansen, Harpur, Kunin, Fabbro, Tolvanen

  40. P2 7:33Shot by Forsberg, saved by Samsonov
  41. P2 7:38Goal by Forsberg (Fabbro, Granlund)+23 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Carlson, Orlov, Dowd, Hathaway · NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, Fabbro

  42. P2 7:52Shot by Carlson, saved by Saros
  43. P2 10:09Shot by Eller, saved by Saros
  44. P2 13:00Harpur: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Eller, Carlson, Orlov, McMichael · NSH Duchene, Cousins, Benning, Harpur, Olivier

  45. P2 13:00Orlov: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Eller, Carlson, Orlov, McMichael · NSH Duchene, Cousins, Benning, Harpur, Olivier

  46. P2 14:44Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Samsonov4v4
  47. P2 16:21Shot by Hagelin, saved by Saros
  48. P2 16:27Shot by Carlson, saved by Saros
  49. P2 16:35Benning: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Carlson, Orlov, Dowd, Hathaway · NSH Duchene, Granlund, Forsberg, Benning, Carrier

  50. P2 18:04Shot by Sheary, saved by Saros5v4
  51. P2 18:17Shot by Eller, saved by Saros5v4
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:15Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Saros
  55. P3 1:52Shot by Protas, saved by Saros
  56. P3 2:10Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Samsonov
  57. P3 3:41Shot by Johansen, saved by Samsonov
  58. P3 4:48Shot by Irwin, saved by Saros
  59. P3 6:15Fabbro: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Sheary, van Riemsdyk, Kempny, Protas · NSH Cousins, Harpur, Fabbro, Olivier, Tomasino

  60. P3 7:33Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Saros5v4
  61. P3 8:03Shot by Wilson, saved by Saros5v4
  62. P3 8:24Wilson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, Orlov, Wilson, Sheary, van Riemsdyk · NSH Granlund, Benning, Harpur, McCarron, Fabbro

  63. P3 9:32Shot by Hathaway, saved by Saros4v5
  64. P3 10:31Shot by Wilson, saved by Saros
  65. P3 10:43Shot by Irwin, saved by Saros
  66. P3 12:18Granlund: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson · NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, Carrier

  67. P3 13:18Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Saros5v4
  68. P3 13:24Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Saros5v4
  69. P3 13:32Shot by Backstrom, saved by Saros5v4
  70. P3 13:40Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Saros5v4
  71. P3 13:44Wilson: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Eller, Orlov, Wilson, Sheary · NSH Ekholm, McCarron, Carrier, Jeannot

  72. P3 13:47Shot by Fabbro, saved by Samsonov4v4
  73. P3 14:24Goal by Kuznetsov (Oshie, Carlson)4v5+31 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov · NSH Granlund, Forsberg, Carrier, Jeannot, Tolvanen

  74. P3 16:33Shot by Backstrom, saved by Saros
  75. P3 18:57Goal by Hagelin (Orlov, Carlson)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Carlson, Orlov, Dowd, Hathaway · NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg, Carrier

  76. P3 19:22Shot by Trenin, saved by Samsonov
  77. P3 19:27Shot by Trenin, saved by Samsonov
  78. P3 19:31Kempny: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Kempny · NSH Harpur, McCarron, Trenin, Fabbro, Jeannot

  79. P3 19:31McCarron: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Kempny · NSH Harpur, McCarron, Trenin, Fabbro, Jeannot

  80. P3 19:31Wilson: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Kempny · NSH Harpur, McCarron, Trenin, Fabbro, Jeannot

  81. P3 19:59Shot by Johansen, saved by Samsonov4v5
  82. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  83. P3 0:00Final