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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 1, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 0, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 88% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by Rielly, saved by Murray
  3. P1 0:47Sanford: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander · OTT Watson, Sanford, Chabot, Mete, Gambrell

  4. P1 2:03Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Murray5v4
  5. P1 2:28Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Murray5v4
  6. P1 4:23Gaudette: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Biega, Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott · OTT Holden, Shaw, Bishop, Gaudette, Zub

  7. P1 5:42Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Murray5v4
  8. P1 6:22Shot by Spezza, saved by Murray5v4
  9. P1 8:20Shot by Nylander, saved by Murray
  10. P1 8:56Shot by Kase, saved by Murray
  11. P1 10:01Shot by Spezza, saved by Murray
  12. P1 10:47Shot by Batherson, saved by Campbell
  13. P1 13:37Rielly: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Sandin · OTT Shaw, Bishop, Chabot, Gaudette, Mete

  14. P1 14:06Goal by Holl (Kampf, Brodie)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Holl, Kampf, Mikheyev · OTT Brown, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  15. P1 14:33Goal by Mikheyev (Kerfoot, Brodie)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Holl, Kerfoot, Dermott, Mikheyev · OTT Tierney, Sanford, Gaudette, Brannstrom, Thomson

  16. P1 15:47Shot by Watson, saved by Campbell
  17. P1 18:32Shot by Kase, saved by Murray
  18. P1 19:06Shot by Chabot, saved by Campbell
  19. P1 19:16Shot by Mete, saved by Campbell
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:26Shot by Rielly, saved by Murray
  23. P2 0:30Shot by Bunting, saved by Murray
  24. P2 0:47Holden: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · OTT Holden, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub

  25. P2 2:49Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Murray
  26. P2 3:49Shot by Formenton, saved by Campbell
  27. P2 4:05Sanford: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Simmonds, Rielly, Nylander, Engvall, Dermott, Matthews · OTT Tierney, Sanford, Chabot, Formenton, Thomson

  28. P2 4:27Shot by Marner, saved by Murray5v4
  29. P2 4:53Shot by Brown, saved by Campbell5v4
  30. P2 5:18Shot by Formenton, saved by Campbell5v4
  31. P2 5:25Shot by Tavares, saved by Murray5v4
  32. P2 5:28Shot by Matthews, saved by Murray5v4
  33. P2 5:30Shot by Matthews, saved by Murray5v4
  34. P2 6:08Shot by Stützle, saved by Campbell
  35. P2 6:28Shot by Brodie, saved by Murray
  36. P2 7:15Shot by Rielly, saved by Murray
  37. P2 7:18Goal by Brodie (Rielly, Kerfoot)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander · OTT Sanford, Chabot, Gaudette, Mete, Stützle

  38. P2 9:48Shot by Engvall, saved by Murray
  39. P2 11:05Shot by Holl, saved by Murray
  40. P2 11:40Shot by Formenton, saved by Campbell
  41. P2 11:41Shot by Formenton, saved by Campbell
  42. P2 12:56Shot by Dermott, saved by Murray
  43. P2 13:56Sanford: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander · OTT Sanford, Chabot, Mete, Gambrell, Batherson

  44. P2 14:07Shot by Brown, saved by Campbell5v4
  45. P2 14:30Tavares: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · OTT Holden, Brown, Formenton, Zub

  46. P2 15:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Murray4v4
  47. P2 15:31Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Campbell4v4
  48. P2 18:44Shot by Kase, saved by Murray
  49. P2 18:53Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:33Shot by Tierney, saved by Campbell
  53. P3 2:15Shot by Simmonds, saved by Murray
  54. P3 2:27Shot by Spezza, saved by Murray
  55. P3 2:56Shot by Bunting, saved by Murray
  56. P3 3:54Shot by Tavares, saved by Murray
  57. P3 4:28Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Murray
  58. P3 4:47Shot by Engvall, saved by Murray
  59. P3 6:33Shot by Marner, saved by Murray
  60. P3 7:14Shot by Shaw, saved by Campbell
  61. P3 7:32Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Campbell
  62. P3 8:00Shot by Chabot, saved by Campbell
  63. P3 8:05Shot by Chabot, saved by Campbell
  64. P3 10:14Shot by Biega, saved by Murray
  65. P3 11:28Shot by Formenton, saved by Campbell
  66. P3 12:10Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell
  67. P3 12:17Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Campbell
  68. P3 13:41Goal by Nylander (Dermott, Kerfoot)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott · OTT Brown, Chabot, Formenton, Stützle, Zub

  69. P3 13:43Batherson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander · OTT Holden, Tierney, Mete, Batherson, Tkachuk

  70. P3 14:39Shot by Kase, saved by Murray5v4
  71. P3 14:42Goal by Mikheyev (Kase, Spezza)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Bunting, Kase, Sandin, Mikheyev · OTT Holden, Watson, Gambrell, Zub

  72. P3 15:13Shot by Engvall, saved by Murray
  73. P3 15:40Shot by Batherson, saved by Campbell
  74. P3 16:56Shot by Formenton, saved by Campbell
  75. P3 17:14Goal by Nylander (Tavares, Sandin)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Mikheyev · OTT Holden, Brown, Formenton, Stützle, Zub

  76. P3 18:23Holl: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Holl, Engvall, Sandin · OTT Brown, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  77. P3 19:28Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Murray4v5
  78. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  79. P3 0:00Final