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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 8, 2022·Gila River Arena, Glendale

Nashville Predators 4, Arizona Coyotes 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 70% of the time.

ARI winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Shot by Crouse, saved by Saros
  3. P1 0:18Shot by Larsson, saved by Saros
  4. P1 0:55Shot by Kunin, saved by Vejmelka
  5. P1 0:56Goal by Ekholm (Kunin, Johansen)+10 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Ladd, Boyd, Gostisbehere, Mayo, Keller · NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Myers, Kunin, Tolvanen

  6. P1 0:58O'Brien: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: ARI Stralman, Galchenyuk, O'Brien, Schmaltz, Moser · NSH Borowiecki, Duchene, Granlund, Myers, Jeannot

  7. P1 0:58Borowiecki: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: ARI Stralman, Galchenyuk, O'Brien, Schmaltz, Moser · NSH Borowiecki, Duchene, Granlund, Myers, Jeannot

  8. P1 2:05Shot by Benning, saved by Vejmelka
  9. P1 2:19Shot by Luff, saved by Vejmelka
  10. P1 2:37Kessel: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Kessel, Larsson, Gostisbehere, Mayo, Crouse · NSH Ekholm, McCarron, Carrier, Luff, Tomasino

  11. P1 2:37Ekholm: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: ARI Kessel, Larsson, Gostisbehere, Mayo, Crouse · NSH Ekholm, McCarron, Carrier, Luff, Tomasino

  12. P1 2:41Shot by Josi, saved by Vejmelka4v4
  13. P1 4:39Shot by Crouse, saved by Saros
  14. P1 5:05Shot by Mayo, saved by Saros
  15. P1 6:27Shot by Tomasino, saved by Vejmelka
  16. P1 6:28Luff: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Galchenyuk, Gostisbehere, Schmaltz, Mayo, Crouse · NSH Josi, McCarron, Carrier, Luff, Tomasino

  17. P1 6:28Mayo: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: ARI Galchenyuk, Gostisbehere, Schmaltz, Mayo, Crouse · NSH Josi, McCarron, Carrier, Luff, Tomasino

  18. P1 7:07Shot by Josi, saved by Vejmelka4v4
  19. P1 7:19Shot by Carrier, saved by Vejmelka4v4
  20. P1 7:21Shot by Duchene, saved by Vejmelka4v4
  21. P1 7:33Shot by Stralman, saved by Saros4v4
  22. P1 8:11Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Saros4v4
  23. P1 10:25Shot by Larsson, saved by Saros
  24. P1 10:32Shot by Larsson, saved by Saros
  25. P1 10:42Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Vejmelka
  26. P1 11:05Carrier: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Ladd, Stralman, Boyd, Keller, Moser · NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Carrier, Jeannot

  27. P1 12:42Shot by Sissons, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  28. P1 12:44Shot by Keller, saved by Saros5v4
  29. P1 12:45Kunin: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: ARI Gostisbehere, Schmaltz, Mayo, Crouse, Keller · NSH Josi, Sissons, Myers, Kunin

  30. P1 13:02Shot by Boyd, saved by Saros5v3
  31. P1 13:12Shot by Carrier, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  32. P1 14:54Shot by Crouse, saved by Saros
  33. P1 15:06Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Vejmelka
  34. P1 15:14Shot by Johansen, saved by Vejmelka
  35. P1 15:26Johansen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Stralman, Kessel, Larsson, Crouse, Moser · NSH Josi, Johansen, Benning, Kunin, Tolvanen

  36. P1 16:00Larsson: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: ARI Ladd, Kessel, Larsson, Boyd, Moser · NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Carrier, Jeannot

  37. P1 16:25Shot by Keller, saved by Saros4v4
  38. P1 16:48Shot by Granlund, saved by Vejmelka4v4
  39. P1 17:20Goal by Trenin (Benning, Tolvanen)4v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Kessel, Roussel, Gostisbehere, Mayo · NSH Benning, Trenin, Myers, Tolvanen

  40. P1 18:56Goal by Jeannot (Duchene, Josi)+10 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Galchenyuk, Gostisbehere, Mayo, Fischer, Crouse · NSH Josi, Borowiecki, Duchene, Granlund, Jeannot

  41. P1 19:09Ladd: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Ladd, Stralman, Boyd, Keller, Moser · NSH Borowiecki, Johansen, Benning, Kunin, Tolvanen

  42. P1 19:18Shot by Johansen, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  43. P1 19:22Granlund: Holding the stick (2 min)4v5

    On ice: ARI Stralman, Nash, Mayo, Keller · NSH Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Granlund, Tolvanen

  44. P1 19:43Shot by Duchene, saved by Vejmelka4v4
  45. P1 0:00Period end4v4
  46. P2 0:00Period start
  47. P2 0:55Shot by Mayo, saved by Saros4v4
  48. P2 0:56Jeannot: High sticking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: ARI Nash, Roussel, Gostisbehere, Mayo · NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Carrier, Jeannot

  49. P2 1:06Shot by Keller, saved by Saros4v3
  50. P2 1:25Shot by Kessel, saved by Saros5v4
  51. P2 1:26Shot by Boyd, saved by Saros5v4
  52. P2 1:47Shot by Trenin, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  53. P2 2:53Shot by Kessel, saved by Saros5v4
  54. P2 4:45Shot by Nash, saved by Saros
  55. P2 5:04Shot by Moser, saved by Saros
  56. P2 5:40Shot by Benning, saved by Vejmelka
  57. P2 8:34Shot by O'Brien, saved by Saros
  58. P2 11:26Shot by Granlund, saved by Vejmelka
  59. P2 11:42Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Saros
  60. P2 13:48Larsson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Kessel, Larsson, Crouse, Dineen, Lyubushkin · NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Carrier, Jeannot

  61. P2 14:54Shot by Dineen, saved by Saros4v5
  62. P2 15:21Shot by Boyd, saved by Saros4v5
  63. P2 16:01Shot by Tomasino, saved by Vejmelka
  64. P2 16:13Shot by Josi, saved by Vejmelka
  65. P2 16:51Shot by Larsson, saved by Saros
  66. P2 17:20Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Saros
  67. P2 18:05Shot by Nash, saved by Saros
  68. P2 19:00Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Saros
  69. P2 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Period start
  71. P3 2:19Goal by Keller, unassisted+6 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Ladd, Stralman, Boyd, Keller, Moser · NSH Josi, Benning, McCarron, Luff, Tomasino

  72. P3 2:44Ladd: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Ladd, Stralman, Boyd, Keller, Moser · NSH Josi, Cousins, Sissons, Benning, Trenin

  73. P3 2:44Trenin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Ladd, Stralman, Boyd, Keller, Moser · NSH Josi, Cousins, Sissons, Benning, Trenin

  74. P3 2:44Keller: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Ladd, Stralman, Boyd, Keller, Moser · NSH Josi, Cousins, Sissons, Benning, Trenin

  75. P3 2:44Trenin: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: ARI Ladd, Stralman, Boyd, Keller, Moser · NSH Josi, Cousins, Sissons, Benning, Trenin

  76. P3 2:44Ladd: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: ARI Ladd, Stralman, Boyd, Keller, Moser · NSH Josi, Cousins, Sissons, Benning, Trenin

  77. P3 2:44Ladd: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: ARI Ladd, Stralman, Boyd, Keller, Moser · NSH Josi, Cousins, Sissons, Benning, Trenin

  78. P3 2:57Shot by Josi, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  79. P3 3:32Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  80. P3 3:40Shot by Josi, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  81. P3 4:55Shot by Keller, saved by Saros
  82. P3 6:10O'Brien: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Galchenyuk, O'Brien, Schmaltz, Dineen, Lyubushkin · NSH Josi, Johansen, Myers, Kunin, Tolvanen

  83. P3 7:25Goal by Josi (Johansen, Granlund)4v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Nash, Roussel, Mayo, Lyubushkin · NSH Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Granlund, Tolvanen

  84. P3 9:04Shot by O'Brien, saved by Saros
  85. P3 10:05Shot by Josi, saved by Vejmelka
  86. P3 10:31Shot by Crouse, saved by Saros
  87. P3 10:43Shot by Dineen, saved by Saros
  88. P3 10:48Goal by Crouse (Nash, Dineen)+4 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Nash, Fischer, Crouse, Dineen, Lyubushkin · NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Benning, Jeannot

  89. P3 10:48Jeannot: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: ARI Nash, Fischer, Crouse, Dineen, Lyubushkin · NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Benning, Jeannot

  90. P3 10:48O'Brien: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: ARI Nash, Fischer, Crouse, Dineen, Lyubushkin · NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Benning, Jeannot

  91. P3 10:48Cousins: Delaying game bench (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Nash, Fischer, Crouse, Dineen, Lyubushkin · NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Benning, Jeannot

  92. P3 12:19Shot by Keller, saved by Saros5v4
  93. P3 12:20Fischer: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)5v4

    On ice: ARI Gostisbehere, Schmaltz, Fischer, Crouse, Keller · NSH Borowiecki, Sissons, Benning, Kunin

  94. P3 12:52Shot by Keller, saved by Saros4v5
  95. P3 16:47Shot by Crouse, saved by Saros6v5
  96. P3 16:58Shot by Moser, saved by Saros6v5
  97. P3 19:45Shot by Kessel, saved by Saros6v5
  98. P3 19:51Shot by Boyd, saved by Saros6v5
  99. P3 19:52Shot by Moser, saved by Saros6v5
  100. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  101. P3 0:00Final