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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 21, 2022·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Dallas Stars 5, Detroit Red Wings 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 61% of the time.

DET winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Nedeljkovic
  3. P1 2:19Gurianov: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Staal, Gagner, Bertuzzi, Fabbri, Suter, Seider · DAL Suter, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Gurianov

  4. P1 3:25Shot by Hronek, saved by Holtby5v4
  5. P1 4:20Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Holtby
  6. P1 4:32Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Holtby
  7. P1 5:12Shot by Hintz, saved by Nedeljkovic
  8. P1 5:56Shot by Fabbri, saved by Holtby
  9. P1 8:23Shot by Larkin, saved by Holtby
  10. P1 9:28Shot by Suter, saved by Holtby
  11. P1 11:19Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Holtby
  12. P1 11:31Shot by Robertson, saved by Nedeljkovic
  13. P1 11:54Shot by Pavelski, saved by Nedeljkovic
  14. P1 11:56Shot by Hintz, saved by Nedeljkovic
  15. P1 11:56Shot by Pavelski, saved by Nedeljkovic
  16. P1 12:01Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Nedeljkovic
  17. P1 12:03Goal by Suter (Heiskanen, Seguin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Leddy, Bertuzzi, Fabbri, Lindstrom, Suter · DAL Suter, Benn, Seguin, Gurianov, Heiskanen

  18. P1 12:26Goal by Fabbri (Bertuzzi)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Leddy, Bertuzzi, Fabbri, Lindstrom, Suter · DAL Suter, Benn, Seguin, Gurianov, Heiskanen

  19. P1 13:27Shot by Lindell, saved by Nedeljkovic
  20. P1 13:27Hronek: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, Larkin, Hronek, Seider, Raymond · DAL Pavelski, Klingberg, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson

  21. P1 13:47Shot by Seguin, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  22. P1 17:01Shot by Hronek, saved by Holtby
  23. P1 18:08Suter: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET DeKeyser, Erne, Rasmussen, Zadina, Seider · DAL Suter, Radulov, Benn, Seguin, Heiskanen

  24. P1 18:30Shot by Seider, saved by Holtby5v4
  25. P1 19:59Shot by Leddy, saved by Holtby5v4
  26. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:47Shot by Benn, saved by Nedeljkovic
  29. P2 2:02Shot by Hanley, saved by Nedeljkovic
  30. P2 3:00Veleno: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Gagner, Smith, Hronek, Veleno · DAL Radulov, Hakanpää, Faksa, Lindell, Kiviranta

  31. P2 4:55Shot by Klingberg, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  32. P2 5:02Shot by Klingberg, saved by Nedeljkovic
  33. P2 5:50Goal by Kiviranta (Heiskanen, Lindell)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Leddy, Erne, Smith, Lindstrom, Veleno · DAL Radulov, Lindell, Heiskanen, Peterson, Kiviranta

  34. P2 6:37Shot by Seider, saved by Holtby
  35. P2 6:58Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby
  36. P2 7:34Goal by Suter (Bertuzzi, Hronek)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Staal, Bertuzzi, Fabbri, Hronek, Suter · DAL Benn, Seguin, Hakanpää, Lindell, Gurianov

  37. P2 9:16Goal by Larkin, unassisted+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · DAL Pavelski, Klingberg, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson

  38. P2 9:56Shot by Seider, saved by Holtby
  39. P2 10:21Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Holtby
  40. P2 10:55Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Holtby
  41. P2 12:05Lindstrom: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Gagner, Leddy, Smith, Lindstrom, Veleno · DAL Benn, Hakanpää, Glendening, Hanley, Peterson

  42. P2 12:42Shot by Seider, saved by Holtby4v5
  43. P2 13:05Shot by Suter, saved by Holtby4v5
  44. P2 17:54Shot by Seguin, saved by Nedeljkovic
  45. P2 18:47Goal by Lindell (Pavelski, Robertson)+25 pts WP

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · DAL Pavelski, Hakanpää, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson

  46. P2 19:11Shot by Klingberg, saved by Nedeljkovic
  47. P2 19:39Shot by Radulov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  48. P2 19:53Shot by Hintz, saved by Nedeljkovic
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 1:38Shot by Glendening, saved by Nedeljkovic
  52. P3 1:44Shot by Radulov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  53. P3 2:37Shot by Gagner, saved by Holtby
  54. P3 3:16Shot by Hintz, saved by Nedeljkovic
  55. P3 4:22Erne: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Erne, Smith, Hronek, Rasmussen · DAL Radulov, Glendening, Faksa, Hanley, Heiskanen

  56. P3 7:16Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Holtby
  57. P3 7:51Radulov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Leddy, Bertuzzi, Fabbri, Suter, Seider · DAL Suter, Pavelski, Radulov, Glendening, Heiskanen

  58. P3 8:54Shot by Zadina, saved by Holtby5v4
  59. P3 12:24Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Holtby
  60. P3 12:58Holtby: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Leddy, Fabbri, Lindstrom, Suter, Veleno · DAL Suter, Pavelski, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen

  61. P3 13:46Goal by Bertuzzi (Raymond, Seider)5v4+29 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Seider, Raymond · DAL Hakanpää, Faksa, Lindell, Hintz

  62. P3 14:55Shot by Gurianov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  63. P3 16:47Shot by Peterson, saved by Nedeljkovic
  64. P3 16:48Shot by Radulov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  65. P3 17:11Shot by Veleno, saved by Holtby
  66. P3 18:25Shot by Seider, saved by Holtby
  67. P3 18:57Goal by Robertson (Pavelski, Hintz)5v6+43 pts WP

    On ice: DET DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek, Suter · DAL Pavelski, Seguin, Klingberg, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen

  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. OT 0:00Period start
  70. OT 0:43Shot by Robertson, saved by Nedeljkovic3v3
  71. OT 1:19Shot by Leddy, saved by Holtby3v3
  72. OT 1:45Shot by Gurianov, saved by Nedeljkovic3v3
  73. OT 1:57Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Nedeljkovic3v3
  74. OT 2:09Fabbri: Tripping (2 min)3v3

    On ice: DET Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek · DAL Pavelski, Hintz, Heiskanen

  75. OT 2:28Shot by Pavelski, saved by Nedeljkovic3v4
  76. OT 2:51Goal by Hintz (Pavelski, Klingberg)3v4+53 pts WP

    On ice: DET Gagner, DeKeyser, Seider · DAL Pavelski, Klingberg, Hintz, Robertson

  77. OT 2:51Period end4v4
  78. OT 2:51Final