Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 24, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Minnesota Wild 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.

TOR winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:43Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 4:56Shot by Fiala, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 7:29Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 10:56Shot by Bunting, saved by Kahkonen
  6. P1 11:36Shot by Spezza, saved by Kahkonen
  7. P1 11:52Kulikov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kerfoot, Dermott, Kampf, Sandin, Mikheyev · MIN Kulikov, Foligno, Bjugstad, Brodin, Dewar

  8. P1 13:59Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 14:41Shot by Hartman, saved by Mrazek
  10. P1 15:29Shot by Fiala, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 16:24Lyubushkin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Bunting, Marner, Sandin, Lyubushkin · MIN Kulikov, Brodin, Fiala, Eriksson Ek, Boldy

  12. P1 16:37Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Kahkonen4v5
  13. P1 19:15Shot by Nylander, saved by Kahkonen
  14. P1 19:56Shot by Marner, saved by Kahkonen
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 1:26Shot by Brodie, saved by Kahkonen
  18. P2 2:11Shot by Liljegren, saved by Kahkonen
  19. P2 3:12Kampf: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kerfoot, Nylander, Kampf, Sandin, Lyubushkin · MIN Kulikov, Brodin, Duhaime, Dewar, Sturm

  20. P2 4:38Shot by Boldy, saved by Mrazek4v5
  21. P2 5:07Shot by Boldy, saved by Mrazek4v5
  22. P2 6:17Shot by Liljegren, saved by Kahkonen
  23. P2 6:25Shot by Nylander, saved by Kahkonen
  24. P2 8:02Shot by Simmonds, saved by Kahkonen
  25. P2 8:26Shot by Brodin, saved by Mrazek
  26. P2 8:37Goal by Gaudreau (Boldy, Fiala)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Bunting, Dermott, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren · MIN Kulikov, Brodin, Gaudreau, Fiala, Boldy

  27. P2 9:04Goal by Matthews (Liljegren, Dermott)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren · MIN Kulikov, Brodin, Hartman, Fiala, Boldy

  28. P2 11:45Shot by Bunting, saved by Kahkonen
  29. P2 12:21Shot by Boldy, saved by Mrazek
  30. P2 12:28Shot by Bunting, saved by Kahkonen
  31. P2 13:08Fiala: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander · MIN Zuccarello, Merrill, Hartman, Kaprizov, Addison

  32. P2 13:27Shot by Matthews, saved by Kahkonen5v4
  33. P2 14:17Shot by Dewar, saved by Mrazek5v4
  34. P2 14:26Shot by Hartman, saved by Mrazek5v4
  35. P2 14:44Sandin: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Bunting, Engvall, Kase, Sandin · MIN Kulikov, Merrill, Duhaime, Dewar

  36. P2 14:54Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Mrazek4v4
  37. P2 15:17Shot by Marner, saved by Kahkonen4v5
  38. P2 16:50Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 17:48Shot by Dewar, saved by Mrazek
  40. P2 18:45Shot by Foligno, saved by Mrazek
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 1:07Bunting: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · MIN Goligoski, Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov

  44. P3 1:43Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Mrazek4v5
  45. P3 1:47Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Mrazek4v5
  46. P3 3:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Kahkonen
  47. P3 4:14Shot by Dermott, saved by Kahkonen
  48. P3 4:36Shot by Goligoski, saved by Mrazek
  49. P3 4:47Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Mrazek
  50. P3 4:56Shot by Nylander, saved by Kahkonen
  51. P3 5:37Shot by Sandin, saved by Kahkonen
  52. P3 6:46Shot by Brodin, saved by Mrazek
  53. P3 8:13Shot by Fiala, saved by Mrazek
  54. P3 9:42Shot by Spezza, saved by Kahkonen
  55. P3 10:22Goal by Matthews (Marner)+31 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Lyubushkin · MIN Kulikov, Merrill, Duhaime, Dewar, Sturm

  56. P3 11:23Shot by Liljegren, saved by Kahkonen
  57. P3 11:27Shot by Nylander, saved by Kahkonen
  58. P3 11:41Shot by Simmonds, saved by Kahkonen
  59. P3 13:05Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Mrazek
  60. P3 14:13Shot by Fiala, saved by Mrazek
  61. P3 15:51Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Mrazek
  62. P3 15:55Shot by Duhaime, saved by Mrazek
  63. P3 17:43Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Mrazek
  64. P3 17:58Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Mrazek5v6
  65. P3 18:20Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Mrazek5v6
  66. P3 19:18Goal by Kerfoot (Marner, Tavares)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Kerfoot, Dermott, Marner · MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Brodin, Fiala, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov

  67. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  68. P3 0:00Final