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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 24, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Minnesota Wild 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.

TOR winsMIN wins

Minnesota Wild

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jared SpurgeonD · #46000−1225:180.1746.2%0.0
Jonas BrodinD · #25000−1222:160.0477.3%0.0
Mats ZuccarelloRW · #36000−1120:240.0156.7%0.0
Joel Eriksson EkC · #14000−1519:550.4755.8%0.0
Kirill KaprizovLW · #97000−1119:400.1046.0%0.0
Marcus FolignoLW · #170000119:250.0142.7%0.0
Dmitry KulikovD · #29000−1019:240.0261.0%0.0
Ryan HartmanRW · #38000−1219:230.2231.0%0.0
Alex GoligoskiD · #470000119:090.0229.6%0.0
Kevin FialaLW · #22011−1417:140.2458.3%+20.9
Matt BoldyLW · #120110317:020.1972.3%+20.9
Frederick GaudreauC · #89101+1516:240.3270.2%+20.9
Calen AddisonD · #590000013:080.0011.0%0.0
Jon MerrillD · #4000−1013:010.005.7%0.0
Nick BjugstadC · #270000011:240.0026.5%0.0
Brandon DuhaimeLW · #21000−119:120.2449.0%0.0
Connor DewarC · #52000−128:370.1432.8%0.0
Nico SturmC · #7000−107:090.0424.7%0.0
Kaapo Kahkonen#34L24222.9171.57−0.457:55

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

TJ BrodieD · #78000+2124:480.0031.8%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44000+1023:460.0642.6%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16022+2222:100.1652.8%+34.3
Auston MatthewsC · #34202+1420:060.3155.1%+51.6
Timothy LiljegrenD · #370110318:380.0851.8%+21.0
Michael BuntingLW · #58000+1318:240.2059.3%0.0
Rasmus SandinD · #380000118:010.0350.5%0.0
David KampfC · #640000017:070.006.7%0.0
William NylanderRW · #880000416:450.3759.2%0.0
Ilya LyubushkinD · #46000+1016:220.0061.4%0.0
John TavaresC · #91011+1015:060.0064.5%+3.8
Travis DermottD · #230110115:010.1063.0%+21.0
Alexander KerfootC · #15101+1214:580.7522.2%+3.8
Ondrej KaseRW · #250000014:290.0061.7%0.0
Pierre EngvallLW · #470000013:300.0012.0%0.0
Wayne SimmondsRW · #24000029:370.2262.2%0.0
Jason SpezzaC · #19000028:550.0241.7%0.0
Ilya MikheyevRW · #65000004:390.000.0%0.0
Petr Mrazek#35W30291.9672.22+1.259:38