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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 26, 2022·Nissan Stadium, NashvilleOutdoor game

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Nashville Predators 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Final

Home

Nashville Predators

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 52% of the time.

NSH winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:19Johansen: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Benning, Kunin, Tomasino · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Cernak, Raddysh, Colton

  3. P1 3:17Shot by Colton, saved by Saros4v5
  4. P1 3:33Shot by McCarron, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 4:37Shot by Duchene, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 4:48Shot by Killorn, saved by Saros
  7. P1 5:12Shot by Point, saved by Saros
  8. P1 5:27Shot by Luff, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 6:34Joseph: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Jeannot · TBL Hedman, Bellemare, Joseph, Raddysh, Sergachev

  10. P1 6:48Shot by Bellemare, saved by Saros5v4
  11. P1 8:20Shot by Tomasino, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  12. P1 8:20Goal by Jeannot (Tomasino, Sissons)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Jeannot, Tolvanen, Tomasino · TBL Killorn, Cirelli, Sergachev, Rutta

  13. P1 8:57Shot by Forsberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 9:55McCarron: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, McCarron, Fabbro, Luff, Tolvanen · TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Sergachev, Foote

  15. P1 9:55Maroon: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Josi, McCarron, Fabbro, Luff, Tolvanen · TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Sergachev, Foote

  16. P1 10:46Shot by Stamkos, saved by Saros
  17. P1 11:32Shot by Colton, saved by Saros
  18. P1 12:01Shot by Benning, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 12:15Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros
  20. P1 14:06Shot by Joseph, saved by Saros
  21. P1 15:08Shot by Stamkos, saved by Saros
  22. P1 16:08Shot by McCarron, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 16:37Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 17:43Shot by Benning, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P1 18:00Shot by Granlund, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P1 18:35Shot by Colton, saved by Saros
  27. P1 19:11Shot by McDonagh, saved by Saros
  28. P1 19:49Benning: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, Benning · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Cernak, Cirelli

  29. P1 19:52Shot by Point, saved by Saros4v5
  30. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:22Shot by Stamkos, saved by Saros4v5
  33. P2 0:58Goal by Point (Kucherov, Stamkos)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Myers, Jeannot · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  34. P2 3:58Shot by Josi, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 5:06Bellemare: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Johansen, Harpur, Myers, Kunin, Tomasino · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Sergachev

  36. P2 5:06Johansen: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Johansen, Harpur, Myers, Kunin, Tomasino · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Sergachev

  37. P2 5:15Jeannot: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Harpur, Trenin, Myers, Jeannot · TBL Perry, Maroon, Sergachev, Colton, Rutta

  38. P2 5:25Shot by Point, saved by Saros4v5
  39. P2 5:36Shot by Killorn, saved by Saros4v5
  40. P2 6:18Goal by Kucherov (Hedman, Stamkos)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Granlund, Harpur, McCarron, Fabbro · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  41. P2 7:04Shot by Forsberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 7:05McDonagh: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Forsberg, McCarron, Fabbro · TBL McDonagh, Palat, Joseph, Cirelli, Sergachev

  43. P2 7:27Shot by Forsberg, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  44. P2 10:49Shot by Jeannot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 11:33Shot by Luff, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 13:26Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros
  47. P2 14:07Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros
  48. P2 14:22Shot by McDonagh, saved by Saros
  49. P2 15:16Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros
  50. P2 18:33Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros
  51. P2 18:34Shot by Maroon, saved by Saros
  52. P2 18:35Shot by Maroon, saved by Saros
  53. P2 18:35Myers: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Johansen, Myers, Kunin, Tomasino · TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Sergachev, Rutta

  54. P2 0:00Shot by Stamkos, saved by Saros4v5
  55. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:45Shot by Cirelli, saved by Saros
  58. P3 1:10Shot by Granlund, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 1:32Shot by Cirelli, saved by Saros
  60. P3 2:34Shot by Raddysh, saved by Saros
  61. P3 3:28Shot by Duchene, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 5:38Shot by Killorn, saved by Saros
  63. P3 6:22Shot by Josi, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 6:57Bellemare: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ekholm, Johansen, Kunin, Tomasino · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Rutta

  65. P3 7:15Shot by Forsberg, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  66. P3 7:17Shot by Duchene, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  67. P3 11:31Goal by Stamkos (Foote, Killorn)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Benning, McCarron, Luff, Tolvanen · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Cirelli, Foote

  68. P3 12:22Hedman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Johansen, Harpur, Trenin, Myers, Jeannot · TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Raddysh, Rutta

  69. P3 12:29Goal by Forsberg (Granlund, Johansen)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg · TBL McDonagh, Bellemare, Joseph, Sergachev

  70. P3 13:05Shot by Josi, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 13:33Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros
  72. P3 15:56Shot by McDonagh, saved by Saros
  73. P3 16:56Shot by Sissons, saved by Vasilevskiy
  74. P3 17:46Shot by Point, saved by Saros
  75. P3 18:28Shot by Granlund, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  76. P3 19:24Shot by Johansen, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  77. P3 19:24Shot by Jeannot, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  78. P3 19:30Shot by Josi, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  79. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  80. P3 0:00Final