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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 26, 2022·Nissan Stadium, NashvilleOutdoor game

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 52% of the time.

NSH winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Palat–Kucherov–PointKillorn–Stamkos–CirelliPerry–Maroon–BellemareJoseph–Raddysh–ColtonPalat–Joseph–CirelliMcDonagh–SergachevSergachev–FooteHedman–RuttaHedman–SergachevMcDonagh–HedmanMcDonagh–RuttaSergachev–RuttaMcDonagh–FooteMcDonagh–CernakHedman–Cernak
Duchene–Granlund–Forsberg5:550.06–0.261:590.19–0.080:440.00–0.000:580.05–0.002:090.07–0.004:130.07–0.180:520.05–0.001:190.00–0.082:460.00–0.031:480.25–0.100:460.00–0.00
Sissons–Trenin–Jeannot1:260.02–0.002:570.10–0.113:580.11–0.201:250.02–0.043:110.11–0.151:060.04–0.000:560.00–0.020:400.00–0.020:410.00–0.000:570.07–0.07
Johansen–Kunin–Tomasino1:220.00–0.002:020.00–0.083:210.00–0.440:510.00–0.002:240.00–0.050:500.00–0.000:550.00–0.440:380.00–0.001:330.00–0.08
McCarron–Luff–Tolvanen0:310.08–0.082:100.03–0.192:050.07–0.040:360.03–0.001:180.07–0.001:250.00–0.041:140.08–0.130:360.00–0.14
Josi–Fabbro2:360.02–0.014:160.31–0.220:380.00–0.002:280.05–0.012:230.10–0.123:550.12–0.121:250.07–0.011:190.08–0.080:480.00–0.010:510.19–0.081:290.13–0.001:070.00–0.002:160.07–0.15
Ekholm–Benning5:150.00–0.071:550.00–0.141:120.00–0.001:410.11–0.141:200.00–0.042:110.11–0.102:070.00–0.001:410.00–0.021:190.00–0.031:060.00–0.140:460.00–0.00
Harpur–Myers1:370.15–0.081:240.00–0.052:350.10–0.040:590.00–0.021:360.05–0.002:040.01–0.050:350.00–0.000:440.07–0.001:010.00–0.041:370.08–0.15
Josi–Myers1:050.03–0.440:330.00–0.000:550.00–0.44
Josi–Ekholm0:420.00–0.000:400.00–0.001:060.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Josi–Benning1:050.00–0.050:340.00–0.071:110.00–0.05
Ekholm–Fabbro1:160.03–0.110:380.00–0.00
Ekholm–Myers0:530.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndForsberg FGranlund FDuchene FKunin FTomasino FJohansen FSissons FJeannot FTrenin FMcCarron FLuff FTolvanen FFabbro DJosi DBenning DEkholm DHarpur DMyers DSaros GPalat FPoint FKucherov FKillorn FCirelli FStamkos FRaddysh FColton FPerry FMaroon FJoseph FBellemare FHedman DSergachev DMcDonagh DCernak DRutta DFoote DVasilevskiy G
NSHTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2829:051:022:0450
Roman JosiNSH2428:201:112:4523
Ryan McDonaghTBL2626:061:002:2024
Mikhail SergachevTBL2925:470:531:5042
Mattias EkholmNSH2522:400:541:3324
Mikael GranlundNSH2422:370:572:2945
Matt DucheneNSH2122:031:032:4544
Alex KillornTBL2521:220:511:2974
Filip ForsbergNSH2120:270:582:4545
Colton SissonsNSH2620:270:471:5836
Brayden PointTBL2220:200:551:2551
Nikita KucherovTBL2220:170:551:3151
Anthony CirelliTBL2219:400:542:5154
Steven StamkosTBL1918:350:592:0052
Matt BenningNSH2318:100:471:2304
Tanner JeannotNSH2217:410:481:5334
Dante FabbroNSH2317:340:461:2335
Jan RuttaTBL2216:290:452:0423
Ondrej PalatTBL1915:440:501:2511
Ryan JohansenNSH1815:110:511:5951
Yakov TreninNSH1914:520:471:2425
Philippe MyersNSH2014:510:451:2413
Luke KuninNSH1812:520:431:2441
Philip TomasinoNSH1712:350:441:0661
Corey PerryTBL1612:140:461:1022
Mathieu JosephTBL1712:100:431:4012
Cal FooteTBL1211:180:571:5011
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1811:000:371:1323
Patrick MaroonTBL1510:440:431:0812
Ben HarpurNSH1710:340:370:5604
Taylor RaddyshTBL169:540:371:4010
Michael McCarronNSH139:270:441:0901
Eeli TolvanenNSH118:370:471:0922
Ross ColtonTBL127:430:391:4011
Matt LuffNSH96:430:451:0202
Erik CernakTBL75:390:481:3111