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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 2, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Away

Buffalo Sabres

5

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Engvall, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 0:44Shot by Okposo, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 1:31Kerfoot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Kerfoot, Bunting, Matthews, Sandin · BUF Okposo, Fitzgerald, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Cozens

  5. P1 2:26Goal by Bryson (Cozens, Mittelstadt)4v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Engvall, Lyubushkin, Mikheyev · BUF Okposo, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Cozens

  6. P1 4:39Shot by Hagg, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 6:02Shot by Holl, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 9:40Shot by Robertson, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 11:10Shot by Olofsson, saved by Mrazek
  10. P1 11:48Goal by Sandin (Bunting, Marner)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Sandin · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson

  11. P1 14:49Shot by Olofsson, saved by Mrazek
  12. P1 16:28Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 16:30Shot by Kampf, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 0:00Period end
  15. P2 0:00Period start
  16. P2 1:00Shot by Cozens, saved by Mrazek
  17. P2 1:03Shot by Skinner, saved by Mrazek
  18. P2 1:04Shot by Skinner, saved by Mrazek
  19. P2 1:51Okposo: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Kampf, Sandin · BUF Okposo, Pysyk, Hagg, Bjork, Cozens

  20. P2 1:57Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson5v4
  21. P2 3:12Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson5v4
  22. P2 3:17Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Anderson5v4
  23. P2 4:28Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson
  24. P2 4:35Shot by Okposo, saved by Mrazek
  25. P2 8:00Shot by Brodie, saved by Anderson
  26. P2 9:19Shot by Fitzgerald, saved by Mrazek
  27. P2 12:14Shot by Asplund, saved by Mrazek
  28. P2 12:18Shot by Asplund, saved by Mrazek
  29. P2 12:19Goal by Olofsson (Asplund, Dahlin)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Kampf, Sandin · BUF Olofsson, Asplund, Bryson, Dahlin, Krebs

  30. P2 12:47Shot by Engvall, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 12:48Shot by Engvall, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 14:51Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 15:37Shot by Dermott, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 17:00Shot by Engvall, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 18:00Shot by Bryson, saved by Mrazek
  36. P2 18:31Goal by Thompson (Skinner, Tuch)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Sandin · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Dahlin

  37. P2 19:59Shot by Engvall, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 0:00Period end
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 2:16Shot by Bjork, saved by Mrazek
  41. P3 2:33Shot by Brodie, saved by Anderson
  42. P3 3:05Shot by Skinner, saved by Mrazek
  43. P3 3:11Shot by Thompson, saved by Mrazek
  44. P3 3:33Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Mrazek
  45. P3 4:44Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  46. P3 4:45Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  47. P3 4:55Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  48. P3 6:09Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Anderson
  49. P3 6:39Goal by Skinner, unassisted+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Sandin · BUF Skinner, Pysyk, Hagg, Tuch, Thompson

  50. P3 6:50Shot by Pysyk, saved by Mrazek
  51. P3 6:56Shot by Skinner, saved by Mrazek
  52. P3 9:00Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
  53. P3 9:32Shot by Holl, saved by Anderson
  54. P3 9:48Shot by Thompson, saved by Mrazek
  55. P3 10:48Shot by Tavares, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 11:19Shot by Holl, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 11:48Goal by Okposo (Cozens, Pysyk)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews · BUF Okposo, Pysyk, Hagg, Mittelstadt, Cozens

  58. P3 12:19Shot by Dahlin, saved by Mrazek
  59. P3 12:31Shot by Skinner, saved by Mrazek
  60. P3 13:19Shot by Bryson, saved by Mrazek
  61. P3 14:12Spezza: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Rielly, Kerfoot, Lyubushkin · BUF Okposo, Fitzgerald, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Cozens

  62. P3 14:27Shot by Brodie, saved by Anderson4v5
  63. P3 15:25Shot by Cozens, saved by Mrazek4v5
  64. P3 16:14Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 16:29Shot by Hayden, saved by Mrazek
  66. P3 17:26Shot by Tuch, saved by Mrazek
  67. P3 17:53Shot by Tavares, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 18:02Shot by Asplund, saved by Mrazek
  69. P3 19:41Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final