Wed, Mar 2, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.
31%
11%
9%
49%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:13 | 0.01 | 61.0% | +22.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:24 | 0.06 | 60.4% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.02 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.02 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.01 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.05 | 38.4% | +0.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 17:50 | 0.74 | 73.6% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.09 | 68.2% | +15.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:23 | 0.35 | 70.2% | +15.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:20 | 0.32 | 67.7% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:56 | 0.14 | 62.2% | +9.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.00 | 7.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.04 | 34.5% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.00 | 7.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.05 | 7.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:32 | 0.31 | 66.1% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:18 | 0.00 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:24 | 0.12 | 73.7% | +22.7 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 1.90 | +0.9 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:03 | 0.04 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:38 | 0.08 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 20:56 | 0.07 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 19:52 | 0.06 | 40.8% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:55 | 0.08 | 44.1% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:14 | 0.07 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:34 | 0.29 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:11 | 0.05 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.17 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.08 | 24.2% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.05 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.05 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:37 | 0.14 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13:04 | 0.30 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:52 | 0.28 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:13 | 0.00 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.07 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:29 | 0.03 | 41.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 2.34 | −2.7 | 60:00 |