Wed, Mar 2, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.
31%
11%
9%
49%
TOR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | Eakin–Hayden–Bjork | Okposo–Mittelstadt–Cozens | Olofsson–Asplund–Krebs | Skinner–Olofsson–Krebs | Bryson–Dahlin | Fitzgerald–Samuelsson | Pysyk–Hagg | Hagg–Fitzgerald | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bunting–Marner–Matthews | 4:380.08–0.13 | 1:390.08–0.00 | 3:400.00–0.00 | 1:330.04–0.00 | 5:230.09–0.17 | 1:580.11–0.00 | 3:210.00–0.00 | ||
| Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander | 1:570.00–0.23 | 2:200.06–0.00 | 2:170.01–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.11 | 0:520.05–0.00 | 2:440.04–0.03 | 4:400.06–0.33 | 2:300.07–0.13 | |
| Engvall–Kampf–Mikheyev | 3:190.33–0.15 | 1:280.05–0.00 | 0:510.19–0.00 | 2:020.07–0.02 | 4:360.33–0.17 | 1:390.12–0.14 | 2:390.26–0.00 | ||
| Spezza–Simmonds–Robertson | 0:480.02–0.00 | 2:440.00–0.04 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:080.02–0.02 | 1:260.02–0.00 | 1:470.02–0.00 | 3:290.00–0.06 | ||
| Spezza–Simmonds–Kerfoot | 1:330.10–0.01 | 0:530.03–0.00 | 1:090.10–0.00 | 1:030.03–0.01 | |||||
| Tavares–Marner–Robertson | 1:180.00–0.05 | 0:310.00–0.01 | 1:010.00–0.01 | 0:500.00–0.05 | |||||
| Nylander–Bunting–Matthews | 0:410.02–0.17 | 0:410.02–0.17 | |||||||
| Brodie–Holl | 6:060.04–0.59 | 3:300.06–0.00 | 3:390.02–0.17 | 0:540.03–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 4:450.04–0.00 | 5:310.11–0.52 | 5:200.03–0.21 | 0:390.00–0.16 |
| Rielly–Sandin | 3:060.03–0.16 | 0:460.03–0.00 | 3:240.20–0.00 | 2:340.00–0.40 | 3:190.00–0.48 | 3:320.09–0.02 | 4:000.25–0.10 | ||
| Dermott–Lyubushkin | 0:520.32–0.00 | 3:510.05–0.00 | 1:540.00–0.00 | 1:270.04–0.05 | 3:130.39–0.05 | 2:470.00–0.00 | 2:130.02–0.00 | ||
| Dermott–Sandin | 1:570.21–0.01 | 0:530.03–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.15 | 1:250.21–0.00 | 1:130.03–0.01 | ||||
| Rielly–Lyubushkin | 1:030.05–0.01 | 0:470.02–0.04 | 1:160.02–0.03 | 1:560.05–0.04 | 0:400.02–0.00 | 0:480.02–0.04 | |||
| Brodie–Sandin | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||
| Holl–Rielly | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Brodie–Lyubushkin | 0:490.02–0.01 | ||||||||
| Rielly–Dermott | 0:400.00–0.04 | ||||||||
| Brodie–Dermott | 0:380.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 TJ BrodieTOR | 26 | 23:03 | 0:53 | 1:42 | 2 | 2 |
 Justin HollTOR | 26 | 21:38 | 0:50 | 1:42 | 2 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 29 | 21:13 | 0:44 | 1:36 | 2 | 9 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 26 | 20:56 | 0:48 | 2:02 | 3 | 1 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 27 | 20:24 | 0:45 | 1:33 | 0 | 6 |
 Rasmus SandinTOR | 23 | 19:52 | 0:52 | 1:19 | 2 | 2 |
 Robert HaggBUF | 23 | 19:23 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 1 | 2 |
 Casey FitzgeraldBUF | 24 | 18:59 | 0:47 | 1:49 | 1 | 1 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 23 | 18:55 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 4 | 4 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 25 | 18:45 | 0:45 | 1:49 | 1 | 2 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 23 | 18:21 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 1 | 2 |
 John TavaresTOR | 19 | 18:14 | 0:58 | 2:26 | 4 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 21 | 17:50 | 0:51 | 1:18 | 3 | 3 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 21 | 17:37 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 4 | 4 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 20 | 17:34 | 0:53 | 1:34 | 5 | 1 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 22 | 17:23 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 3 | 3 |
 Ilya LyubushkinTOR | 21 | 17:11 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 3 | 0 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 21 | 17:02 | 0:49 | 1:08 | 5 | 0 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 20 | 16:34 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 5 | 1 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 23 | 16:20 | 0:43 | 1:28 | 0 | 5 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 23 | 15:56 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 1 | 5 |
 Cody EakinBUF | 19 | 15:55 | 0:50 | 1:49 | 1 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 19 | 15:27 | 0:49 | 2:22 | 5 | 0 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 23 | 15:22 | 0:40 | 1:02 | 1 | 5 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 19 | 15:16 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 1 | 1 |
 Anders BjorkBUF | 19 | 15:05 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 1 | 2 |
 John HaydenBUF | 18 | 14:13 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 1 | 2 |
 Ilya MikheyevTOR | 19 | 13:37 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 1 | 1 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 19 | 13:04 | 0:41 | 1:02 | 1 | 1 |
 David KampfTOR | 20 | 12:52 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 1 | 3 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 18 | 12:32 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 0 | 0 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 17 | 12:18 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 2 | 0 |
 Jason SpezzaTOR | 15 | 12:13 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 3 | 0 |
 Wayne SimmondsTOR | 15 | 12:08 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 2 | 0 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 15 | 11:29 | 0:46 | 1:02 | 2 | 2 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 15 | 10:24 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 |