Fri, Mar 4, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Minnesota Wild 4, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 91% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:40Shot by Goligoski, saved by Anderson
- P1 1:26Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Anderson
- P1 2:05Shot by Krebs, saved by Kahkonen
- P1 2:41Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Anderson
- P1 3:43Shot by Hartman, saved by Anderson
- P1 4:36Shot by Asplund, saved by Kahkonen
- P1 4:39Shot by Pysyk, saved by Kahkonen
- P1 7:14Shot by Addison, saved by Anderson
- P1 7:15Foligno: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)
On ice: BUF Eakin, Hayden, Bjork, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson · MIN Foligno, Merrill, Hartman, Kaprizov, Addison
- P1 7:25Shot by Dahlin, saved by Kahkonen5v4
- P1 7:26Shot by Skinner, saved by Kahkonen5v4
- P1 7:27Shot by Thompson, saved by Kahkonen5v4
- P1 8:33Shot by Olofsson, saved by Kahkonen5v4
- P1 8:51Goal by Mittelstadt (Dahlin, Okposo)5v4+21 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Cozens · MIN Kulikov, Merrill, Gaudreau, Sturm
- P1 9:27Shot by Hayden, saved by Kahkonen
- P1 10:07Shot by Hartman, saved by Anderson
- P1 10:13Shot by Kulikov, saved by Anderson
- P1 10:49Shot by Dewar, saved by Anderson
- P1 11:09Shot by Foligno, saved by Anderson
- P1 11:12Shot by Foligno, saved by Anderson
- P1 11:14Shot by Hartman, saved by Anderson
- P1 12:43Shot by Tuch, saved by Kahkonen
- P1 14:39Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Anderson
- P1 15:25Goal by Hartman (Kaprizov, Spurgeon)+22 pts WP
On ice: BUF Eakin, Pysyk, Hayden, Hagg, Bjork · MIN Goligoski, Spurgeon, Foligno, Hartman, Kaprizov
- P1 16:42Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Anderson
- P1 18:59Shot by Skinner, saved by Kahkonen
- P1 19:50Shot by Shaw, saved by Anderson
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:45Shot by Thompson, saved by Kahkonen
- P2 4:32Brodin: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Dahlin · MIN Kulikov, Foligno, Brodin, Hartman, Kaprizov
- P2 5:07Shot by Thompson, saved by Kahkonen5v4
- P2 5:23Shot by Thompson, saved by Kahkonen5v4
- P2 5:38Shot by Thompson, saved by Kahkonen5v4
- P2 5:59Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Kahkonen5v4
- P2 6:01Goal by Okposo (Mittelstadt, Dahlin)5v4+22 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Cozens · MIN Goligoski, Spurgeon, Gaudreau, Fiala
- P2 8:42Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Anderson
- P2 8:49Shot by Dewar, saved by Anderson
- P2 9:22Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Anderson
- P2 10:03Shot by Shaw, saved by Anderson
- P2 10:19Shot by Asplund, saved by Kahkonen
- P2 10:20Shot by Olofsson, saved by Kahkonen
- P2 11:29Shot by Fiala, saved by Anderson
- P2 13:06Shot by Olofsson, saved by Kahkonen
- P2 14:34Shot by Krebs, saved by Kahkonen
- P2 14:59Shot by Dahlin, saved by Kahkonen
- P2 15:36Shot by Tuch, saved by Kahkonen
- P2 16:46Shot by Dewar, saved by Anderson
- P2 16:52Eakin: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Eakin, Hayden, Bjork, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson · MIN Merrill, Eriksson Ek, Duhaime, Addison, Dewar
- P2 18:04Shot by Cozens, saved by Kahkonen4v5
- P2 19:09Duhaime: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Bryson, Dahlin · MIN Kulikov, Bjugstad, Brodin, Hartman, Duhaime
- P2 19:19Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Anderson5v4
- P2 19:45Shot by Kulikov, saved by Anderson5v4
- P2 19:57Shot by Thompson, saved by Kahkonen5v4
- P2 0:00Period end5v4
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:26Shot by Skinner, saved by Kahkonen5v4
- P3 1:15Shot by Cozens, saved by Kahkonen
- P3 1:31Shot by Fitzgerald, saved by Kahkonen
- P3 2:51Shot by Thompson, saved by Kahkonen
- P3 2:52Shot by Skinner, saved by Kahkonen
- P3 3:20Goal by Fiala (Gaudreau, Goligoski)+26 pts WP
On ice: BUF Olofsson, Asplund, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson, Krebs · MIN Goligoski, Spurgeon, Gaudreau, Fiala, Boldy
- P3 3:51Shot by Shaw, saved by Anderson
- P3 3:51Hagg: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Pysyk, Hagg, Mittelstadt, Cozens · MIN Merrill, Bjugstad, Shaw, Addison, Sturm
- P3 4:59Goal by Kaprizov (Spurgeon, Boldy)4v5+28 pts WP
On ice: BUF Pysyk, Asplund, Dahlin, Cozens · MIN Spurgeon, Fiala, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Boldy
- P3 5:22Shot by Bjork, saved by Kahkonen
- P3 6:03Shot by Kulikov, saved by Anderson
- P3 6:09Shot by Dewar, saved by Anderson
- P3 6:35Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Anderson
- P3 7:28Shot by Sturm, saved by Anderson
- P3 8:46Fitzgerald: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson · MIN Goligoski, Spurgeon, Bjugstad, Shaw, Sturm
- P3 8:46Shaw: Fighting (5 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson · MIN Goligoski, Spurgeon, Bjugstad, Shaw, Sturm
- P3 10:14Shot by Pysyk, saved by Kahkonen
- P3 12:08Shot by Asplund, saved by Kahkonen
- P3 12:18Shot by Skinner, saved by Kahkonen
- P3 12:20Goal by Skinner (Thompson)+37 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Dahlin · MIN Goligoski, Spurgeon, Gaudreau, Fiala, Boldy
- P3 15:28Shot by Shaw, saved by Anderson
- P3 16:40Goal by Skinner, unassisted+38 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Bryson, Dahlin, Cozens · MIN Kulikov, Brodin, Gaudreau, Fiala, Boldy
- P3 17:16Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Kahkonen
- P3 18:28Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Anderson
- P3 18:54Goal by Olofsson (Krebs)5v6+5 pts WP
On ice: BUF Pysyk, Hagg, Olofsson, Asplund, Krebs · MIN Brodin, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Duhaime, Addison, Dewar
- P3 19:26Goal by Kaprizov (Fiala, Brodin)5v6+3 pts WP
On ice: BUF Eakin, Skinner, Hayden, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson · MIN Spurgeon, Brodin, Hartman, Fiala, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov
- P3 0:00Dahlin: Slashing (2 min)5v6
On ice: BUF Okposo, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens · MIN Spurgeon, Brodin, Hartman, Fiala, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov
- P3 0:00Spurgeon: Slashing (2 min)4v6
On ice: BUF Okposo, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens · MIN Spurgeon, Brodin, Hartman, Fiala, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov
- P3 0:00Cozens: Misconduct (10 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Okposo, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens · MIN Spurgeon, Brodin, Hartman, Fiala, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov
- P3 0:00Period end4v5
- P3 0:00Final