Fri, Mar 4, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Minnesota Wild 4, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 91% of the time.
88%
BUF winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 24:38 | 0.11 | 51.8% | +49.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 22:31 | 0.00 | 28.7% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:39 | 0.10 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:29 | 0.28 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:07 | 0.01 | 44.8% | +26.4 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 19:50 | 0.12 | 73.4% | +52.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:28 | 0.07 | 8.5% | +28.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 18:32 | 0.28 | 73.4% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.33 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.00 | 12.0% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.00 | 8.6% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.02 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.01 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 12:42 | 0.33 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:54 | 0.00 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | 0.12 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:24 | 0.05 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:07 | 0.01 | 28.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 37 | 33 | 4 | .892 | 3.88 | −0.1 | 58:35 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 24:58 | 0.04 | 72.5% | +43.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 19:21 | 0.54 | 79.3% | +36.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:04 | 0.07 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.42 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:25 | 0.00 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:11 | 0.00 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:46 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.12 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 17:06 | 1.30 | 89.3% | +75.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.05 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.36 | 43.9% | +43.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:26 | 0.77 | 48.6% | +43.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:40 | 0.18 | 49.1% | +5.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13:14 | 0.89 | 48.5% | +5.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:16 | 0.16 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:07 | 0.04 | 16.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.01 | 8.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:49 | 0.00 | 9.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 1.82 | −2.2 | 60:00 |