Fri, Mar 4, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Minnesota Wild 4, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 91% of the time.
88%
BUF winsMIN wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Foligno–Hartman–Kaprizov | Gaudreau–Fiala–Boldy | Eriksson Ek–Duhaime–Dewar | Bjugstad–Shaw–Sturm | Eriksson Ek–Shaw–Dewar | Goligoski–Spurgeon | Kulikov–Brodin | Merrill–Addison | Brodin–Addison | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okposo–Mittelstadt–Cozens | 4:170.06–0.06 | 3:050.00–0.01 | 2:280.00–0.11 | 1:230.00–0.07 | 5:550.06–0.20 | 4:220.00–0.01 | 1:360.00–0.04 | ||
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | 3:580.18–0.06 | 1:470.49–0.00 | 2:080.30–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.05 | 1:520.43–0.00 | 7:120.51–0.11 | 0:380.03–0.00 | ||
| Olofsson–Asplund–Krebs | 0:580.00–0.48 | 2:450.07–0.04 | 2:190.07–0.17 | 1:480.43–0.00 | 2:330.07–0.04 | 1:460.12–0.18 | 4:190.45–0.47 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |
| Eakin–Hayden–Bjork | 2:370.01–0.10 | 1:510.00–0.00 | 2:130.00–0.22 | 3:560.00–0.10 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 3:350.01–0.22 | |||
| Tuch–Bjork–Thompson | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.11 | 0:510.00–0.11 | ||||||
| Bryson–Dahlin | 5:170.18–0.01 | 2:350.64–0.00 | 3:570.34–0.39 | 2:010.07–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.10 | 5:060.50–0.33 | 7:220.66–0.17 | 2:320.14–0.00 | |
| Pysyk–Hagg | 4:230.06–0.22 | 3:170.12–0.04 | 2:520.03–0.11 | 1:380.12–0.05 | 5:470.09–0.15 | 3:550.12–0.07 | 4:060.13–0.17 | 0:510.00–0.00 | |
| Fitzgerald–Samuelsson | 2:280.01–0.47 | 4:240.03–0.04 | 2:130.00–0.11 | 2:240.24–0.07 | 4:270.00–0.07 | 2:570.03–0.05 | 4:130.25–0.58 | ||
| Bryson–Samuelsson | 0:390.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 29 | 24:58 | 0:52 | 2:30 | 5 | 3 |
 Jared SpurgeonMIN | 27 | 24:38 | 0:55 | 1:34 | 5 | 6 |
 Jonas BrodinMIN | 24 | 22:31 | 0:56 | 2:09 | 0 | 5 |
 Dmitry KulikovMIN | 23 | 20:39 | 0:54 | 1:51 | 0 | 5 |
 Joel Eriksson EkMIN | 20 | 20:29 | 1:01 | 2:08 | 4 | 5 |
 Alex GoligoskiMIN | 24 | 20:07 | 0:50 | 1:54 | 4 | 5 |
 Kirill KaprizovMIN | 20 | 19:50 | 1:00 | 1:52 | 4 | 3 |
 Kevin FialaMIN | 21 | 19:28 | 0:56 | 1:29 | 4 | 7 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 22 | 19:21 | 0:53 | 1:47 | 4 | 2 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 23 | 19:04 | 0:50 | 2:21 | 3 | 0 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 23 | 18:32 | 0:48 | 2:22 | 6 | 2 |
 Ryan HartmanMIN | 20 | 18:32 | 0:56 | 1:45 | 1 | 3 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 24 | 18:25 | 0:46 | 2:49 | 4 | 3 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 27 | 18:11 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 3 | 4 |
 Robert HaggBUF | 20 | 17:46 | 0:53 | 2:22 | 4 | 0 |
 Marcus FolignoMIN | 20 | 17:37 | 0:53 | 1:59 | 2 | 2 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 23 | 17:27 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 4 | 4 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 21 | 17:06 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 5 | 0 |
 Casey FitzgeraldBUF | 25 | 16:58 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 3 | 4 |
 Matt BoldyMIN | 18 | 16:58 | 0:57 | 1:22 | 4 | 7 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 22 | 16:33 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 5 | 4 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 22 | 16:26 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 6 | 4 |
 Frederick GaudreauMIN | 18 | 15:47 | 0:53 | 1:19 | 2 | 7 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 21 | 15:40 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 5 | 2 |
 Jon MerrillMIN | 20 | 14:52 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 1 | 5 |
 Calen AddisonMIN | 21 | 14:35 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 1 | 2 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 21 | 13:14 | 0:38 | 1:17 | 4 | 2 |
 Connor DewarMIN | 15 | 12:42 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 2 | 2 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 19 | 12:16 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 2 | 2 |
 John HaydenBUF | 16 | 12:07 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 5 | 1 |
 Anders BjorkBUF | 14 | 11:59 | 0:51 | 1:49 | 3 | 1 |
 Brandon DuhaimeMIN | 17 | 11:54 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 3 | 3 |
 Cody EakinBUF | 18 | 10:49 | 0:36 | 1:32 | 5 | 1 |
 Mason ShawMIN | 12 | 9:10 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 0 | 1 |
 Nick BjugstadMIN | 14 | 8:24 | 0:36 | 1:05 | 0 | 1 |
 Nico SturmMIN | 13 | 8:07 | 0:37 | 0:55 | 0 | 2 |