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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 10, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Arizona Coyotes 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 85% of the time.

TOR winsARI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:39Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 2:09Shot by Nash, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 2:09Goal by Galchenyuk (Nash, Mayo)+10 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Simmonds, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott · ARI Kessel, Nash, Galchenyuk, Gostisbehere, Mayo

  5. P1 4:04Shot by Kampf, saved by Wedgewood
  6. P1 4:21Goal by Chychrun (Kessel, Galchenyuk)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Engvall, Dermott, Kampf, Lyubushkin, Mikheyev · ARI Kessel, Nash, Galchenyuk, Chychrun, Kolyachonok

  7. P1 4:21Tavares: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Engvall, Dermott, Kampf, Lyubushkin, Mikheyev · ARI Kessel, Nash, Galchenyuk, Chychrun, Kolyachonok

  8. P1 5:35Shot by Kessel, saved by Mrazek4v5
  9. P1 8:32Shot by Nylander, saved by Wedgewood
  10. P1 8:50Shot by Kolyachonok, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 9:25Shot by Liljegren, saved by Wedgewood
  12. P1 10:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Wedgewood
  13. P1 11:33Shot by Nylander, saved by Wedgewood
  14. P1 12:27Shot by Stralman, saved by Mrazek
  15. P1 14:04Shot by Marner, saved by Wedgewood
  16. P1 16:08Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Wedgewood
  17. P1 17:43Shot by Brodie, saved by Wedgewood
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:41Shot by Fischer, saved by Mrazek
  21. P2 1:08Goal by Boyd (Keller, Schmaltz)+10 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Marner, Liljegren, Robertson · ARI Boyd, Gostisbehere, Schmaltz, Mayo, Keller

  22. P2 3:14Shot by Holl, saved by Wedgewood
  23. P2 4:54Shot by Liljegren, saved by Wedgewood
  24. P2 4:55Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Wedgewood
  25. P2 4:55Goal by Engvall (Kerfoot, Liljegren)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall, Liljegren, Mikheyev · ARI Boyd, Gostisbehere, Schmaltz, Mayo, Keller

  26. P2 7:05Shot by Fischer, saved by Mrazek
  27. P2 7:24Shot by Liljegren, saved by Wedgewood
  28. P2 9:25Shot by Hayton, saved by Mrazek
  29. P2 10:35Shot by Liljegren, saved by Wedgewood
  30. P2 10:48Shot by Rielly, saved by Wedgewood
  31. P2 10:58Shot by Kase, saved by Wedgewood
  32. P2 11:57Goal by Fischer (Crouse, Maccelli)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander, Robertson · ARI Fischer, Crouse, Chychrun, Kolyachonok, Maccelli

  33. P2 12:09Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Wedgewood
  34. P2 13:12Shot by Matthews, saved by Wedgewood
  35. P2 14:24Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Kallgren
  36. P2 15:03Shot by Chychrun, saved by Kallgren
  37. P2 17:16Shot by Kessel, saved by Kallgren
  38. P2 17:33Shot by Liljegren, saved by Wedgewood
  39. P2 19:22Shot by Stralman, saved by Kallgren
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:33Shot by Brodie, saved by Wedgewood
  43. P3 1:10Shot by Matthews, saved by Wedgewood
  44. P3 1:33Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Kallgren
  45. P3 2:39Shot by Kampf, saved by Wedgewood
  46. P3 2:45Shot by Brodie, saved by Wedgewood
  47. P3 3:26Shot by Nylander, saved by Wedgewood
  48. P3 3:38Goal by Kerfoot (Brodie, Nylander)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander · ARI Eriksson, Stralman, Ritchie, Hayton, Moser

  49. P3 5:13Shot by Engvall, saved by Wedgewood
  50. P3 7:41Shot by Dermott, saved by Wedgewood
  51. P3 8:07Goal by Matthews (Bunting)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren · ARI Stralman, Kessel, Boyd, Galchenyuk, Moser

  52. P3 8:17Goal by Nylander (Kerfoot)+33 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander · ARI Eriksson, Gostisbehere, Ritchie, Mayo, Hayton

  53. P3 8:33Shot by Brodie, saved by Wedgewood
  54. P3 9:40Shot by Stralman, saved by Kallgren
  55. P3 11:10Shot by Hayton, saved by Kallgren
  56. P3 12:18Shot by Chychrun, saved by Kallgren
  57. P3 13:01Shot by Engvall, saved by Wedgewood
  58. P3 14:07Shot by Brodie, saved by Wedgewood
  59. P3 14:33Shot by Hayton, saved by Kallgren
  60. P3 15:39Shot by Matthews, saved by Wedgewood
  61. P3 16:42Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Wedgewood
  62. P3 16:42Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Wedgewood
  63. P3 16:47Shot by Brodie, saved by Wedgewood
  64. P3 18:32Shot by Brodie, saved by Wedgewood
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. OT 0:00Period start
  67. OT 0:53Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Kallgren3v3
  68. OT 1:01Shot by Nylander, saved by Wedgewood3v3
  69. OT 2:17Goal by Chychrun (Maccelli)3v3+53 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Marner, Matthews · ARI Boyd, Chychrun, Maccelli

  70. OT 2:17Period end4v4
  71. OT 2:17Final