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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 19, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

New York Rangers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Away

New York Rangers

2

Final

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Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.

TBL winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Cirelli, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 0:53Shot by Sergachev, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 1:42Shot by Hedman, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 4:32Shot by Hunt, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 5:02Shot by Goodrow, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 5:29Shot by Nemeth, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 5:46Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 5:50Hedman: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Rutta · NYR Reaves, McKegg, Brodzinski, Fox, Lindgren

  10. P1 6:05Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  11. P1 9:01Shot by Point, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 9:42Shot by Cernak, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 9:47Shot by Bogosian, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 10:07Shot by Hagel, saved by Shesterkin
  15. P1 10:21Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 10:40Shot by Hunt, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 11:20Shot by Rutta, saved by Shesterkin
  18. P1 11:32Shot by Schneider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 12:07Shot by Cernak, saved by Shesterkin
  20. P1 12:47Shot by Perry, saved by Shesterkin
  21. P1 15:01Shot by Bogosian, saved by Shesterkin6v5
  22. P1 15:40Nemeth: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, McDonagh, Bogosian, Joseph, Colton, Hagel · NYR Nemeth, Goodrow, Hunt, Chytil, Schneider

  23. P1 15:44Shot by Stamkos, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  24. P1 16:40Shot by Killorn, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  25. P1 16:41Goal by Point (Killorn, Hedman)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller

  26. P1 19:19Shot by Kucherov, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P1 19:59Shot by Cirelli, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 2:07Colton: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Joseph, Colton, Hagel, Rutta · NYR Nemeth, Goodrow, Hunt, Chytil, Schneider

  31. P2 2:54Shot by Panarin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  32. P2 2:56Fox: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Bellemare, Cernak, Joseph · NYR Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  33. P2 4:50Shot by Kucherov, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  34. P2 5:12Shot by Goodrow, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 5:33Shot by Perry, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 5:48Schneider: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Bogosian, Bellemare · NYR Reaves, Nemeth, Strome, Hunt, Schneider

  37. P2 7:10Shot by Hedman, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  38. P2 7:48Shot by Panarin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  39. P2 8:10Shot by Vatrano, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 8:16Shot by Panarin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 8:18Shot by Vatrano, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 8:53Shot by Chytil, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 9:23Shot by Chytil, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 9:25Goal by Trouba (Hunt, Lafrenière)+26 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Rutta · NYR Trouba, Hunt, Chytil, Miller, Lafrenière

  45. P2 9:25Perry: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Rutta · NYR Trouba, Hunt, Chytil, Miller, Lafrenière

  46. P2 13:07Shot by Fox, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 13:17Lindgren: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Hedman, Colton, Hagel, Rutta · NYR Vatrano, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Chytil

  48. P2 13:17Maroon: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Hedman, Colton, Hagel, Rutta · NYR Vatrano, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Chytil

  49. P2 13:17Maroon: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Hedman, Colton, Hagel, Rutta · NYR Vatrano, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Chytil

  50. P2 15:39Shot by Palat, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P2 16:41Shot by Fox, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 17:10Shot by Hunt, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P2 17:36Shot by Cernak, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P2 19:01Killorn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Rutta · NYR Kreider, Nemeth, Zibanejad, Fox, Lafrenière

  55. P2 19:55Shot by Strome, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  56. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 2:30Shot by Lindgren, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 3:13Shot by Vatrano, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 4:02Reaves: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Rutta · NYR Reaves, McKegg, Brodzinski, Fox, Lindgren

  61. P3 4:02Maroon: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Rutta · NYR Reaves, McKegg, Brodzinski, Fox, Lindgren

  62. P3 6:38Shot by Vatrano, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 7:08Shot by Bellemare, saved by Shesterkin
  64. P3 7:45Shot by Stamkos, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 7:53Shot by Kucherov, saved by Shesterkin
  66. P3 8:42Shot by Vatrano, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 11:52Shot by Lindgren, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 12:34Shot by Rutta, saved by Shesterkin
  69. P3 15:03Shot by Perry, saved by Shesterkin
  70. P3 15:09Shot by Maroon, saved by Shesterkin
  71. P3 16:55Shot by Cirelli, saved by Shesterkin
  72. P3 17:02Shot by Cirelli, saved by Shesterkin
  73. P3 17:45Cernak: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Cernak, Sergachev · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller, Lafrenière

  74. P3 19:44Goal by Zibanejad (Panarin, Fox)4v5+50 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Hedman, Cirelli · NYR Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  75. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  76. P3 0:00Final