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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 19, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

New York Rangers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.

TBL winsNYR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Strome–Vatrano–PanarinKreider–Zibanejad–LafrenièreGoodrow–Hunt–ChytilReaves–McKegg–BrodzinskiFox–LindgrenTrouba–MillerNemeth–SchneiderTrouba–Schneider
Killorn–Stamkos–Kucherov2:480.11–0.072:550.09–0.005:590.06–0.025:380.24–0.123:500.01–0.162:210.01–0.00
Palat–Point–Cirelli3:190.11–0.105:260.15–0.040:360.00–0.004:400.08–0.093:430.15–0.050:550.04–0.00
Perry–Maroon–Bellemare1:270.08–0.000:530.21–0.002:010.00–0.021:330.00–0.052:460.08–0.001:080.05–0.00
Joseph–Colton–Hagel1:250.01–0.002:290.00–0.211:030.03–0.011:020.03–0.013:270.00–0.21
Joseph–Cirelli–Hagel0:480.00–0.210:370.00–0.21
Hedman–Rutta2:270.08–0.033:290.01–0.003:340.11–0.000:590.00–0.024:120.14–0.022:470.01–0.003:220.05–0.03
Cernak–Sergachev6:250.23–0.382:460.34–0.000:360.00–0.004:580.19–0.403:220.15–0.041:460.01–0.00
McDonagh–Bogosian1:430.00–0.001:480.10–0.042:230.06–0.213:220.04–0.010:530.00–0.043:220.19–0.015:260.10–0.21
Bogosian–Hedman1:070.00–0.020:500.00–0.020:340.00–0.00
Sergachev–Rutta0:310.00–0.020:450.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:390.01–0.02
Hedman–Cernak0:330.00–0.00
McDonagh–Cernak0:400.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPalat FPoint FCirelli FKillorn FKucherov FStamkos FJoseph FHagel FColton FPerry FBellemare FMaroon FBogosian DMcDonagh DCernak DSergachev DHedman DRutta DVasilevskiy GLafrenière FKreider FZibanejad FPanarin FStrome FVatrano FGoodrow FHunt FChytil FMcKegg FReaves FBrodzinski FTrouba DMiller DFox DLindgren DNemeth DSchneider DShesterkin G
TBLNYRFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Adam FoxNYR2825:420:551:5944
Victor HedmanTBL2724:110:541:3641
Mika ZibanejadNYR2822:310:481:5253
Ryan McDonaghTBL2621:450:501:5726
Alex KillornTBL2721:430:481:1944
Ryan StromeNYR2421:350:541:3663
Chris KreiderNYR2721:050:471:5252
Jacob TroubaNYR2720:590:471:1603
Artemi PanarinNYR2220:570:571:3653
Mikhail SergachevTBL2420:180:511:2342
Nikita KucherovTBL2320:090:531:2632
Erik CernakTBL2220:070:551:4116
Anthony CirelliTBL2718:410:421:0973
Steven StamkosTBL2318:270:481:1842
Ryan LindgrenNYR2317:390:461:1725
Brayden PointTBL2117:090:491:1471
K'Andre MillerNYR2416:580:421:1403
Barclay GoodrowNYR2016:530:512:0612
Jan RuttaTBL2116:420:481:4431
Frank VatranoNYR1916:210:521:3622
Patrik NemethNYR1915:440:502:2330
Filip ChytilNYR1915:280:491:4522
Alexis LafrenièreNYR2214:530:411:0923
Braden SchneiderNYR1814:430:491:5130
Ondrej PalatTBL2014:380:441:0261
Mathieu JosephTBL1713:360:481:2923
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL2013:140:401:2115
Zach BogosianTBL1512:430:511:5511
Dryden HuntNYR1512:400:511:3921
Brandon HagelTBL1610:400:401:2921
Corey PerryTBL159:170:371:2111
Ross ColtonTBL128:280:421:2921
Greg McKeggNYR137:550:371:0713
Patrick MaroonTBL107:130:431:2111
Jonny BrodzinskiNYR126:550:350:5721
Ryan ReavesNYR116:440:371:0721