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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 19, 2022·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Nashville Predators 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 63% of the time.

NSH winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Trenin, saved by Kallgren
  3. P1 1:04Shot by Josi, saved by Kallgren
  4. P1 1:16Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Saros
  5. P1 1:19Shot by Engvall, saved by Saros
  6. P1 2:25Shot by Dermott, saved by Saros
  7. P1 2:46Shot by Josi, saved by Kallgren
  8. P1 3:14Shot by Brodie, saved by Saros
  9. P1 5:46Shot by Josi, saved by Kallgren
  10. P1 7:46Shot by Marner, saved by Saros
  11. P1 8:12Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Kallgren
  12. P1 9:30Shot by Davies, saved by Kallgren
  13. P1 10:26Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Saros
  14. P1 10:41Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros
  15. P1 12:25Shot by Nylander, saved by Saros
  16. P1 12:44Shot by Cousins, saved by Kallgren
  17. P1 13:46Goal by Jeannot (Sissons, Trenin)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Jeannot · TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Lyubushkin

  18. P1 13:56Shot by Sissons, saved by Kallgren
  19. P1 14:23Shot by Jeannot, saved by Kallgren
  20. P1 14:48Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros
  21. P1 14:54Duchene: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Tennyson, Forsberg · TOR Bunting, Dermott, Marner, Matthews, Sandin

  22. P1 15:58Shot by Jeannot, saved by Kallgren4v5
  23. P1 17:28Holl: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Carrier · TOR Brodie, Holl, Kerfoot, Engvall, Kampf

  24. P1 18:04Shot by Duchene, saved by Kallgren5v4
  25. P1 18:11Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Kallgren5v4
  26. P1 19:08Shot by Ekholm, saved by Kallgren5v4
  27. P1 19:13Shot by Tomasino, saved by Kallgren5v4
  28. P1 19:19Shot by Ekholm, saved by Kallgren5v4
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:48Goal by Tolvanen (Davies, Granlund)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Granlund, Tennyson, Kunin, Davies, Tolvanen · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Kase, Dermott, Sandin

  32. P2 1:57Shot by Spezza, saved by Saros
  33. P2 2:10Shot by Clifford, saved by Saros
  34. P2 2:47Spezza: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Cousins, Fabbro, Tomasino · TOR Rielly, Engvall, Kampf, Lyubushkin, Mikheyev

  35. P2 4:07Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros5v4
  36. P2 5:02Shot by Carrier, saved by Kallgren
  37. P2 5:52Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros
  38. P2 6:06Shot by Tennyson, saved by Kallgren
  39. P2 7:23Shot by Josi, saved by Kallgren
  40. P2 7:33Shot by McCarron, saved by Kallgren
  41. P2 8:04Goal by Marner (Bunting, Matthews)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Carrier · TOR Bunting, Dermott, Marner, Matthews, Sandin

  42. P2 9:09Shot by Trenin, saved by Kallgren
  43. P2 10:22Shot by Kunin, saved by Kallgren
  44. P2 10:52Goal by Ekholm (Carrier, Tolvanen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Carrier, Kunin, Tolvanen · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Lyubushkin

  45. P2 11:49Shot by Nylander, saved by Saros
  46. P2 12:36Johansen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Johansen, Tennyson, Forsberg, Davies · TOR Spezza, Clifford, Rielly, Kampf, Lyubushkin

  47. P2 13:25Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros4v5
  48. P2 14:01Shot by Nylander, saved by Saros4v5
  49. P2 14:24Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros4v5
  50. P2 14:33Shot by Engvall, saved by Saros4v5
  51. P2 18:44Shot by Tavares, saved by Saros
  52. P2 18:53Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Saros
  53. P2 19:37Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros
  54. P2 19:38Johansen: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Carrier · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  55. P2 0:00Period end4v6
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:07Shot by Sissons, saved by Kallgren4v5
  58. P3 0:49Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros4v5
  59. P3 0:55Shot by Tavares, saved by Saros4v5
  60. P3 1:09Shot by Tavares, saved by Saros4v5
  61. P3 1:16Shot by Nylander, saved by Saros4v5
  62. P3 2:37Shot by Spezza, saved by Saros
  63. P3 2:44Shot by Clifford, saved by Saros
  64. P3 3:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros
  65. P3 3:41Goal by Matthews (Marner)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, McCarron, Trenin, Fabbro, Jeannot · TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Lyubushkin

  66. P3 4:54Shot by Forsberg, saved by Kallgren
  67. P3 5:20Kallgren: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Carrier · TOR Brodie, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  68. P3 7:07Shot by Tomasino, saved by Kallgren5v4
  69. P3 8:15Shot by Josi, saved by Kallgren
  70. P3 8:51Shot by Holl, saved by Saros
  71. P3 11:01Shot by Duchene, saved by Kallgren
  72. P3 11:25Clifford: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Jeannot · TOR Holl, Bunting, Dermott, Marner, Matthews

  73. P3 12:09Shot by Forsberg, saved by Kallgren5v4
  74. P3 12:11Goal by Forsberg (Duchene, Josi)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg · TOR Brodie, Holl, Marner, Kampf

  75. P3 12:24Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros
  76. P3 12:44Shot by Bunting, saved by Saros
  77. P3 12:57Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros
  78. P3 13:02Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros
  79. P3 13:58Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Saros
  80. P3 14:07Shot by Forsberg, saved by Kallgren
  81. P3 14:09Goal by Duchene (Forsberg, Josi)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Forsberg, McCarron, Fabbro · TOR Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Sandin, Mikheyev

  82. P3 15:19Goal by Marner (Nylander, Rielly)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Granlund, Kunin, Fabbro, Tolvanen · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  83. P3 15:39Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros
  84. P3 16:40Shot by Bunting, saved by Saros5v6
  85. P3 17:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros5v6
  86. P3 18:32Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros5v6
  87. P3 19:08Goal by Trenin (Sissons, Josi)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Jeannot · TOR Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. P3 0:00Final