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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 19, 2022·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Nashville Predators 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 63% of the time.

NSH winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bunting–Marner–MatthewsEngvall–Kampf–MikheyevSpezza–Clifford–KerfootTavares–Nylander–KaseTavares–Kerfoot–NylanderTavares–Nylander–MikheyevSpezza–Clifford–NylanderBrodie–HollRielly–LyubushkinDermott–SandinBrodie–RiellyDermott–LyubushkinRielly–Sandin
Duchene–Johansen–Forsberg3:460.00–0.252:440.12–0.060:430.03–0.000:460.00–0.002:220.03–0.073:190.12–0.011:420.00–0.180:300.00–0.060:340.00–0.00
Sissons–Trenin–Jeannot4:350.20–0.230:490.00–0.000:410.00–0.073:140.20–0.161:320.09–0.042:100.01–0.100:490.00–0.07
Cousins–McCarron–Tomasino1:310.00–0.003:140.03–0.140:520.13–0.002:280.15–0.001:580.00–0.101:200.02–0.040:380.08–0.001:380.00–0.00
Granlund–Kunin–Tolvanen0:430.02–0.051:220.00–0.072:250.04–0.030:540.14–0.001:560.00–0.001:380.04–0.072:230.21–0.07
Ekholm–Carrier7:000.20–0.321:260.00–0.000:380.01–0.040:400.09–0.000:590.17–0.005:490.29–0.102:560.06–0.103:480.13–0.180:540.00–0.140:310.00–0.00
Josi–Fabbro2:360.02–0.413:510.22–0.061:040.01–0.001:310.13–0.001:080.23–0.153:200.13–0.223:580.22–0.272:450.03–0.070:330.00–0.00
Tennyson–Davies0:470.02–0.052:410.00–0.171:580.04–0.002:450.00–0.001:450.07–0.152:020.10–0.070:390.08–0.001:380.00–0.00
Josi–Carrier0:320.02–0.000:320.02–0.000:470.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSissons FTrenin FJeannot FForsberg FDuchene FJohansen FGranlund FTolvanen FKunin FMcCarron FTomasino FCousins FEkholm DCarrier DJosi DFabbro DDavies DTennyson DSaros GMarner FMatthews FBunting FEngvall FMikheyev FKampf FKase FTavares FNylander FKerfoot FSpezza FClifford FHoll DBrodie DRielly DLyubushkin DSandin DDermott DKallgren G
NSHTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2626:171:013:0936
Mattias EkholmNSH2725:550:582:1752
Roman JosiNSH2824:200:521:3983
Mitch MarnerTOR2323:451:023:0634
Alexandre CarrierNSH2623:380:552:1723
Auston MatthewsTOR2223:041:032:5822
William NylanderTOR2522:290:542:5950
TJ BrodieTOR2522:030:532:1433
Dante FabbroNSH2319:180:501:3843
Matt DucheneNSH2119:140:552:0550
John TavaresTOR2218:520:512:0142
Justin HollTOR2318:070:472:0822
Ryan JohansenNSH2217:590:491:4250
Colton SissonsNSH2717:540:401:3248
Mikael GranlundNSH2217:510:491:2462
Filip ForsbergNSH2116:570:481:5060
Tanner JeannotNSH2416:490:421:1119
Yakov TreninNSH1816:260:551:3311
Michael BuntingTOR2116:260:471:5812
Ilya LyubushkinTOR2315:560:421:1816
David KampfTOR2115:130:431:0817
Rasmus SandinTOR1914:490:471:2301
Ilya MikheyevTOR2013:250:401:0324
Travis DermottTOR2013:060:391:0002
Pierre EngvallTOR1913:010:411:0514
Alexander KerfootTOR1912:450:401:1801
Eeli TolvanenNSH1612:160:461:1140
Nick CousinsNSH1712:000:421:0931
Jason SpezzaTOR1711:410:411:2841
Philip TomasinoNSH1511:040:441:1031
Michael McCarronNSH1410:570:471:1202
Luke KuninNSH1310:550:501:0520
Jeremy DaviesNSH1710:440:381:0200
Matt TennysonNSH1610:080:381:1100
Kyle CliffordTOR129:330:481:1910
Ondrej KaseTOR96:220:421:0101