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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 27, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York

Buffalo Sabres 4, New York Rangers 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 89% of the time.

NYR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:43Shot by Panarin, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 3:52Shot by Okposo, saved by Georgiev
  4. P1 3:59Goal by Vatrano (Kreider)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Vatrano, Miller · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin

  5. P1 4:17Goal by Vatrano, unassisted+11 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Vatrano, Miller · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin

  6. P1 5:31Shot by Cozens, saved by Georgiev
  7. P1 6:01Shot by Motte, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 7:01Shot by Miller, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 9:14Shot by Chytil, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 9:32Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 12:14Shot by Cozens, saved by Georgiev
  12. P1 14:46Shot by Cozens, saved by Georgiev
  13. P1 18:12Goal by Asplund (Samuelsson, Mittelstadt)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Trouba, Vatrano, Miller · BUF Olofsson, Asplund, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Samuelsson

  14. P1 0:00Period end
  15. P2 0:00Period start
  16. P2 0:57Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Georgiev
  17. P2 2:06Goal by Butcher (Krebs, Hinostroza)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nemeth, Goodrow, Chytil, Schneider, Lafrenière · BUF Hinostroza, Butcher, Samuelsson, Krebs, Cozens

  18. P2 2:17Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Anderson
  19. P2 3:15Shot by Tuch, saved by Georgiev
  20. P2 4:23Shot by Fox, saved by Anderson
  21. P2 5:57Shot by Trouba, saved by Anderson
  22. P2 6:48Goal by Okposo (Girgensons, Dahlin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Motte, Fox, Miller · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Girgensons, Bryson, Samuelsson

  23. P2 7:21Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Georgiev
  24. P2 7:40Shot by Cozens, saved by Georgiev
  25. P2 7:47Shot by Thompson, saved by Georgiev
  26. P2 8:51Shot by Okposo, saved by Georgiev
  27. P2 9:04Shot by Eakin, saved by Georgiev
  28. P2 9:50Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 11:46Goal by Lafrenière (Chytil, Brodzinski)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nemeth, Brodzinski, Chytil, Schneider, Lafrenière · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Girgensons, Butcher, Fitzgerald

  30. P2 13:03Krebs: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Trouba, Copp, Panarin, Miller · BUF Hinostroza, Butcher, Fitzgerald, Krebs, Cozens

  31. P2 13:10Shot by Panarin, saved by Anderson5v4
  32. P2 13:31Shot by Kreider, saved by Anderson5v4
  33. P2 13:45Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Anderson5v4
  34. P2 14:23Shot by Fox, saved by Anderson5v4
  35. P2 15:00Shot by Trouba, saved by Anderson5v4
  36. P2 15:49Shot by Motte, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 17:15Shot by Thompson, saved by Georgiev
  38. P2 0:00Period end
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 0:42Shot by Goodrow, saved by Anderson
  41. P3 0:47Shot by Copp, saved by Anderson
  42. P3 1:57Shot by Nemeth, saved by Anderson
  43. P3 2:10Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Anderson
  44. P3 3:52Shot by Trouba, saved by Anderson
  45. P3 3:52Goal by Panarin (Trouba, Copp)+27 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Trouba, Copp, Panarin, Miller · BUF Hinostroza, Butcher, Asplund, Fitzgerald, Mittelstadt

  46. P3 4:45Shot by Hunt, saved by Anderson
  47. P3 9:34Shot by Trouba, saved by Anderson
  48. P3 11:06Shot by Vatrano, saved by Anderson
  49. P3 12:04Shot by Butcher, saved by Georgiev
  50. P3 12:08Nemeth: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nemeth, Motte, Brodzinski, Hunt, Schneider · BUF Girgensons, Butcher, Tuch, Thompson, Fitzgerald

  51. P3 13:07Goal by Skinner (Dahlin, Mittelstadt)4v5+31 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Trouba, Copp, Miller · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin

  52. P3 13:38Shot by Lindgren, saved by Anderson
  53. P3 0:00Period end
  54. OT 0:00Period start
  55. OT 1:15Shot by Trouba, saved by Anderson3v3
  56. OT 1:19Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Anderson3v3
  57. OT 2:02Goal by Miller (Lafrenière, Copp)3v3+47 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Copp, Miller, Lafrenière · BUF Okposo, Thompson, Dahlin

  58. OT 2:02Period end4v4
  59. OT 2:02Final