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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 29, 2022·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Ottawa Senators 1, Nashville Predators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 58% of the time.

NSH winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:00Period start
  3. P1 0:15Shot by Carrier, saved by Forsberg
  4. P1 0:58Ekholm: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Carrier, Jeannot · OTT Brown, Formenton, Brannstrom, Stützle, Zub

  5. P1 1:31Shot by Norris, saved by Saros4v5
  6. P1 2:27Shot by Gaudette, saved by Saros4v5
  7. P1 2:48Shot by Gaudette, saved by Saros4v5
  8. P1 3:18Shot by Forsberg, saved by Forsberg
  9. P1 3:42Kunin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, Lauzon, Kunin · OTT Joseph, Zaitsev, Gambrell, Formenton, Brannstrom

  10. P1 4:24Shot by Stützle, saved by Saros4v5
  11. P1 4:36Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros4v5
  12. P1 4:45Shot by Stützle, saved by Saros4v5
  13. P1 4:46Jeannot: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Lauzon, Jeannot · OTT Norris, Brannstrom, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  14. P1 4:53Goal by Tkachuk (Stützle, Norris)3v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Carrier · OTT Norris, Brannstrom, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  15. P1 5:42Shot by Trenin, saved by Forsberg4v5
  16. P1 5:47Shot by Benning, saved by Forsberg4v5
  17. P1 6:43Shot by Norris, saved by Saros4v5
  18. P1 7:07Shot by Lauzon, saved by Forsberg
  19. P1 9:30Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros
  20. P1 9:44Shot by Tierney, saved by Saros
  21. P1 11:31Shot by Ekholm, saved by Forsberg
  22. P1 11:42Shot by Benning, saved by Forsberg
  23. P1 13:44Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Saros
  24. P1 14:01Shot by Formenton, saved by Saros
  25. P1 14:15Shot by Holden, saved by Saros
  26. P1 14:36Shot by Sissons, saved by Forsberg
  27. P1 17:48Tolvanen: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Granlund, Kunin, Davies, Tolvanen · OTT Del Zotto, Hamonic, Brown, Gaudette, Gambrell

  28. P1 18:46Shot by Trenin, saved by Forsberg4v5
  29. P1 19:21Goal by McCarron (Ekholm, Carrier)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Sissons, McCarron, Carrier · OTT Del Zotto, Tierney, Brown, White, Gaudette

  30. P1 19:57Sissons: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Sissons, Lauzon, Jeannot, Tolvanen · OTT Holden, Gambrell, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Stützle

  31. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:50Batherson: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Carrier, Jeannot · OTT Norris, Brannstrom, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  34. P2 1:07Shot by Hamonic, saved by Saros4v4
  35. P2 1:52Shot by Lauzon, saved by Forsberg4v4
  36. P2 2:41Shot by Josi, saved by Forsberg5v4
  37. P2 2:59Shot by Josi, saved by Forsberg
  38. P2 5:37Shot by Batherson, saved by Saros
  39. P2 5:57Shot by Forsberg, saved by Forsberg
  40. P2 7:13Shot by Gaudette, saved by Saros
  41. P2 8:32Shot by Granlund, saved by Forsberg
  42. P2 8:33Shot by Granlund, saved by Forsberg
  43. P2 9:06Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Saros
  44. P2 10:15Shot by Joseph, saved by Saros
  45. P2 10:44Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros
  46. P2 11:51Shot by Zub, saved by Saros
  47. P2 12:45Shot by Benning, saved by Forsberg
  48. P2 13:16Shot by Ekholm, saved by Forsberg
  49. P2 14:19Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Saros
  50. P2 14:24Shot by Zub, saved by Saros
  51. P2 14:30Shot by Batherson, saved by Saros
  52. P2 16:38Shot by Formenton, saved by Saros
  53. P2 16:47Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Saros
  54. P2 18:14Goal by McCarron (Ekholm, Cousins)+25 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Cousins, McCarron, Carrier, Tomasino · OTT Holden, Brown, Zaitsev, Formenton, Stützle

  55. P2 18:38Joseph: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Cousins, McCarron, Carrier, Tomasino · OTT Del Zotto, Watson, Joseph, Gambrell, Zub

  56. P2 18:52Shot by Brown, saved by Saros5v4
  57. P2 19:09Shot by Josi, saved by Forsberg5v4
  58. P2 19:33Shot by Forsberg, saved by Forsberg5v4
  59. P2 19:52Josi: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg · OTT Holden, Brown, Zaitsev, Formenton

  60. P2 19:52Shot by Brown, saved by Sarosother
  61. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 1:22Jeannot: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Jeannot · OTT Del Zotto, Hamonic, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  64. P3 1:52Shot by Batherson, saved by Saros4v5
  65. P3 2:01Shot by Granlund, saved by Forsberg4v5
  66. P3 2:35Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros4v5
  67. P3 3:54Shot by Kunin, saved by Forsberg
  68. P3 6:03Shot by Hamonic, saved by Saros
  69. P3 7:36Shot by Johansen, saved by Forsberg
  70. P3 9:14Shot by Cousins, saved by Forsberg
  71. P3 9:21Shot by Cousins, saved by Forsberg
  72. P3 9:42Shot by Norris, saved by Saros
  73. P3 9:49Shot by Batherson, saved by Saros
  74. P3 9:52Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Saros
  75. P3 10:07Goal by Jeannot (Trenin, Ekholm)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Benning, Trenin, Jeannot · OTT Norris, Brannstrom, Batherson, Tkachuk, Zub

  76. P3 12:22Shot by McCarron, saved by Forsberg
  77. P3 12:39Shot by Ekholm, saved by Forsberg
  78. P3 14:17Shot by Batherson, saved by Saros
  79. P3 15:46Shot by Holden, saved by Saros
  80. P3 15:54Shot by Ekholm, saved by Forsberg
  81. P3 16:40Shot by Trenin, saved by Forsberg
  82. P3 17:19Shot by Tierney, saved by Saros
  83. P3 18:57Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros5v6
  84. P3 19:56Goal by Duchene (Forsberg, Carrier)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg, Lauzon, Carrier · OTT Del Zotto, Brown, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final