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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 4, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

6

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Shot by Killorn, saved by Campbell
  3. P1 0:35Shot by Cirelli, saved by Campbell
  4. P1 1:59Goal by Engvall (Kampf)+10 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Bogosian, Paul, Colton, Hagel, Foote · TOR Clifford, Rielly, Engvall, Kampf, Lyubushkin

  5. P1 4:17Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 4:25Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 5:55Shot by Maroon, saved by Campbell
  8. P1 5:55Maroon: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Bellemare, Foote · TOR Giordano, Simmonds, Clifford, Blackwell, Liljegren

  9. P1 5:55Simmonds: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Bellemare, Foote · TOR Giordano, Simmonds, Clifford, Blackwell, Liljegren

  10. P1 6:24Goal by Kucherov (Stamkos)+11 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev · TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Lyubushkin

  11. P1 7:07Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 7:11Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 8:48Shot by Paul, saved by Campbell
  14. P1 9:39Shot by Hedman, saved by Campbell
  15. P1 10:33Shot by Bunting, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 10:38Shot by Bunting, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 11:11Shot by Stamkos, saved by Campbell
  18. P1 11:51Shot by Brodie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 12:56Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 13:21Shot by Point, saved by Campbell
  21. P1 14:38Shot by Perry, saved by Campbell
  22. P1 14:49Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 16:03Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 16:03Cernak: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Palat, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  25. P1 17:46Shot by Giordano, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  26. P1 17:52Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  27. P1 18:11Shot by Kampf, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P1 18:50Shot by Point, saved by Campbell
  29. P1 18:56Shot by Stamkos, saved by Campbell
  30. P1 19:12Marner: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Foote · TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Lyubushkin

  31. P1 19:47Shot by Perry, saved by Campbell5v4
  32. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:52Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  35. P2 1:46Goal by Matthews (Bunting, Marner)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Palat, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel · TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Lyubushkin

  36. P2 2:25Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 3:38Shot by Maroon, saved by Campbell
  38. P2 4:12Shot by Maroon, saved by Campbell
  39. P2 4:35Shot by Rutta, saved by Campbell
  40. P2 5:38Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 5:46Goal by Rutta (Stamkos)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli, Rutta · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Bunting

  42. P2 6:09Shot by Killorn, saved by Campbell
  43. P2 7:16Shot by Cernak, saved by Campbell
  44. P2 8:26Shot by Blackwell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 9:57Goal by Matthews (Marner)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev · TOR Giordano, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren

  46. P2 10:11Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 10:15Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 11:33Shot by Colton, saved by Campbell
  49. P2 12:25Goal by Kerfoot (Brodie, Holl)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Rutta · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Mikheyev

  50. P2 14:26Shot by Abruzzese, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 14:49Shot by Foote, saved by Campbell
  52. P2 16:19Shot by Bunting, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P2 17:54Shot by Holl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P2 18:01Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P2 18:11Shot by Stamkos, saved by Campbell
  56. P2 18:55Shot by Paul, saved by Campbell
  57. P2 19:01Shot by Sergachev, saved by Campbell
  58. P2 19:58Shot by Kampf, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:25Shot by Cernak, saved by Campbell
  62. P3 2:24Shot by Kampf, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 2:45Shot by Clifford, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 5:23Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 5:38Shot by Killorn, saved by Campbell
  66. P3 6:04Shot by Abruzzese, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 7:08Goal by Matthews, unassisted+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Bogosian, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren

  68. P3 7:43Shot by Kucherov, saved by Campbell
  69. P3 7:51Shot by Bunting, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 8:24Shot by Simmonds, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 9:21Shot by Cernak, saved by Campbell
  72. P3 9:37Shot by Killorn, saved by Campbell
  73. P3 11:24Goal by Marner (Matthews, Bunting)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Rutta · TOR Giordano, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren

  74. P3 12:39Shot by Cirelli, saved by Campbell
  75. P3 12:47Shot by Hagel, saved by Campbell
  76. P3 12:56Shot by Rutta, saved by Campbell
  77. P3 13:15Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  78. P3 16:14Shot by Colton, saved by Campbell
  79. P3 16:15Shot by Colton, saved by Campbell
  80. P3 16:36Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  81. P3 17:44Giordano: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Palat, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Kerfoot, Liljegren, Mikheyev

  82. P3 18:39Shot by Kampf, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  83. P3 19:19Shot by Palat, saved by Campbell5v4
  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final