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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 4, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bunting–Marner–MatthewsTavares–Kerfoot–MikheyevEngvall–Kampf–AbruzzeseSimmonds–Clifford–BlackwellRielly–LyubushkinBrodie–HollGiordano–LiljegrenGiordano–BrodieHoll–Rielly
Paul–Colton–Hagel1:030.14–0.001:150.39–0.005:280.45–0.141:430.00–0.054:510.71–0.082:050.04–0.102:440.00–0.000:320.00–0.05
Perry–Maroon–Bellemare0:430.01–0.002:280.01–0.294:210.03–0.162:250.01–0.294:450.07–0.161:140.03–0.00
Stamkos–Kucherov–Point2:460.07–0.193:250.09–0.101:090.16–0.002:050.17–0.102:570.00–0.19
Killorn–Palat–Cirelli4:330.05–0.221:250.11–0.273:290.12–0.411:570.02–0.000:470.01–0.13
Palat–Kucherov–Point3:140.26–0.420:360.00–0.001:290.12–0.122:260.15–0.21
Killorn–Stamkos–Cirelli1:000.00–0.022:300.25–0.090:440.00–0.191:480.25–0.022:370.14–0.33
Cernak–Sergachev10:470.46–0.581:250.26–0.080:590.02–0.001:470.00–0.007:250.64–0.292:450.00–0.124:390.13–0.190:380.00–0.03
Hedman–Rutta1:520.05–0.236:360.42–0.272:120.25–0.192:290.00–0.174:080.37–0.236:340.24–0.433:090.09–0.210:460.03–0.05
Bogosian–Foote1:220.11–0.036:130.18–0.452:120.03–0.034:480.29–0.414:560.16–0.272:270.05–0.00
Hedman–Foote0:330.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:070.24–0.00
Sergachev–Foote0:390.00–0.020:380.00–0.030:330.00–0.02
Hedman–Cernak0:330.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Sergachev–Rutta0:310.00–0.11
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKillorn FPalat FCirelli FPoint FKucherov FStamkos FHagel FColton FPaul FPerry FMaroon FBellemare FCernak DSergachev DHedman DRutta DBogosian DFoote DVasilevskiy GMarner FMatthews FBunting FMikheyev FTavares FKerfoot FKampf FAbruzzese FEngvall FClifford FBlackwell FSimmonds FRielly DLyubushkin DHoll DBrodie DGiordano DLiljegren DCampbell G
TBLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2923:390:492:1746
Mikhail SergachevTBL2522:240:541:2051
Justin HollTOR2721:520:491:3106
Morgan RiellyTOR2521:410:521:4702
TJ BrodieTOR2721:100:471:3815
Jan RuttaTBL2619:520:461:4725
Ilya LyubushkinTOR2519:370:471:5503
Nikita KucherovTBL2219:070:521:5055
Erik CernakTBL2318:250:481:2031
Auston MatthewsTOR1917:460:561:4913
Mitch MarnerTOR2017:380:531:4815
Michael BuntingTOR1917:380:561:4914
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2317:290:461:1513
Brayden PointTBL2317:120:451:1965
Mark GiordanoTOR2317:090:451:1713
Alex KillornTBL2217:030:471:1750
Alexander KerfootTOR2216:590:461:3622
Steven StamkosTBL2216:520:461:2075
Cal FooteTBL1916:520:531:4731
David KampfTOR2016:320:501:2114
Pierre EngvallTOR2116:010:461:2015
Ondrej PalatTBL2215:440:431:1520
Zach BogosianTBL2015:290:461:3331
Nick PaulTBL1914:510:471:1834
Ilya MikheyevTOR2314:430:381:1724
Anthony CirelliTBL2014:200:431:2541
John TavaresTOR1814:120:471:3841
Ross ColtonTBL1914:020:441:1633
Brandon HagelTBL1813:410:461:2333
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1813:400:461:1825
Corey PerryTBL1813:330:451:1033
Colin BlackwellTOR1612:340:471:1121
Nick AbruzzeseTOR1612:120:461:0814
Kyle CliffordTOR1512:010:481:2332
Patrick MaroonTBL1311:140:521:0923
Wayne SimmondsTOR138:460:401:0021