Wed, Apr 20, 2022·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Arizona Coyotes 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 217 | 111 | 08 | 14 | 440 |
| ARI | 010 | 111 | 212 | 02 | 335 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:42CHIJake McCabeAssists: Jonathan Toews, Dominik Kubalik · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–0
- P1 15:32CHIDominik KubalikAssists: Tyler Johnson, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–0
- P2 12:43ARIBarrett HaytonAssists: Nick Schmaltz, Andrew Ladd · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–1
- P2 16:25CHIAlex VlasicAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–1
- P3 9:42ARINate SmithAssists: Phil Kessel, Alex Galchenyuk · Wrist, 0.15 xG3–2
- P3 13:43ARIAnton StralmanAssists: Phil Kessel, Nick Schmaltz · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–3
- OT 4:23CHIAlex DeBrincatGWGAssists: Patrick Kane, Seth Jones · Snap, 0.22 xG4–3
Penalties (10)
- P1 4:55ARITravis Boyd: Hooking2 min
- P1 9:01ARICam Dineen: Tripping2 min
- P1 12:28CHIJonathan Toews: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:58ARIAnton Stralman: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 18:53CHISam Lafferty: Fighting5 min
- P2 18:53ARIMichael Carcone: Fighting5 min
- P3 4:07ARIAlex Galchenyuk: Boarding2 min
- P3 12:15ARIJack McBain: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:15CHIAlec Regula: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:15ARITravis Boyd: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Strome won the faceoff against Hayton
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestLafferty – Raddysh – Kurashev7:07
xG 0.70–0.09 (88%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Toews – Johnson – Kubalik9:37
xG 0.86–0.46 (65%)attempts 14–15goals 2–0
- Kane – Strome – DeBrincat12:50
xG 0.79–0.54 (60%)attempts 16–10goals 1–1
- Lafferty – Katchouk – Johnson2:29
xG 0.08–0.06 (58%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Vlasic12:33
xG 1.12–0.15 (88%)attempts 16–6goals 2–0
- McCabe – Regula15:40
xG 0.71–0.44 (62%)attempts 18–16goals 1–0
- McCabe – Jones2:18
xG 0.02–0.01 (58%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRoussel – Boyd – McBain4:57
xG 0.16–0.01 (91%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Ladd – Schmaltz – Hayton7:32
xG 0.23–0.25 (48%)attempts 5–5goals 1–1
- Roussel – Galchenyuk – McBain2:33
xG 0.00–0.13 (0%)attempts 0–7goals 0–0
- Kessel – Galchenyuk – Carcone2:00
xG 0.00–0.15 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Stralman – Moser13:11
xG 0.47–0.45 (51%)attempts 13–12goals 1–1
- Dineen – Kolyachonok10:41
xG 0.39–0.56 (41%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Capobianco14:56
xG 0.49–1.52 (24%)attempts 10–22goals 1–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).