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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 26, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York

Carolina Hurricanes 4, New York Rangers 3

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Final

Home

New York Rangers

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 55% of the time.

NYR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:58Shot by Kreider, saved by Kochetkov
  3. P1 1:33Shot by Vatrano, saved by Kochetkov
  4. P1 2:20Shot by Rooney, saved by Kochetkov
  5. P1 3:21Shot by Goodrow, saved by Kochetkov
  6. P1 3:41Shot by Teravainen, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 3:48Shot by Pesce, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 5:36Shot by Strome, saved by Kochetkov
  9. P1 6:04Shot by Pesce, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 6:45Shot by Rooney, saved by Kochetkov
  11. P1 7:48Vatrano: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Vatrano, Fox, Lindgren · CAR Slavin, DeAngelo, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  12. P1 9:21Shot by Jarvis, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  13. P1 9:29Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  14. P1 9:36Shot by Jarvis, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  15. P1 9:42Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  16. P1 11:35Shot by Skjei, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 12:17Shot by Teravainen, saved by Shesterkin
  18. P1 12:52Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Kochetkov
  19. P1 14:59Shot by Chytil, saved by Kochetkov
  20. P1 15:04Shot by Trouba, saved by Kochetkov
  21. P1 15:42Reaves: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Reaves, Goodrow, Rooney, Lindgren, Miller · CAR Trocheck, Skjei, Pesce, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  22. P1 15:59Shot by Trocheck, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  23. P1 16:35Shot by Teravainen, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  24. P1 16:38Shot by Teravainen, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  25. P1 16:58Shot by Strome, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  26. P1 17:42Shot by Skjei, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  27. P1 18:18Skjei: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Nemeth, Zibanejad, Vatrano, Schneider · CAR Staal, Fast, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce

  28. P1 18:24Shot by Fox, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  29. P1 19:56Shot by Necas, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  30. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:38Staal: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Vatrano, Miller · CAR Staal, Cole, Fast, Skjei, Slavin

  33. P2 0:45Shot by Fox, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  34. P2 0:48Shot by Pesce, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  35. P2 3:27Necas: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Reaves, Nemeth, Goodrow, Rooney, Schneider · CAR Cole, Smith, Stepan, Martinook, Necas

  36. P2 3:35Shot by Fox, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  37. P2 3:37Shot by Kreider, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  38. P2 4:34Shot by Teravainen, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  39. P2 7:05Goal by Trocheck (Skjei, Niederreiter)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Strome, Copp, Hunt, Lindgren, Miller · CAR Niederreiter, Trocheck, Skjei, Teravainen, Pesce

  40. P2 8:20Shot by Lindgren, saved by Kochetkov
  41. P2 9:10Shot by Staal, saved by Shesterkin
  42. P2 10:25Shot by Jarvis, saved by Shesterkin
  43. P2 10:34Shot by Jarvis, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P2 10:42Shot by Aho, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P2 11:26Shot by Vatrano, saved by Kochetkov
  46. P2 12:08Shot by Kreider, saved by Kochetkov
  47. P2 13:22Shot by Kreider, saved by Kochetkov
  48. P2 13:48Goal by Martinook (Stepan, Necas)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Reaves, Nemeth, Goodrow, Rooney, Schneider · CAR Stepan, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce, Necas

  49. P2 13:59Shot by Miller, saved by Kochetkov
  50. P2 14:01Goodrow: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Reaves, Goodrow, Trouba, Rooney, Miller · CAR Cole, Smith, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  51. P2 14:01Cole: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Reaves, Goodrow, Trouba, Rooney, Miller · CAR Cole, Smith, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  52. P2 15:08Shot by Skjei, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P2 15:57Shot by Jarvis, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P2 16:29Shot by Jarvis, saved by Shesterkin
  55. P2 16:40Shot by Aho, saved by Shesterkin
  56. P2 16:42Shot by Aho, saved by Shesterkin
  57. P2 16:56Goal by Kreider (Vatrano)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Vatrano, Miller · CAR Skjei, Pesce, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  58. P2 17:11Shot by Necas, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P2 17:37Shot by Fox, saved by Kochetkov
  60. P2 18:19Goal by Teravainen (Trocheck, Skjei)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Nemeth, Vatrano, Rooney, Schneider · CAR Trocheck, Skjei, Teravainen, Slavin, Domi

  61. P2 19:20Shot by Chytil, saved by Kochetkov
  62. P2 19:46Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Kochetkov
  63. P2 19:55Fox: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Vatrano, Fox, Lindgren · CAR Staal, Niederreiter, Fast, Skjei, Pesce

  64. P2 19:55Niederreiter: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Vatrano, Fox, Lindgren · CAR Staal, Niederreiter, Fast, Skjei, Pesce

  65. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 0:32Goal by Aho (Jarvis, Slavin)4v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller · CAR Slavin, DeAngelo, Aho, Jarvis

  68. P3 1:32Shot by Trouba, saved by Kochetkov4v4
  69. P3 1:35Shot by Chytil, saved by Kochetkov4v4
  70. P3 3:04Shot by Hunt, saved by Kochetkov
  71. P3 5:39Shot by Miller, saved by Kochetkov
  72. P3 10:01Shot by Aho, saved by Shesterkin
  73. P3 10:53Shot by Teravainen, saved by Shesterkin
  74. P3 12:16Shot by Martinook, saved by Shesterkin
  75. P3 12:19Shot by Stepan, saved by Shesterkin
  76. P3 13:12Goal by Trouba (Miller, Zibanejad)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller · CAR Staal, Cole, Smith, Niederreiter, Fast

  77. P3 13:29Shot by Skjei, saved by Shesterkin
  78. P3 14:15Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Kochetkov
  79. P3 14:33Shot by Trocheck, saved by Shesterkin
  80. P3 17:18Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Kochetkov6v5
  81. P3 18:48Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Kochetkov6v5
  82. P3 18:58Goal by Lafrenière (Kreider, Fox)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Vatrano, Fox, Lafrenière · CAR Staal, Trocheck, Skjei, Teravainen, Pesce

  83. P3 19:44Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Kochetkov6v5
  84. P3 19:55Shot by Kreider, saved by Kochetkov6v5
  85. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  86. P3 0:00Final