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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 26, 2022·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Calgary Flames 5, Nashville Predators 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 68% of the time.

NSH winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:24Shot by Forsberg, saved by Vladar
  3. P1 1:35Shot by Forsberg, saved by Vladar
  4. P1 2:09Tomasino: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Johansen, Kunin, Fabbro, Tomasino · CGY Gaudreau, Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson, Tkachuk

  5. P1 4:02Goal by Dube (Backlund, Andersson)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Carrier, Jeannot · CGY Backlund, Jarnkrok, Toffoli, Andersson, Dube

  6. P1 4:20Shot by McCarron, saved by Vladar
  7. P1 4:24Shot by Fabbro, saved by Vladar
  8. P1 5:10Zadorov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Borowiecki, Duchene, Granlund, Forsberg, Benning · CGY Jarnkrok, Gudbranson, Coleman, Zadorov, Dube

  9. P1 5:52Shot by Duchene, saved by Vladar5v4
  10. P1 7:53Josi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Granlund, Benning, Trenin, Kunin · CGY Tanev, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Kylington, Tkachuk

  11. P1 8:42Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros4v5
  12. P1 9:10Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Saros4v5
  13. P1 9:32Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Saros4v5
  14. P1 9:59Shot by Dube, saved by Saros
  15. P1 10:05Shot by Andersson, saved by Saros
  16. P1 10:18Jarnkrok: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Forsberg, Sissons, Fabbro, Jeannot · CGY Lucic, Jarnkrok, Coleman, Andersson, Kylington

  17. P1 10:54Shot by Forsberg, saved by Vladar5v4
  18. P1 13:17Shot by Lewis, saved by Saros
  19. P1 16:53Jeannot: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Jeannot · CGY Jarnkrok, Gudbranson, Coleman, Zadorov, Dube

  20. P1 16:53Gudbranson: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Jeannot · CGY Jarnkrok, Gudbranson, Coleman, Zadorov, Dube

  21. P1 16:53Tkachuk: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Jeannot · CGY Jarnkrok, Gudbranson, Coleman, Zadorov, Dube

  22. P1 16:53Duchene: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Jeannot · CGY Jarnkrok, Gudbranson, Coleman, Zadorov, Dube

  23. P1 16:53Duchene: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Jeannot · CGY Jarnkrok, Gudbranson, Coleman, Zadorov, Dube

  24. P1 17:02Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Saros4v5
  25. P1 18:38Borowiecki: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Granlund, Benning, Trenin, Carrier · CGY Lucic, Backlund, Mangiapane, Andersson, Kylington

  26. P1 18:38Lucic: Fighting (5 min)3v5

    On ice: NSH Granlund, Benning, Trenin, Carrier · CGY Lucic, Backlund, Mangiapane, Andersson, Kylington

  27. P1 19:13Shot by Toffoli, saved by Saros
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:33Coleman: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Kunin, Fabbro · CGY Jarnkrok, Coleman, Hanifin, Andersson, Dube

  31. P2 0:42Josi: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Josi, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg, Tomasino · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Lindholm, Zadorov

  32. P2 2:03Shot by Backlund, saved by Saros4v4
  33. P2 2:31Shot by Carrier, saved by Vladar4v4
  34. P2 5:27Shot by Tomasino, saved by Vladar
  35. P2 5:41Goal by Josi (Tomasino, Johansen)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Johansen, Kunin, Fabbro, Tomasino · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Toffoli, Mangiapane, Kylington

  36. P2 6:27Shot by Hanifin, saved by Saros
  37. P2 7:09Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Vladar
  38. P2 7:33Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Saros
  39. P2 8:08Goal by Duchene (Granlund, Josi)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Forsberg, Benning · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Mangiapane, Kylington

  40. P2 8:24Shot by Toffoli, saved by Saros
  41. P2 8:29Shot by Andersson, saved by Saros
  42. P2 10:17Shot by Coleman, saved by Saros
  43. P2 12:06Shot by Andersson, saved by Saros
  44. P2 12:07Tkachuk: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Granlund, Kunin, Fabbro, Tomasino · CGY Gaudreau, Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson, Tkachuk

  45. P2 12:07Kunin: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Josi, Granlund, Kunin, Fabbro, Tomasino · CGY Gaudreau, Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson, Tkachuk

  46. P2 13:14Goal by Dube (Jarnkrok, Kylington)4v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen · CGY Tanev, Jarnkrok, Kylington, Dube

  47. P2 14:03Shot by Tanev, saved by Saros4v4
  48. P2 15:15Shot by Lindholm, saved by Saros
  49. P2 16:07Shot by Dube, saved by Saros
  50. P2 17:21Shot by Backlund, saved by Saros
  51. P2 17:35Shot by Johansen, saved by Vladar
  52. P2 18:34Shot by Benning, saved by Vladar
  53. P2 0:00Coleman: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Cousins, Sissons, Fabbro, Jeannot · CGY Jarnkrok, Gudbranson, Coleman, Zadorov, Dube

  54. P2 0:00Jeannot: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Josi, Cousins, Sissons, Fabbro, Jeannot · CGY Jarnkrok, Gudbranson, Coleman, Zadorov, Dube

  55. P2 0:00Zadorov: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NSH Josi, Cousins, Sissons, Fabbro, Jeannot · CGY Jarnkrok, Gudbranson, Coleman, Zadorov, Dube

  56. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:30Goal by Forsberg (Duchene, Granlund)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Gudbranson, Lindholm

  59. P3 1:51Shot by Kylington, saved by Saros
  60. P3 1:57Shot by Lewis, saved by Saros
  61. P3 2:03Goal by Hanifin (Ritchie, Lucic)+26 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Borowiecki, Cousins, Benning, McCarron, Olivier · CGY Lewis, Lucic, Ritchie, Hanifin, Andersson

  62. P3 2:18Shot by Forsberg, saved by Vladar
  63. P3 3:39Shot by Tanev, saved by Saros
  64. P3 3:46Shot by Tomasino, saved by Vladar
  65. P3 4:01Shot by Benning, saved by Vladar
  66. P3 4:36Shot by Lucic, saved by Saros
  67. P3 5:04Shot by Cousins, saved by Vladar
  68. P3 5:19Shot by Kylington, saved by Saros
  69. P3 6:14Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros
  70. P3 7:45Shot by Benning, saved by Vladar
  71. P3 8:36Shot by Andersson, saved by Saros
  72. P3 8:51Lindholm: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, Carrier · CGY Gaudreau, Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson, Tkachuk

  73. P3 9:00Shot by Backlund, saved by Saros5v4
  74. P3 9:35Goal by Forsberg (Granlund, Duchene)5v4+26 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg · CGY Tanev, Toffoli, Gudbranson, Coleman

  75. P3 10:13Shot by Andersson, saved by Saros
  76. P3 10:43Josi: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Cousins, McCarron, Fabbro, Olivier · CGY Lewis, Lucic, Tanev, Ritchie, Kylington

  77. P3 11:21Shot by Lindholm, saved by Saros4v5
  78. P3 11:33Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros4v5
  79. P3 13:28Kylington: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ekholm, Johansen, Fabbro, Tomasino · CGY Lewis, Lucic, Tanev, Ritchie, Kylington

  80. P3 14:54Shot by Ekholm, saved by Vladar5v4
  81. P3 15:20Shot by Tomasino, saved by Vladar5v4
  82. P3 17:12Lucic: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Borowiecki, Duchene, Granlund, Benning, Kunin · CGY Lucic, Backlund, Tanev, Ritchie, Kylington

  83. P3 19:59Goal by Tkachuk (Hanifin, Gaudreau)5v6+45 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Johansen, Trenin, Kunin, Fabbro · CGY Lucic, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson, Tkachuk

  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. OT 0:00Period start
  86. OT 0:21Shot by Andersson, saved by Rittich3v3
  87. OT 1:13Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Rittich3v3
  88. OT 1:42Shot by Duchene, saved by Vladar3v3
  89. OT 1:54Shot by Andersson, saved by Rittich3v3
  90. OT 2:01Goal by Lindholm (Andersson, Gaudreau)3v3+53 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Granlund, Forsberg · CGY Gaudreau, Lindholm, Andersson

  91. OT 2:01Period end4v4
  92. OT 2:01Final