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Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 29, 2022·UBS Arena, Elmont

Tampa Bay Lightning 6, New York Islanders 4

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

6

Final

Home

New York Islanders

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.

NYI winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:32Goal by Pageau (Dobson, Lee)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Chara, Lee, Pageau, Beauvillier, Dobson · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cirelli, Hagel, Foote

  3. P1 1:00Shot by Stamkos, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 1:43Shot by Parise, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 1:44Shot by Barzal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 1:46Shot by Greene, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 3:11Shot by Salo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 4:06Shot by Pulock, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 6:26Shot by Hagel, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 7:13Shot by Stamkos, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 7:26Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 8:16Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 8:54Shot by Colton, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 8:54Shot by Colton, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 9:50Shot by Palmieri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 11:57Goal by Stamkos (Cernak, Palat)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Bellows · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Cernak

  17. P1 13:50Shot by Hedman, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 14:19Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 15:07Shot by Pulock, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 15:33Shot by Stamkos, saved by Sorokin
  21. P1 17:09Shot by Stamkos, saved by Sorokin
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:38Shot by Nelson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 0:39Shot by Nelson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 1:22Shot by Killorn, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 1:25Shot by Hedman, saved by Sorokin
  28. P2 3:06Shot by Chara, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 4:44Shot by Colton, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 5:59Shot by Palmieri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 7:33Shot by Lee, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 7:41Shot by Dobson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 9:35Goal by Bellows, unassisted+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Greene, Bailey, Nelson, Bellows, Salo · TBL McDonagh, Paul, Bellemare, Colton, Foote

  34. P2 12:23Shot by Bogosian, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 12:50Shot by Lee, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 13:20Shot by Rutta, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 16:09Shot by Foote, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 16:21Shot by Killorn, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 16:38Shot by Colton, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 16:42Shot by Colton, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 16:54Shot by Nelson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 17:06Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 17:40Stamkos: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, Pulock, Beauvillier · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Kucherov, Rutta

  44. P2 18:48Shot by Bailey, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  45. P2 18:48Goal by Bailey (Beauvillier, Pulock)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Parise, Bailey, Palmieri, Pulock, Beauvillier · TBL Hedman, Paul, Cirelli, Sergachev

  46. P2 19:18Shot by Bellemare, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 19:38Pageau: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Chara, Lee, Pageau, Beauvillier, Dobson · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Cirelli, Sergachev

  48. P2 19:53Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin4v5
  49. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:19Shot by Pulock, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  52. P3 0:37Shot by Hedman, saved by Sorokin4v5
  53. P3 1:21Goal by Perry (Kucherov, Hedman)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Chara, Parise, Greene, Nelson · TBL Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov

  54. P3 2:36Shot by Perry, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 3:30Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 5:30Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 6:22Shot by Lee, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 6:33Shot by Pulock, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 6:40Shot by Bailey, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 7:30Shot by Cizikas, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 8:22Shot by Palat, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 8:45Shot by Barzal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 9:30Shot by Bellows, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 10:10Shot by Maroon, saved by Sorokin
  65. P3 10:10Goal by McDonagh (Maroon, Bellemare)+30 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Parise, Greene, Palmieri, Barzal, Salo · TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Palat, Bellemare, Foote

  66. P3 10:20Shot by Lee, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 10:43Shot by Bailey, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 11:13Goal by Stamkos (Palat)+36 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Chara, Bailey, Lee, Pageau, Dobson · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Kucherov, Foote

  69. P3 13:31Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 14:54Shot by Paul, saved by Sorokin
  71. P3 16:54Shot by Bellemare, saved by Sorokin
  72. P3 17:11Shot by Bellows, saved by Vasilevskiy
  73. P3 17:50Goal by Stamkos (Palat, Kucherov)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Nelson, Bellows, Salo, Dobson · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Kucherov, Foote

  74. P3 18:04Shot by Martin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  75. P3 18:29Shot by Paul, saved by Sorokin
  76. P3 18:56Shot by Lee, saved by Vasilevskiy
  77. P3 19:06Shot by Barzal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  78. P3 19:16Goal by Chara (Barzal, Parise)+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Chara, Parise, Palmieri, Pelech, Barzal · TBL Perry, Paul, Sergachev, Colton, Rutta

  79. P3 19:35Goal by Hagel (McDonagh, Cirelli)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Lee, Nelson, Pageau, Barzal, Dobson · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final