Thu, Oct 13, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Washington Capitals 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 80% of the time.
74%
15%
TOR winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:23 | 0.18 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:18 | 0.53 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:35 | 0.09 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:37 | 0.00 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.08 | 16.7% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:39 | 0.00 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:17 | 0.00 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:12 | 0.11 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.13 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.00 | 55.7% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:59 | 0.03 | 62.9% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.27 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.03 | 23.9% | +16.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:05 | 0.07 | 24.1% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:54 | 0.24 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:22 | 0.22 | 59.2% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:06 | 0.34 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:44 | 0.21 | 57.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 39 | 36 | 3 | .923 | 4.18 | +1.2 | 56:31 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:24 | 1.00 | 46.3% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:36 | 0.08 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.02 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 20:20 | 0.17 | 70.8% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:43 | 0.10 | 33.6% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:09 | 0.09 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:38 | 0.46 | 52.4% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16:00 | 0.81 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.14 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.31 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14:58 | 0.78 | 69.8% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:23 | 0.00 | 43.5% | +20.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.42 | 49.7% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:08 | 0.07 | 35.7% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:04 | 0.09 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.00 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:03 | 0.08 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:44 | 0.00 | 48.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.54 | +0.5 | 59:59 |