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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 13, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Washington Capitals 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 80% of the time.

TOR winsWSH wins

Washington Capitals

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

John CarlsonD · #740000325:230.1847.3%0.0
Alex OvechkinLW · #8000−1422:180.5337.8%0.0
Evgeny KuznetsovC · #92000−1021:350.0954.4%0.0
Dylan StromeC · #170000020:370.0040.0%0.0
T.J. OshieRW · #77011+1119:160.0816.7%+16.7
Connor BrownRW · #28000−1018:390.0059.9%0.0
Martin FehérváryD · #420000018:170.0050.2%0.0
Dmitry OrlovD · #9000−1418:120.1134.4%0.0
Nick JensenD · #3000−1217:280.1326.9%0.0
Trevor van RiemsdykD · #57011+1016:080.0055.7%+18.2
Erik GustafssonD · #56011+1214:590.0362.9%+18.2
Anthony ManthaRW · #390000114:210.2754.4%0.0
Lars EllerC · #20011+1113:440.0323.9%+16.7
Marcus JohanssonLW · #90101+1112:050.0724.1%+16.7
Conor ShearyLW · #730000211:540.2462.0%0.0
Nic DowdC · #261010111:220.2259.2%+18.2
Aliaksei ProtasLW · #590000211:060.3440.9%0.0
Garnet HathawayRW · #210000210:440.2157.5%0.0
Charlie Lindgren#79L39363.9234.18+1.256:31

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Mitch MarnerRW · #160110522:241.0046.3%+17.1
TJ BrodieD · #78000−1221:360.0869.2%0.0
Justin HollD · #30000220:280.0263.5%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44022−1120:200.1770.8%+37.2
Mark GiordanoD · #55011+1119:430.1033.6%+26.2
Jake MuzzinD · #80000319:090.0974.9%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #341010518:380.4652.4%+26.2
William NylanderRW · #880000716:000.8169.6%0.0
David KampfC · #640000115:570.1455.8%0.0
Michael BuntingLW · #580000115:110.3148.4%0.0
John TavaresC · #911010614:580.7869.8%+17.1
Alexander KerfootC · #150110014:230.0043.5%+20.1
Calle JarnkrokC · #191010214:130.4249.7%+20.1
Rasmus SandinD · #38011+1214:080.0735.7%+26.2
Denis MalginC · #620000012:040.0974.5%0.0
Pierre EngvallLW · #470000011:210.0059.5%0.0
Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #120000111:030.0843.2%0.0
Nicolas Aube-KubelRW · #96000009:440.0048.5%0.0
Ilya Samsonov#35W26242.9232.54+0.559:59