Thu, Oct 13, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Washington Capitals 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 80% of the time.
74%
15%
TOR winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Oshie–Eller–Johansson | Mantha–Strome–Protas | Dowd–Sheary–Hathaway | Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Brown | Kuznetsov–Brown–Mantha | Carlson–Fehérváry | Orlov–Jensen | Gustafsson–van Riemsdyk | Orlov–Gustafsson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bunting–Marner–Matthews | 1:050.07–0.00 | 3:260.27–0.15 | 2:470.20–0.24 | 1:060.05–0.11 | 0:480.00–0.15 | 3:190.16–0.15 | 3:010.38–0.27 | 2:520.14–0.08 | |
| Tavares–Nylander–Malgin | 3:570.28–0.11 | 1:590.27–0.01 | 2:050.20–0.14 | 3:240.08–0.15 | 3:110.46–0.10 | 1:480.05–0.08 | |||
| Aube-Kubel–Aston-Reese–Kampf | 2:170.08–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.17 | 1:200.00–0.15 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 2:390.16–0.00 | 2:310.00–0.00 | 2:080.08–0.32 | ||
| Jarnkrok–Kerfoot–Engvall | 0:400.00–0.07 | 1:190.01–0.01 | 2:210.11–0.05 | 2:380.01–0.03 | 1:270.11–0.09 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:360.13–0.01 | ||
| Nylander–Bunting–Matthews | 1:060.00–0.05 | 0:450.00–0.05 | |||||||
| Muzzin–Holl | 2:360.12–0.03 | 1:580.00–0.00 | 2:020.00–0.00 | 3:000.07–0.09 | 4:570.20–0.09 | 2:140.00–0.02 | 4:080.09–0.01 | ||
| Brodie–Rielly | 2:270.15–0.07 | 2:280.40–0.01 | 1:410.12–0.08 | 3:220.10–0.18 | 4:190.12–0.05 | 4:490.50–0.21 | 1:590.12–0.08 | ||
| Giordano–Sandin | 3:150.11–0.00 | 2:070.03–0.33 | 3:530.29–0.51 | 0:380.00–0.15 | 3:440.11–0.30 | 3:190.29–0.16 | 3:490.04–0.37 | ||
| Brodie–Sandin | |||||||||
| Giordano–Holl | 0:460.01–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 John CarlsonWSH | 25 | 25:23 | 1:01 | 3:45 | 7 | 3 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 25 | 22:24 | 0:54 | 1:49 | 8 | 7 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 19 | 22:18 | 1:10 | 3:53 | 4 | 1 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 24 | 21:36 | 0:54 | 2:03 | 3 | 5 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovWSH | 21 | 21:35 | 1:02 | 3:45 | 4 | 2 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 17 | 20:37 | 1:13 | 3:55 | 3 | 3 |
 Justin HollTOR | 27 | 20:28 | 0:45 | 1:41 | 0 | 7 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 23 | 20:20 | 0:53 | 1:51 | 5 | 3 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 24 | 19:43 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 2 | 2 |
 T.J. OshieWSH | 22 | 19:16 | 0:53 | 2:10 | 7 | 3 |
 Jake MuzzinTOR | 28 | 19:09 | 0:41 | 1:33 | 0 | 7 |
 Connor BrownWSH | 21 | 18:39 | 0:53 | 2:04 | 3 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 22 | 18:38 | 0:51 | 1:57 | 7 | 5 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 22 | 18:17 | 0:50 | 1:18 | 3 | 3 |
 Dmitry OrlovWSH | 23 | 18:12 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 0 | 4 |
 Nick JensenWSH | 22 | 17:28 | 0:48 | 1:48 | 0 | 4 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 21 | 16:08 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 5 | 6 |
 William NylanderTOR | 18 | 16:00 | 0:53 | 1:46 | 5 | 3 |
 David KampfTOR | 18 | 15:57 | 0:53 | 1:47 | 0 | 5 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 20 | 15:11 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 5 | 5 |
 Erik GustafssonWSH | 18 | 14:59 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 3 | 2 |
 John TavaresTOR | 18 | 14:58 | 0:50 | 1:35 | 6 | 2 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 20 | 14:23 | 0:43 | 1:35 | 2 | 3 |
 Anthony ManthaWSH | 17 | 14:21 | 0:51 | 1:14 | 2 | 3 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 20 | 14:13 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 2 | 4 |
 Rasmus SandinTOR | 21 | 14:08 | 0:40 | 1:17 | 2 | 4 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 20 | 13:44 | 0:41 | 1:32 | 3 | 4 |
 Marcus JohanssonWSH | 17 | 12:05 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 3 | 3 |
 Denis MalginTOR | 16 | 12:04 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 3 | 2 |
 Conor ShearyWSH | 19 | 11:54 | 0:38 | 1:31 | 3 | 5 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 21 | 11:22 | 0:32 | 1:04 | 3 | 8 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 17 | 11:21 | 0:40 | 0:57 | 1 | 3 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 15 | 11:06 | 0:44 | 1:05 | 2 | 3 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR | 15 | 11:03 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
 Garnet HathawayWSH | 21 | 10:44 | 0:31 | 1:13 | 3 | 7 |
 Nicolas Aube-KubelTOR | 15 | 9:44 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 0 | 2 |