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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 14, 2022·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 54% of the time.

CBJ winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:23Shot by Werenski, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 1:41Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Tarasov
  4. P1 2:01Shot by Nyquist, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 2:21Goal by Gaudreau (Danforth, Jenner)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Werenski, Danforth, Boqvist · TBL Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Foote, Koepke

  6. P1 4:10Shot by Myers, saved by Tarasov
  7. P1 6:29Shot by Stamkos, saved by Tarasov
  8. P1 7:33Shot by Kucherov, saved by Tarasov
  9. P1 8:02Shot by Danforth, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 9:32Shot by Colton, saved by Tarasov
  11. P1 10:02Sillinger: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Nyquist, Gudbranson, Bean, Johnson, Sillinger · TBL Perry, Namestnikov, Fleury, Myers, Colton

  12. P1 11:24Shot by Robinson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  13. P1 11:49Shot by Roslovic, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  14. P1 12:56Danforth: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Werenski, Danforth, Boqvist · TBL Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Myers, Koepke

  15. P1 13:06Shot by Kucherov, saved by Tarasov4v5
  16. P1 13:19Shot by Kuraly, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  17. P1 14:08Goal by Perry (Namestnikov, Sergachev)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Nyquist, Gudbranson, Roslovic, Gavrikov · TBL Perry, Namestnikov, Paul, Sergachev, Colton

  18. P1 14:40Shot by Sergachev, saved by Tarasov
  19. P1 14:50Shot by Hagel, saved by Tarasov
  20. P1 15:21Goal by Stamkos (Killorn, Fleury)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Voracek, Roslovic, Bean, Boqvist, Chinakhov · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Paul, Fleury, Myers

  21. P1 15:55Goal by Nyquist (Johnson, Gudbranson)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Nyquist, Bean, Boqvist, Johnson, Sillinger · TBL Maroon, Bellemare, Fleury, Myers, Koepke

  22. P1 16:29Shot by Hedman, saved by Tarasov
  23. P1 17:11Shot by Cernak, saved by Tarasov
  24. P1 18:20Shot by Killorn, saved by Tarasov
  25. P1 18:55Goal by Colton (Perry, Hedman)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Voracek, Gudbranson, Kuraly, Peeke, Chinakhov · TBL Perry, Hedman, Namestnikov, Myers, Colton

  26. P1 19:17Shot by Peeke, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:13Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 2:07Shot by Stamkos, saved by Tarasov
  31. P2 2:24Shot by Fleury, saved by Tarasov
  32. P2 3:01Shot by Myers, saved by Tarasov
  33. P2 3:05Shot by Maroon, saved by Tarasov
  34. P2 3:28Shot by Johnson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 6:00Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 6:50Shot by Koepke, saved by Tarasov
  37. P2 7:02Shot by Sergachev, saved by Tarasov
  38. P2 7:45Goal by Foote (Colton, Namestnikov)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Nyquist, Gudbranson, Bean, Johnson, Sillinger · TBL Perry, Hedman, Namestnikov, Colton, Foote

  39. P2 7:59Sergachev: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Gavrikov, Peeke, Danforth · TBL Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev, Hagel

  40. P2 8:07Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  41. P2 8:43Shot by Werenski, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  42. P2 9:14Shot by Voracek, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  43. P2 9:51Shot by Voracek, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  44. P2 10:02Shot by Johnson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 10:39Shot by Kucherov, saved by Tarasov
  46. P2 10:41Shot by Myers, saved by Tarasov
  47. P2 11:07Shot by Kucherov, saved by Tarasov
  48. P2 11:58Shot by Fleury, saved by Tarasov
  49. P2 12:17Shot by Stamkos, saved by Tarasov
  50. P2 14:22Shot by Jenner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 17:41Shot by Kucherov, saved by Tarasov
  52. P2 18:16Hagel: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Jenner, Gavrikov, Danforth · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Myers

  53. P2 18:23Shot by Sillinger, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  54. P2 18:40Paul: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Werenski, Danforth, Sillinger · TBL Killorn, Paul, Cernak, Sergachev

  55. P2 18:59Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Vasilevskiy5v3
  56. P2 19:44Shot by Werenski, saved by Vasilevskiy5v3
  57. P2 0:00Period end5v3
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 4:09Shot by Stamkos, saved by Tarasov
  60. P3 4:29Shot by Stamkos, saved by Tarasov
  61. P3 4:45Shot by Hedman, saved by Tarasov
  62. P3 5:25Shot by Sergachev, saved by Tarasov
  63. P3 6:27Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 7:41Shot by Nyquist, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 7:57Goal by Stamkos (Sergachev, Killorn)+5 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Kuraly, Gavrikov, Peeke, Danforth, Robinson · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Cernak, Sergachev, Hagel

  66. P3 8:34Shot by Jenner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 10:19Sergachev: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Jenner, Werenski, Danforth · TBL Maroon, Stamkos, Paul, Cernak, Sergachev

  68. P3 10:32Shot by Jenner, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  69. P3 11:42Shot by Voracek, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  70. P3 12:47Shot by Point, saved by Tarasov
  71. P3 13:20Shot by Sergachev, saved by Tarasov
  72. P3 16:26Shot by Hagel, saved by Tarasov
  73. P3 17:34Shot by Colton, saved by Tarasov
  74. P3 18:25Shot by Paul, saved by Tarasov
  75. P3 18:31Shot by Koepke, saved by Tarasov
  76. P3 18:41Shot by Roslovic, saved by Vasilevskiy
  77. P3 19:18Shot by Olivier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  78. P3 19:48Shot by Fleury, saved by Tarasov
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final