Fri, Oct 14, 2022·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 54% of the time.
37%
9%
46%
CBJ winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:59 | 0.19 | 71.9% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:57 | 0.06 | 63.6% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:15 | 0.03 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:58 | 0.13 | 67.7% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:13 | 0.31 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 18:21 | 0.60 | 90.6% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.20 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.18 | 91.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.47 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:01 | 0.13 | 81.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:29 | 0.02 | 91.6% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 0.05 | 80.7% | +17.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 13:32 | 0.22 | 78.4% | +34.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.21 | 76.4% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.14 | 78.6% | +33.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:51 | 0.09 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:02 | 0.14 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 8:12 | 0.08 | 51.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.97 | +1.0 | 60:00 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:57 | 0.14 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:56 | 0.72 | 42.7% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:37 | 0.29 | 42.8% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:26 | 0.01 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:23 | 0.55 | 39.5% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.03 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 18:34 | 0.00 | 12.3% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:03 | 0.33 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:45 | 0.08 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:23 | 0.00 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.00 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:56 | 0.15 | 14.5% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.10 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:35 | 0.13 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:07 | 0.16 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:00 | 0.04 | 18.6% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:58 | 0.22 | 17.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:03 | 0.04 | 18.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 39 | 34 | 5 | .872 | 3.26 | −1.7 | 60:00 |