Sat, Oct 15, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 90% of the time.
87%
PIT winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kucherov–Point–Hagel | Killorn–Stamkos–Paul | Perry–Namestnikov–Colton | Maroon–Bellemare–Fortier | Namestnikov–Colton–Fortier | Perry–Maroon–Bellemare | Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | Maroon–Bellemare–Hagel | Cernak–Sergachev | Hedman–Foote | Fleury–Myers | Sergachev–Foote | Fleury–Foote | Hedman–Myers | Hedman–Cernak | Myers–Sergachev | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malkin–Zucker–Rust | 2:500.07–0.03 | 4:310.11–0.18 | 1:030.10–0.02 | 0:410.82–0.01 | 0:510.05–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:110.03–0.02 | 2:551.01–0.09 | 3:410.05–0.03 | 0:440.20–0.08 | 0:520.07–0.09 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||
| Crosby–Rakell–Guentzel | 4:300.34–0.05 | 2:070.02–0.11 | 1:070.22–0.03 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.05 | 0:400.00–0.10 | 1:020.15–0.00 | 7:050.49–0.34 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:460.11–0.00 | 0:390.12–0.00 | ||||
| Carter–Kapanen–Heinen | 2:040.00–0.08 | 1:270.07–0.00 | 0:460.02–0.18 | 1:140.19–0.02 | 1:030.15–0.08 | 0:390.09–0.12 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:570.00–0.00 | 4:080.33–0.32 | 1:410.12–0.12 | ||||||
| Archibald–McGinn–Poehling | 1:130.00–0.09 | 0:490.13–0.00 | 0:420.08–0.00 | 1:200.15–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.05 | 0:400.06–0.00 | 1:430.06–0.00 | 1:160.07–0.00 | 2:490.21–0.14 | 0:500.08–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||
| Malkin–Rust–Heinen | ||||||||||||||||
| Petry–Pettersson | 2:430.00–0.08 | 6:100.20–0.30 | 2:040.19–0.02 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:150.09–0.12 | 2:570.02–0.11 | 5:490.37–0.16 | 2:550.09–0.13 | 1:160.00–0.02 | 0:510.07–0.09 | ||||||
| Letang–Dumoulin | 5:300.20–0.08 | 2:210.13–0.00 | 1:050.22–0.03 | 0:370.07–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.10 | 1:030.15–0.00 | 6:340.38–0.17 | 2:310.14–0.00 | 0:500.13–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.03 | 0:410.12–0.00 | |||||
| Joseph–Rutta | 1:270.00–0.00 | 1:550.10–0.19 | 1:100.08–0.01 | 2:090.05–0.10 | 2:060.15–0.09 | 2:020.00–0.05 | 1:510.21–0.25 | 4:160.16–0.06 | 1:090.08–0.01 | |||||||
| Letang–Joseph | 0:360.11–0.00 | 0:560.03–0.02 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:160.03–0.02 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Letang–Petry |
Every shift, one row per player.
PITTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 30 | 24:27 | 0:49 | 1:59 | 7 | 2 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 34 | 24:16 | 0:43 | 2:07 | 3 | 10 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 24 | 24:08 | 1:00 | 3:09 | 3 | 2 |
 Jeff PetryPIT | 26 | 22:04 | 0:51 | 1:46 | 2 | 4 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 22 | 21:31 | 0:59 | 1:38 | 6 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 22 | 21:07 | 0:58 | 1:38 | 6 | 3 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 28 | 20:45 | 0:44 | 3:05 | 3 | 8 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 22 | 20:36 | 0:56 | 2:01 | 7 | 1 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 21 | 20:18 | 0:58 | 1:38 | 7 | 3 |
 Evgeni MalkinPIT | 19 | 19:27 | 1:01 | 2:57 | 0 | 2 |
 Cal FooteTBL | 26 | 19:25 | 0:45 | 1:44 | 2 | 1 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 23 | 19:17 | 0:50 | 2:21 | 7 | 0 |
 Brian DumoulinPIT | 27 | 19:02 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 3 | 7 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 22 | 18:42 | 0:51 | 2:09 | 4 | 4 |
 Marcus PetterssonPIT | 22 | 18:24 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 0 | 2 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 19 | 17:53 | 0:56 | 2:55 | 1 | 2 |
 Jake GuentzelPIT | 23 | 17:36 | 0:46 | 2:16 | 9 | 0 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 20 | 16:09 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 1 | 4 |
 Pierre-Olivier JosephPIT | 21 | 15:47 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 2 | 2 |
 Jason ZuckerPIT | 19 | 15:42 | 0:50 | 1:21 | 0 | 1 |
 Rickard RakellPIT | 20 | 15:38 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 4 | 0 |
 Jan RuttaPIT | 22 | 15:09 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 2 | 5 |
 Danton HeinenPIT | 18 | 13:01 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 2 | 2 |
 Jeff CarterPIT | 20 | 12:55 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 1 | 5 |
 Kasperi KapanenPIT | 20 | 12:47 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 2 | 6 |
 Ryan PoehlingPIT | 22 | 12:27 | 0:34 | 0:59 | 2 | 7 |
 Brock McGinnPIT | 20 | 12:26 | 0:37 | 0:58 | 1 | 6 |
 Philippe MyersTBL | 17 | 12:21 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 1 | 0 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 20 | 12:15 | 0:37 | 0:56 | 2 | 1 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL | 18 | 12:09 | 0:41 | 1:04 | 1 | 4 |
 Haydn FleuryTBL | 18 | 11:37 | 0:39 | 1:33 | 0 | 0 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 19 | 11:00 | 0:35 | 1:06 | 3 | 3 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 16 | 10:22 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 1 | 3 |
 Josh ArchibaldPIT | 17 | 10:11 | 0:36 | 0:56 | 1 | 1 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 14 | 9:06 | 0:39 | 0:58 | 1 | 3 |
 Gabriel FortierTBL | 12 | 8:25 | 0:42 | 0:59 | 0 | 1 |