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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 1, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Ottawa Senators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Ottawa Senators

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 71% of the time.

TBL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:06Shot by Paul, saved by Forsberg
  3. P1 1:57Maroon: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Fleury, Foote · OTT Watson, Chabot, Gambrell, Brannstrom, Kelly

  4. P1 1:57Watson: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Fleury, Foote · OTT Watson, Chabot, Gambrell, Brannstrom, Kelly

  5. P1 1:58Shot by Kucherov, saved by Forsberg
  6. P1 2:57Shot by Perbix, saved by Forsberg
  7. P1 3:23Shot by Paul, saved by Forsberg
  8. P1 4:30Shot by Point, saved by Forsberg
  9. P1 5:44Goal by Gambrell, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Kucherov, Bellemare, Sergachev, Perbix · OTT Chabot, DeBrincat, Gambrell, Brannstrom, Kelly

  10. P1 6:12Stützle: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Stamkos, Paul, Cernak · OTT Hamonic, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle

  11. P1 7:00Shot by Stamkos, saved by Forsberg5v4
  12. P1 11:42Shot by Gambrell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 12:13Shot by Sergachev, saved by Forsberg
  14. P1 12:42Shot by Stamkos, saved by Forsberg
  15. P1 12:46Shot by Fleury, saved by Forsberg
  16. P1 18:03Shot by Batherson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 18:38Shot by Cole, saved by Forsberg
  18. P1 19:27Kelly: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Fleury, Point, Foote · OTT Holden, Motte, Joseph, Zaitsev, Kastelic

  19. P1 19:39Shot by Stamkos, saved by Forsberg5v4
  20. P1 19:42Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Forsberg5v4
  21. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:22Shot by Kucherov, saved by Forsberg5v4
  24. P2 1:04Shot by Stamkos, saved by Forsberg5v4
  25. P2 1:42Sanderson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Colton, Hagel, Foote · OTT Hamonic, Kelly, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle

  26. P2 2:44Shot by Holden, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  27. P2 2:54Shot by Perry, saved by Forsberg5v4
  28. P2 3:17Goal by Sergachev (Stamkos, Kucherov)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · OTT Holden, Hamonic, Motte, Gambrell

  29. P2 3:41Shot by Cernak, saved by Forsberg
  30. P2 4:25Sergachev: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Namestnikov, Sergachev, Colton, Perbix, Koepke · OTT Hamonic, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  31. P2 5:16Shot by Batherson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  32. P2 7:27Gambrell: Match penalty (5 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Stamkos, Namestnikov, Colton, Foote, Koepke · OTT Watson, Motte, Chabot, Gambrell, Brannstrom

  33. P2 8:07Shot by Sergachev, saved by Forsberg5v4
  34. P2 8:09Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Forsberg5v4
  35. P2 10:31Shot by Point, saved by Forsberg5v4
  36. P2 10:40Shot by Stamkos, saved by Forsberg5v4
  37. P2 10:53Tkachuk: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Point, Sergachev · OTT Hamonic, Motte, Joseph, Sanderson

  38. P2 10:57Shot by Stamkos, saved by Forsberg5v3
  39. P2 11:51Shot by Point, saved by Forsberg5v3
  40. P2 12:21Goal by Joseph, unassisted5v3+23 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point · OTT Hamonic, Joseph, Sanderson

  41. P2 14:51Shot by Perry, saved by Forsberg
  42. P2 15:44Hamonic: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Namestnikov, Sergachev, Colton, Perbix, Koepke · OTT Giroux, Hamonic, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle

  43. P2 15:49Shot by Stamkos, saved by Forsberg5v4
  44. P2 16:50Sergachev: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · OTT Motte, Joseph, Zaitsev, Brannstrom

  45. P2 17:40Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  46. P2 18:47Shot by Batherson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  47. P2 19:24Shot by Colton, saved by Forsberg
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:11Hamonic: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Sergachev, Perbix · OTT Hamonic, Motte, Joseph, Kastelic, Sanderson

  51. P3 2:56Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 4:47Tkachuk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Paul, Sergachev, Perbix · OTT Hamonic, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle

  53. P3 4:54Shot by Kucherov, saved by Forsberg5v4
  54. P3 6:47Foote: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Perry, Paul, Colton, Hagel, Foote · OTT Holden, Joseph, Zaitsev, Kelly

  55. P3 6:47Holden: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Paul, Colton, Hagel, Foote · OTT Holden, Joseph, Zaitsev, Kelly

  56. P3 6:47Perry: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Perry, Paul, Colton, Hagel, Foote · OTT Holden, Joseph, Zaitsev, Kelly

  57. P3 7:33Shot by Chabot, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  58. P3 8:49Shot by Pinto, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 11:02Shot by Stamkos, saved by Forsberg
  60. P3 11:04Goal by Killorn (Stamkos, Paul)+35 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Stamkos, Paul, Cernak · OTT Holden, Zaitsev, Batherson, Kastelic, Tkachuk

  61. P3 11:44Goal by Giroux (Tkachuk)+36 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Point, Cernak, Colton, Hagel · OTT Giroux, Chabot, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Pinto

  62. P3 12:30Shot by Sanderson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 12:55Goal by Point (Kucherov, Cole)+37 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel · OTT Chabot, Brannstrom, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  64. P3 14:11Shot by Fleury, saved by Forsberg
  65. P3 14:49Shot by Cernak, saved by Forsberg
  66. P3 15:54Shot by Sergachev, saved by Forsberg
  67. P3 16:24Shot by Holden, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 17:30Goal by Kucherov (Sergachev, Point)+38 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel, Perbix · OTT Giroux, Chabot, DeBrincat, Brannstrom, Pinto

  69. P3 19:36Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  70. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  71. P3 0:00Final