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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 3, 2022·Enterprise Center, St. Louis

New York Islanders 5, St. Louis Blues 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 60% of the time.

STL winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

STL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Lee–Nelson–BeauvillierParise–Palmieri–PageauBailey–Barzal–WahlstromClutterbuck–Martin–CizikasMartin–Barzal–WahlstromMartin–Palmieri–CizikasPelech–PulockDobson–RomanovMayfield–AhoMayfield–PelechPulock–RomanovAho–RomanovMayfield–Romanov
Tarasenko–Buchnevich–Barbashev0:560.14–0.003:460.12–0.262:220.05–0.000:520.03–0.003:350.10–0.383:500.17–0.200:340.00–0.091:020.14–0.000:350.05–0.00
O'Reilly–Schenn–Acciari3:580.14–0.020:300.00–0.000:400.17–0.001:320.00–0.002:070.14–0.201:410.17–0.10
Kyrou–Thomas–Neighbours0:320.07–0.001:140.14–0.002:420.14–0.270:390.08–0.002:440.21–0.192:100.21–0.08
Schenn–Kyrou–Thomas1:330.00–0.150:450.00–0.000:550.00–0.001:150.03–0.003:130.09–0.091:080.00–0.070:340.00–0.00
O'Reilly–Toropchenko–Neighbours0:520.00–0.001:330.16–0.001:080.00–0.200:560.27–0.090:500.08–0.002:470.27–0.290:410.02–0.00
Pitlick–Brown–Toropchenko0:520.36–0.002:150.03–0.032:110.04–0.000:440.03–0.00
Pitlick–Acciari–Brown0:450.05–0.000:320.09–0.000:300.05–0.000:350.00–0.00
Acciari–Brown–Toropchenko
O'Reilly–Schenn–Toropchenko0:500.11–0.000:510.11–0.00
Faulk–Krug0:540.00–0.004:250.08–0.204:210.39–0.161:360.36–0.040:520.03–0.006:210.10–0.003:330.13–0.243:210.65–0.16
Leddy–Parayko4:340.21–0.180:490.00–0.061:340.04–0.191:140.00–0.092:550.07–0.854:560.18–0.121:220.00–0.160:320.00–0.00
Parayko–Mikkola3:450.14–0.261:180.00–0.001:360.00–0.191:560.04–0.071:400.00–0.000:550.10–0.00
Bortuzzo–Mikkola0:410.05–0.001:200.23–0.000:400.41–0.003:150.03–0.051:070.44–0.001:550.09–0.031:490.11–0.031:020.03–0.00
Leddy–Faulk0:390.00–0.000:500.00–0.031:060.00–0.201:490.05–0.002:120.06–0.031:020.00–0.200:500.00–0.000:590.02–0.02
Bortuzzo–Leddy1:400.16–0.000:470.08–0.000:420.00–0.09
Faulk–Parayko
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBarbashev FBuchnevich FTarasenko FAcciari FSchenn FO'Reilly FNeighbours FThomas FKyrou FBrown FToropchenko FPitlick FKrug DFaulk DParayko DLeddy DBortuzzo DMikkola DBinnington GParise FPalmieri FPageau FNelson FLee FBeauvillier FBarzal FBailey FWahlstrom FMartin FCizikas FClutterbuck FPelech DPulock DRomanov DDobson DAho DMayfield DSorokin G
STLNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkSTL3325:040:461:4242
Adam PelechNYI3124:300:471:31011
Alexander RomanovNYI2721:570:492:2723
Ryan PulockNYI2821:490:471:4907
Torey KrugSTL2621:270:502:4672
Colton ParaykoSTL2720:330:461:5245
Nick LeddySTL2720:160:451:3142
Scott MayfieldNYI2319:560:521:4115
Robert ThomasSTL2119:190:551:3331
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2218:470:512:0553
Jordan KyrouSTL2018:110:551:2111
Ivan BarbashevSTL1918:090:572:0831
Brayden SchennSTL2118:070:521:3131
Kyle PalmieriNYI2417:430:441:1424
Noah DobsonNYI2316:570:442:4711
Ryan O'ReillySTL2116:480:481:2343
Vladimir TarasenkoSTL2116:390:482:0252
Brock NelsonNYI2316:320:432:0825
Zach PariseNYI2516:220:391:0403
Jake NeighboursSTL1916:000:511:2631
Casey CizikasNYI2115:480:451:3705
Mathew BarzalNYI2015:340:472:0830
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2515:340:371:0605
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL1714:430:521:2420
Anders LeeNYI2214:290:401:1345
Anthony BeauvillierNYI2214:120:391:0025
Niko MikkolaSTL2314:050:371:2823
Cal ClutterbuckNYI2213:400:371:3406
Sebastian AhoNYI1712:590:461:3300
Matt MartinNYI1812:510:431:4800
Josh BaileyNYI1912:310:401:1831
Noel AcciariSTL1512:160:491:2011
Robert BortuzzoSTL1911:560:381:1131
Oliver WahlstromNYI1711:050:391:2030
Logan BrownSTL128:210:421:0500
Tyler PitlickSTL127:570:401:1000