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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 4, 2022·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Buffalo Sabres 3, Carolina Hurricanes 5

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.

CAR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Goal by Bryson (Cozens)+12 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov · BUF Tuch, Bryson, Dahlin, Cozens, Peterka

  3. P1 5:29Shot by Krebs, saved by Raanta
  4. P1 5:45Shot by Pesce, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 7:57Shot by Jarvis, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 8:07Goal by Aho (Teravainen, Jarvis)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR de Haan, Teravainen, Aho, Chatfield, Jarvis · BUF Olofsson, Fitzgerald, Mittelstadt, Pilut, Quinn

  7. P1 8:22Shot by Asplund, saved by Raanta
  8. P1 9:57Shot by Okposo, saved by Raanta
  9. P1 10:06Goal by Olofsson (Quinn, Clague)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR de Haan, Teravainen, Aho, Chatfield, Jarvis · BUF Olofsson, Clague, Mittelstadt, Quinn, Power

  10. P1 10:45Shot by Martinook, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 12:33Dahlin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Pesce, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov · BUF Tuch, Bryson, Dahlin, Cozens, Peterka

  12. P1 12:38Shot by Necas, saved by Anderson5v4
  13. P1 12:45Goal by Aho (Necas, Svechnikov)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Noesen, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov · BUF Asplund, Fitzgerald, Bryson, Cozens

  14. P1 12:56Fast: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Fast, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce · BUF Okposo, Skinner, Clague, Thompson, Power

  15. P1 12:58Shot by Skinner, saved by Raanta4v5
  16. P1 15:21Shot by Dahlin, saved by Raanta
  17. P1 15:22Shot by Dahlin, saved by Raanta
  18. P1 15:41Kotkaniemi: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR de Haan, Chatfield, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov, Jarvis · BUF Girgensons, Asplund, Bryson, Dahlin, Krebs

  19. P1 15:41Dahlin: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR de Haan, Chatfield, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov, Jarvis · BUF Girgensons, Asplund, Bryson, Dahlin, Krebs

  20. P1 15:41Dahlin: Interference (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CAR de Haan, Chatfield, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov, Jarvis · BUF Girgensons, Asplund, Bryson, Dahlin, Krebs

  21. P1 16:23Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Anderson5v4
  22. P1 17:26Shot by Jarvis, saved by Anderson5v4
  23. P1 17:34Shot by Pesce, saved by Anderson5v4
  24. P1 17:38Shot by Slavin, saved by Anderson5v4
  25. P1 19:55Shot by Burns, saved by Anderson
  26. P1 19:57Okposo: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Power

  27. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:37Shot by Aho, saved by Anderson5v4
  30. P2 2:25Shot by Thompson, saved by Raanta
  31. P2 4:03Goal by Necas (Aho)+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR de Haan, Aho, Chatfield, Necas, Svechnikov · BUF Olofsson, Fitzgerald, Pilut, Krebs, Quinn

  32. P2 4:52Shot by Skjei, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 6:08Shot by Skjei, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 6:31Shot by Necas, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 7:34Shot by Krebs, saved by Raanta
  36. P2 7:45Clague: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Jarvis · BUF Olofsson, Clague, Krebs, Quinn, Power

  37. P2 8:12Shot by Burns, saved by Anderson5v4
  38. P2 8:24Shot by Burns, saved by Anderson5v4
  39. P2 8:32Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Anderson5v4
  40. P2 8:59Shot by Dahlin, saved by Raanta5v4
  41. P2 9:46Shot by Burns, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 11:58Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 12:51Shot by Dahlin, saved by Raanta
  44. P2 13:13Aho: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Burns, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Jarvis · BUF Olofsson, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Dahlin, Quinn

  45. P2 15:12Shot by Dahlin, saved by Raanta4v5
  46. P2 16:00Shot by Skinner, saved by Raanta
  47. P2 16:02Shot by Thompson, saved by Raanta
  48. P2 16:24Shot by de Haan, saved by Anderson
  49. P2 16:43Stastny: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Stastny, Stepan, Noesen, Skjei, Pesce · BUF Girgensons, Fitzgerald, Pilut, Krebs, Cozens

  50. P2 18:22Shot by Okposo, saved by Raanta4v5
  51. P2 18:28Shot by Burns, saved by Anderson4v5
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:13Shot by Martinook, saved by Anderson
  55. P3 0:27Shot by Slavin, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 0:28Shot by Fast, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 3:55Shot by Necas, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 6:14Shot by Power, saved by Raanta
  59. P3 7:01Shot by Dahlin, saved by Raanta
  60. P3 8:40Shot by Dahlin, saved by Raanta
  61. P3 9:22Goal by Kotkaniemi (Necas, Svechnikov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov · BUF Fitzgerald, Pilut, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka

  62. P3 10:31Shot by Bryson, saved by Raanta
  63. P3 11:36Shot by Thompson, saved by Raanta
  64. P3 13:12Skjei: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR de Haan, Pesce, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov · BUF Olofsson, Clague, Bryson, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka

  65. P3 15:30Shot by Skjei, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 15:42Shot by Skinner, saved by Raanta
  67. P3 17:12Shot by Staal, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 17:18Shot by Burns, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 17:46Goal by Aho (Teravainen, Jarvis)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Jarvis · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Power

  70. P3 18:51Shot by Girgensons, saved by Raanta
  71. P3 19:23Martinook: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Fast, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce, Kotkaniemi · BUF Girgensons, Asplund, Clague, Bryson, Krebs

  72. P3 19:33Shot by Power, saved by Raanta4v5
  73. P3 19:46Shot by Stepan, saved by Anderson4v5
  74. P3 19:59Goal by Dahlin (Peterka, Quinn)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Stepan, de Haan, Chatfield · BUF Dahlin, Krebs, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final