Fri, Nov 4, 2022·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Buffalo Sabres 3, Carolina Hurricanes 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.
51%
10%
8%
32%
CAR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 26:58 | 1.07 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:43 | 0.06 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:23 | 0.05 | 56.4% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:34 | 0.31 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:27 | 0.22 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:55 | 0.08 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 0 | 16:38 | 0.11 | 42.8% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.13 | 24.1% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:57 | 0.00 | 51.1% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:47 | 0.00 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.09 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.08 | 54.0% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.14 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:16 | 0.34 | 85.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:16 | 0.05 | 91.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:55 | 0.02 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 9:52 | 0.00 | 43.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 2.56 | −1.4 | 59:25 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:57 | 0.12 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 22:12 | 0.11 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:35 | 0.01 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 4 | 18:26 | 1.14 | 66.0% | +51.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:33 | 0.12 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 17:31 | 0.08 | 62.4% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:44 | 0.39 | 44.8% | +30.3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 16:10 | 0.52 | 53.0% | +50.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.10 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.08 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.13 | 37.6% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.14 | 49.8% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.00 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.07 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.01 | 7.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.25 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:46 | 0.07 | 7.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:43 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.75 | −0.3 | 60:00 |