Fri, Nov 4, 2022·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Buffalo Sabres 3, Carolina Hurricanes 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.
51%
10%
8%
32%
CAR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Okposo–Skinner–Thompson | Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | Tuch–Cozens–Peterka | Olofsson–Mittelstadt–Quinn | Girgensons–Asplund–Krebs | Krebs–Quinn–Peterka | Olofsson–Asplund–Mittelstadt | Cozens–Quinn–Peterka | Okposo–Girgensons–Krebs | Girgensons–Krebs–Peterka | Skinner–Olofsson–Thompson | Okposo–Girgensons–Cozens | Bryson–Dahlin | Clague–Power | Fitzgerald–Pilut | Dahlin–Power | Bryson–Power | Bryson–Pilut | Clague–Bryson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necas–Kotkaniemi–Svechnikov | 0:530.00–0.21 | 4:150.29–0.13 | 1:230.13–0.08 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.07 | 4:010.28–0.08 | 0:390.14–0.00 | 1:500.15–0.25 | 0:420.02–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Teravainen–Aho–Jarvis | 1:140.07–0.00 | 3:100.10–0.11 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:590.10–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 3:500.16–0.03 | 2:110.07–0.06 | 1:370.10–0.02 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Staal–Fast–Martinook | 2:400.12–0.12 | 2:240.18–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 2:050.30–0.05 | 4:200.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||
| Stastny–Stepan–Noesen | 1:140.00–0.00 | 2:430.00–0.19 | 1:310.00–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.11 | 3:320.00–0.12 | 0:330.00–0.11 | 2:270.00–0.17 | ||||||||||||
| Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Skjei–Pesce | 1:580.00–0.07 | 1:370.00–0.00 | 2:230.14–0.08 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:220.08–0.06 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 2:410.06–0.00 | 5:070.13–0.08 | 1:570.02–0.17 | 1:370.08–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.10 | |||||||
| de Haan–Chatfield | 1:170.07–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.21 | 2:150.10–0.08 | 2:120.00–0.40 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 1:080.10–0.00 | 1:030.05–0.14 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 5:070.10–0.50 | 2:070.07–0.17 | 2:100.18–0.02 | 1:050.05–0.25 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Burns–Slavin | 0:590.12–0.05 | 1:410.18–0.03 | 2:190.15–0.05 | 0:540.00–0.03 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.01 | 1:020.13–0.02 | 3:510.30–0.15 | 3:320.15–0.03 | 1:200.13–0.00 | 2:020.15–0.01 | 0:460.02–0.00 | |||||||
| Slavin–Pesce | 1:030.04–0.02 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:410.04–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||||
| de Haan–Slavin | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CARBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 32 | 26:58 | 0:51 | 1:44 | 8 | 2 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 30 | 24:43 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 8 | 4 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 31 | 23:23 | 0:45 | 1:44 | 3 | 2 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 24 | 22:57 | 0:57 | 1:55 | 3 | 2 |
 Brent BurnsCAR | 26 | 22:12 | 0:51 | 1:56 | 4 | 2 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 26 | 21:35 | 0:50 | 2:08 | 5 | 2 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 22 | 18:34 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 6 | 3 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 26 | 18:26 | 0:43 | 1:36 | 5 | 2 |
 Brady SkjeiCAR | 23 | 17:33 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 5 | 1 |
 Teuvo TeravainenCAR | 22 | 17:31 | 0:48 | 1:41 | 3 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 21 | 17:27 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 7 | 3 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 22 | 16:55 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 9 | 0 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 21 | 16:44 | 0:48 | 1:40 | 3 | 2 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 20 | 16:38 | 0:50 | 1:41 | 5 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 22 | 16:24 | 0:45 | 1:32 | 2 | 7 |
 Martin NecasCAR | 21 | 16:10 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 5 | 2 |
 Kale ClagueBUF | 20 | 15:57 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 3 | 2 |
 Calvin de HaanCAR | 19 | 15:51 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 0 | 3 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 26 | 15:49 | 0:37 | 1:28 | 3 | 6 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 22 | 15:47 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 4 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 21 | 15:43 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 3 | 3 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 21 | 15:31 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 2 | 1 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 22 | 15:14 | 0:42 | 1:49 | 3 | 3 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 19 | 15:03 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 2 | 3 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 18 | 14:43 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 1 | 3 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 19 | 14:03 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 2 | 2 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 18 | 13:16 | 0:44 | 1:04 | 3 | 1 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 22 | 12:45 | 0:35 | 1:09 | 3 | 1 |
 Derek StepanCAR | 18 | 12:42 | 0:42 | 1:37 | 1 | 5 |
 Jesper FastCAR | 21 | 12:40 | 0:36 | 1:05 | 4 | 0 |
 Paul StastnyCAR | 16 | 11:46 | 0:44 | 1:49 | 1 | 2 |
 Stefan NoesenCAR | 18 | 11:43 | 0:39 | 1:29 | 5 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 20 | 11:16 | 0:34 | 0:53 | 3 | 2 |
 Lawrence PilutBUF | 21 | 11:01 | 0:31 | 1:01 | 0 | 7 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 16 | 10:55 | 0:41 | 1:32 | 2 | 3 |
 Casey FitzgeraldBUF | 18 | 9:52 | 0:33 | 0:58 | 0 | 7 |