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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 11, 2022·Capital One Arena, Washington

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Washington Capitals 5

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.

WSH winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:22Shot by Sheary, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 3:32Shot by Perbix, saved by Kuemper
  4. P1 4:40Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 4:46Shot by Bellemare, saved by Kuemper
  6. P1 5:11Shot by Sergachev, saved by Kuemper
  7. P1 6:17Shot by Kuemper, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 6:58Shot by Carlson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 7:06Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kuemper
  10. P1 7:07Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kuemper
  11. P1 8:13Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 10:32Goal by Mantha (Eller)+18 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Eller, Irwin, Mantha, van Riemsdyk, Aube-Kubel · TBL Namestnikov, Sergachev, Colton, Perbix, Koepke

  13. P1 10:54Shot by Hagel, saved by Kuemper
  14. P1 11:25Jensen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Sheary, Fehérváry · TBL Cole, Kucherov, Paul, Hagel, Foote

  15. P1 12:01Shot by Stamkos, saved by Kuemper4v5
  16. P1 13:12Shot by Hedman, saved by Kuemper4v5
  17. P1 13:16Perry: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Eller, Irwin, Sheary, Fehérváry · TBL Perry, Killorn, Hedman, Namestnikov, Colton

  18. P1 13:50Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  19. P1 15:03Shot by Paul, saved by Kuemper5v4
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:29Shot by Colton, saved by Kuemper
  23. P2 1:22Shot by Foote, saved by Kuemper
  24. P2 1:56Aube-Kubel: Match penalty (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, Jensen, Mantha, Aube-Kubel, Fehérváry · TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Foote

  25. P2 1:56Maroon: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Eller, Jensen, Mantha, Aube-Kubel, Fehérváry · TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Foote

  26. P2 1:56Maroon: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, Jensen, Mantha, Aube-Kubel, Fehérváry · TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Foote

  27. P2 1:56Hathaway: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, Jensen, Mantha, Aube-Kubel, Fehérváry · TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Foote

  28. P2 1:56Hathaway: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Eller, Jensen, Mantha, Aube-Kubel, Fehérváry · TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Foote

  29. P2 2:11Shot by Stamkos, saved by Kuemper4v5
  30. P2 2:26Shot by Point, saved by Kuemper4v5
  31. P2 5:01Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kuemper4v5
  32. P2 5:49Shot by Colton, saved by Kuemper4v5
  33. P2 7:03Goal by Milano (Carlson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Eller, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Gustafsson, Milano · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Cernak, Sergachev, Hagel

  34. P2 7:30Shot by Koepke, saved by Kuemper
  35. P2 11:51Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 12:09Shot by Mantha, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 12:35Shot by Sheary, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 13:18Shot by Perry, saved by Kuemper
  39. P2 14:23Shot by Jensen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 14:25Goal by Protas (Jensen, Fehérváry)+7 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Eller, Jensen, Dowd, Fehérváry, Protas · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Perbix

  41. P2 14:51Shot by Strome, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 15:00Shot by Cole, saved by Kuemper
  43. P2 15:05Shot by Perbix, saved by Kuemper
  44. P2 15:09Colton: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Irwin, Kuznetsov, Mantha, Sheary, van Riemsdyk · TBL Namestnikov, Sergachev, Colton, Perbix, Koepke

  45. P2 15:09Colton: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Irwin, Kuznetsov, Mantha, Sheary, van Riemsdyk · TBL Namestnikov, Sergachev, Colton, Perbix, Koepke

  46. P2 15:09van Riemsdyk: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: WSH Irwin, Kuznetsov, Mantha, Sheary, van Riemsdyk · TBL Namestnikov, Sergachev, Colton, Perbix, Koepke

  47. P2 18:05Shot by Killorn, saved by Kuemper
  48. P2 18:29Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 18:41Shot by Irwin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 19:28Shot by Carlson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 19:31Perry: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Johansson, Kuznetsov, Gustafsson · TBL Perry, Cole, Maroon, Namestnikov, Sergachev

  52. P2 19:58Shot by Carlson, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  53. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 2:29Perbix: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway, Fehérváry, Protas · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Perbix

  56. P3 4:14Shot by Milano, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  57. P3 4:40Shot by Cole, saved by Kuemper
  58. P3 4:53Goal by Sheary (Mantha, Milano)+2 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Gustafsson, Mantha, Sheary, van Riemsdyk, Milano · TBL Cole, Hedman, Namestnikov, Colton, Koepke

  59. P3 5:37Stamkos: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway, Fehérváry · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Sergachev

  60. P3 7:57Shot by Stamkos, saved by Kuemper
  61. P3 8:20Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 8:41Hathaway: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway, Fehérváry, Protas · TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel

  63. P3 9:20Shot by Point, saved by Kuemper4v5
  64. P3 9:23Shot by Stamkos, saved by Kuemper4v5
  65. P3 9:24Shot by Hagel, saved by Kuemper4v5
  66. P3 11:03Shot by Sergachev, saved by Kuemper
  67. P3 11:39Shot by Maroon, saved by Kuemper
  68. P3 12:09Goal by Perbix (Bellemare, Cole)+1 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Eller, Irwin, Gustafsson, Mantha, Sheary · TBL Cole, Maroon, Bellemare, Perbix, Koepke

  69. P3 14:20Gustafsson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Gustafsson, Mantha, Hathaway · TBL Perry, Hedman, Namestnikov, Sergachev, Colton

  70. P3 14:20Namestnikov: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Gustafsson, Mantha, Hathaway · TBL Perry, Hedman, Namestnikov, Sergachev, Colton

  71. P3 14:20Dowd: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Gustafsson, Mantha, Hathaway · TBL Perry, Hedman, Namestnikov, Sergachev, Colton

  72. P3 14:20Mantha: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Gustafsson, Mantha, Hathaway · TBL Perry, Hedman, Namestnikov, Sergachev, Colton

  73. P3 14:20Colton: Cross checking (2 min)3v5

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Gustafsson, Mantha, Hathaway · TBL Perry, Hedman, Namestnikov, Sergachev, Colton

  74. P3 14:20Perry: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Gustafsson, Mantha, Hathaway · TBL Perry, Hedman, Namestnikov, Sergachev, Colton

  75. P3 14:20Colton: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Gustafsson, Mantha, Hathaway · TBL Perry, Hedman, Namestnikov, Sergachev, Colton

  76. P3 15:49Shot by Milano, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  77. P3 16:55Shot by Cole, saved by Kuemper
  78. P3 17:38Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  79. P3 17:45Goal by Milano (Kuznetsov, Ovechkin)0 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Irwin, Kuznetsov, van Riemsdyk, Milano · TBL Killorn, Cole, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final