Fri, Nov 11, 2022·Capital One Arena, Washington
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Washington Capitals 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.
27%
8%
57%
WSH winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 24:53 | 0.10 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:55 | 0.10 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:27 | 0.54 | 15.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:34 | 0.11 | 57.0% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:25 | 0.00 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:19 | 0.06 | 54.1% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 19:00 | 0.62 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.49 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.02 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 15:39 | 0.54 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.00 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:32 | 0.00 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:24 | 0.00 | 82.4% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:42 | 0.11 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.30 | 73.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:34 | 0.20 | 10.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:01 | 0.53 | 86.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:02 | 0.01 | 41.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 19 | 5 | .792 | 2.76 | −2.2 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 26:12 | 0.15 | 54.7% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:49 | 0.18 | 45.1% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.01 | 67.2% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:13 | 0.03 | 65.2% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:49 | 0.13 | 64.2% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:48 | 0.20 | 87.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.04 | 73.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:06 | 0.44 | 36.5% | +1.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.18 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:23 | 0.00 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.10 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 14:17 | 0.68 | 64.5% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:01 | 0.01 | 46.3% | +18.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.22 | 89.4% | +6.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 13:27 | 0.25 | 34.9% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:01 | 0.08 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:03 | 0.02 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 4:28 | 0.03 | 60.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 3.71 | +2.7 | 60:00 |