Tue, Nov 15, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.
33%
8%
52%
PIT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 23:12 | 0.03 | 64.7% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:17 | 0.00 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:49 | 0.00 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:01 | 0.33 | 54.6% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:24 | 0.15 | 33.8% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.01 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 16:52 | 0.25 | 35.5% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.84 | 66.5% | +10.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 15:57 | 0.40 | 70.3% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 15:53 | 0.65 | 74.9% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:34 | 0.13 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.00 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:40 | 0.25 | 35.9% | +30.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:13 | 0.13 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.26 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 12:49 | 0.27 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:05 | 0.04 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:09 | 0.03 | 40.2% | +15.6 |
| W | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 3.17 | +1.2 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 6 | 24:43 | 0.34 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −5 | 2 | 20:53 | 0.27 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 2 | 20:32 | 0.35 | 28.1% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:33 | 0.00 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.00 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.10 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:39 | 0.13 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:18 | 0.35 | 67.6% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:05 | 0.04 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:23 | 0.30 | 61.2% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:10 | 0.41 | 61.2% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.04 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:19 | 0.34 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.04 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:04 | 0.24 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:00 | 0.09 | 95.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:54 | 0.11 | 95.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:36 | 0.03 | 97.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.07 | −0.9 | 59:21 |